31 Political Economy The Default Library ======================================== Capitalism: How Markets, Prices and Private Property Organise an Economy ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Nobody is in charge of feeding a city of ten million people, and yet it gets fed every morning. Here is how that works, who explained it, what it has achieved, and its critics' best arguments. Follows: The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented and How Money Was Invented In this deep dive 1. What capitalism is, and where it came from 2. Adam Smith, read in full 3. The Industrial Revolution: the great escape and its costs 4. The twentieth-century defenders: Hayek, Schumpeter, Friedman 5. Not one capitalism but several 6. The record: growth and poverty, with the numbers 7. The strongest critiques, and how to weigh them Somewhere tonight a lorry is driving flour towards a bakery that has not ordered it yet. The baker will order it tomorrow because a price told her to. The miller ground it because another price told him to. A farmer three countries away planted the wheat last spring because of a price he saw on his phone. None of these people know each other. Nobody drew up a plan for your breakfast, and yet it will be there. That is the puzzle at the heart of capitalism, and it is a real puzzle. The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented set out the old argument between "more market" and "more collective action" as a clash of values. This deep dive looks at the market side as an economic system: how it says goods should be produced, owned and allocated, where it came from, the texts that defined it, what it has actually delivered, and the strongest cases against it. The next piece in this series does the same for socialism, and later pieces take up communism and anarchism. The Great Political Traditions (Politics 15) covers liberalism, conservatism and the rest as political families; this series sticks to economics. Part 1 — What capitalism is, and where it came from Start with a surprise: the two most famous theorists of capitalism hardly used the word. Adam Smith wrote about "commercial society". Karl Marx called his great book Capital but, as the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy notes, very rarely wrote "capitalism". Friedrich Hayek disliked the term and preferred to speak of an "extended order of human cooperation". The label mostly came later, often from critics. Still, there is broad agreement about the core features. Milton Friedman's working definition in Capitalism and Freedom (1962) was "the organization of the bulk of economic activity through private enterprise operating in a free market". Spelled out, that usually means four things: Feature What it means in practice The alternative it replaces Private property in the means of production Factories, land, machines and firms are owned by individuals or by companies with shareholders Ownership by a lord, a guild, the state or the community Markets and prices What gets made, and how much, is settled by buying and selling at prices that move Custom, command or a central plan Wage labour Most people earn a living by selling their working time to an employer Serfdom, slavery, family farming, self-employment Profit and reinvestment Owners keep what is left after costs and plough much of it back in to grow Wealth spent on consumption, war or display The fourth feature is the one that makes capitalism dynamic rather than just a big marketplace. Markets are ancient. What is newer is an economy organised around investing to earn more, so that it is always growing or trying to. Merchants first Long before factories there was merchant capitalism: trading houses in Italy, Flanders and the Baltic ports that financed long voyages and kept careful accounts. How Money Was Invented told the story of banking as "lending trust at scale"; merchant capitalism is what happens when that trust finances long-distance trade. Its showcase was the Dutch Republic of the 1600s. In 1602 the States General merged several trading ventures into the Dutch East India Company (VOC), one of the first joint-stock companies, owned by shareholders who could trade their stakes. Amsterdam soon had a city-backed exchange bank (1609) and an active market in shares. By the Maddison Project's estimates the Netherlands in 1600 produced about $4,270 per person (in 2011 dollars), roughly two and a half times England's $1,690. A small, swampy country had become the richest place in Europe through trade, finance and shipping. Capitalism did not begin as a free market. It began with chartered monopolies that had their own armies. That last point matters and is often skipped. The VOC was granted a 21-year monopoly on Asian trade, and its charter let it build forts, keep armies and sign treaties. Early capitalism was tangled up with state power, monopoly and colonial violence. Defenders and critics both have to reckon with this: defenders say the competitive market grew out of this world and against it (Smith attacked exactly these monopolies), critics say the violence was part of how the capital was gathered in the first place. Enclosure The other root was in the countryside. For centuries English villages farmed open fields and grazed animals on common land under shared rules. Enclosure turned those shared rights into private, fenced holdings. It began in the Middle Ages, but, as Britain's National Archives explains, it became widespread in the 18th and 19th centuries through local Acts of Parliament, growing much more frequent after 1750, with general Acts from 1801 and a permanent commission from 1845. Economic historians still argue about enclosure's effects. The case for it: consolidated farms could adopt new crops, drainage and breeding, raising output and freeing workers for towns. The case against it: villagers who had depended on common grazing, firewood and gleaning lost those rights, often with little compensation, and were pushed into wage labour. Marx put that view at its sharpest in Capital (vol. 1, ch. 27): in the 18th century "the law itself becomes now the instrument of the theft of the people's land." Both sides agree on one thing: enclosure created a large class of people with nothing to sell but their work, which is one of the four features in the table above. Part 2 — Adam Smith, read in full Adam Smith published An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations in 1776, seventeen years after his book on ethics, The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759). He is quoted more than he is read, and the quotations are often bent. Here are the four ideas that matter most, in his own words, followed by the warnings his admirers tend to drop. 1. The division of labour The book opens in a pin factory (Book I, ch. 1). A single untrained worker, Smith says, "could scarce, perhaps, with his utmost industry, make one pin in a day, and certainly could not make twenty." But split the job into "about eighteen distinct operations" (one man draws the wire, another straightens it, a third cuts it) and a small workshop he had seen, with ten men, could make "upwards of forty-eight thousand pins in a day", about 4,800 each. Specialisation, not natural resources or gold, is where wealth comes from. And specialisation is limited by the size of the market: you can only afford to make nothing but pin-heads if enough people will buy pins. 2. Self-interest, harnessed The most famous sentence in economics is in Book I, ch. 2: "It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest." — Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations, I.2 This is often read as "greed is good". It isn't quite. Smith's point is that exchange lets strangers cooperate without having to love each other. You do not need the baker to care about you; you need a deal that suits you both. 3. The invisible hand, in its real context The phrase "invisible hand" appears exactly once in The Wealth of Nations (Book IV, ch. 2), and the context is narrow. Smith is arguing about trade policy: a merchant who prefers to invest at home rather than abroad, for his own security, "is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention." He adds, carefully, "Nor is it always the worse for the society", and that by pursuing his own interest he "frequently" promotes society's more effectively than if he tried to (the italics are ours). Not always worse; frequently better. Those are hedged words. Smith was making a claim about where capital tends to flow, not announcing that markets are always right. The modern use of the phrase, as a general law that self-interest always adds up to the public good, is a later inflation. 4. The system of natural liberty, with a state Smith's ideal was a "system of natural liberty" (end of Book IV), but it came with three duties for government: defence, "an exact administration of justice", and "certain public works, and certain public institutions" that no private person would find profitable to build. In Book V he went further, arguing for publicly supported parish schools. What his admirers tend to leave out Smith was suspicious of business people, sometimes ferociously: On cartels: "People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise prices." (I.10) On lobbying: any law proposed by merchants and manufacturers should be examined "with the most suspicious attention", since it comes "from an order of men, whose interest is never exactly the same with that of the public." (I.11) On the consumer: "Consumption is the sole end and purpose of all production." (IV.8) His target was the mercantile system, in which governments protected producers at consumers' expense. On poverty: "No society can surely be flourishing and happy, of which the far greater part of the members are poor and miserable." (I.8) On the factory itself: the worker who spends his life on "a few simple operations" generally "becomes as stupid and ignorant as it is possible for a human creature to become", and government must take pains to prevent it. (V.1) The pin factory makes the world rich, and the pin factory dulls the worker: Smith said both, about two hundred pages apart. That is not a contradiction. It is an honest man noticing that a system can be very good at one thing and costly in another. Nearly every later argument about capitalism lives in the space between those two passages. Part 3 — The Industrial Revolution: the great escape and its costs For most of history, average incomes barely moved. The Maddison Project's long-run estimates put British output per person at about $2,410 in 1700 and $3,310 in 1820 (2011 dollars): growth, but slow. Then something broke loose. By 1913 the figure was about $8,210, more than three times the 1700 level, and it kept climbing. Historians often call what followed the "Great Divergence", because some countries escaped the old ceiling and others did not, for a long time. Year UK output per person World output per person 1700 $2,412 (no world estimate) 1820 $3,306 $1,128 1870 $5,829 $1,543 1913 $8,212 (no world estimate) 1950 $11,061 $3,360 2022 $38,407 $16,677 Maddison Project Database 2023, GDP per capita in 2011 international dollars, via Our World in Data. Early figures are reconstructions with wide margins of error. Why Britain, and why then? Historians give many answers, all contested: cheap coal and expensive labour that made machines pay; secure property rights after 1688; a culture that admired invention; access to colonial markets and raw materials (some historians stress the cotton grown by enslaved people in the Americas); and the enclosure and wage-labour changes of Part 1. Most scholars now think several of these worked together. Did ordinary people gain? This is one of the longest-running debates in economic history, and it is not settled. As Clark Nardinelli summarises it for Econlib, the pessimists see Blake's "dark satanic mills" and argue that working-class living standards did not clearly improve until the 1840s or 1850s. The optimists see the start of a consumer revolution, with gains under way by the 1810s or 1820s. The key evidence is real wages. A famous 1983 study by Peter Lindert and Jeffrey Williamson found that blue-collar real wages grew slowly from 1781 to 1819 and then roughly doubled between 1819 and 1851. Charles Feinstein later rebuilt the series with a different price index and found much slower growth. John Brown argued that part of the higher factory wage was simply compensation for filthy, dangerous towns. A reasonable summary: the first two or three generations of industrial workers paid a heavy price in health, hours and child labour; their great-grandchildren were far richer than any earlier generation of ordinary people had been. The Industrial Revolution made the long-run case for capitalism and the short-run case against it at the same time. It is worth noticing who conceded the long-run point first. Smith had argued in 1776 that "the liberal reward of labour" was "the natural symptom of increasing national wealth", and that the starving condition of the poor was the sign of a country "going fast backwards" (I.8). And the most famous attack on capitalism ever written opens with something close to a hymn to its productivity. The Communist Manifesto (1848) says the bourgeoisie, "during its rule of scarce one hundred years, has created more massive and more colossal productive forces than have all preceding generations together", and lists the steam-ships, railways, telegraphs and "whole populations conjured out of the ground". Marx and Engels did not deny that capitalism produced wealth. Their charge was about who got it, and what the system did to the people who made it. Friedrich Engels walked through Manchester in the 1840s and wrote The Condition of the Working Class in England (1845). The next deep dive starts there. Part 4 — The twentieth-century defenders: Hayek, Schumpeter, Friedman By the 1930s capitalism was on trial. The Great Depression had thrown millions out of work, the Soviet Union claimed to be planning its way to plenty, and many economists believed a well-run central plan could match or beat markets. Three thinkers built the modern defence of capitalism in response, each from a different angle. Hayek: prices are information The argument began with the Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises, who argued in a 1920 article that a socialist government could not make the economic calculations a complex economy requires. Without market prices for machines, land and materials, how would planners know whether a new railway was worth more than a new hospital? The Polish economist Oskar Lange replied in 1936–37 that planners could set prices by trial and error, raising them when shortages appeared, just as a market does. Many at the time thought Lange had won. (Part 4 of the socialism deep dive picks up this debate.) Friedrich Hayek's answer, "The Use of Knowledge in Society" (American Economic Review, September 1945), is the most influential short essay in the history of the subject. His key move was to change the question. The economic problem, he said, is not how to allocate resources when you know everything. It is that the relevant knowledge "never exists in concentrated or integrated form", but only as "dispersed bits of incomplete and frequently contradictory knowledge" in millions of heads: the knowledge of "the particular circumstances of time and place". The shipper who knows which steamers are running half-empty, the shopkeeper who knows a surplus is sitting in the back room. Much of it cannot be written into statistics at all. Then comes his famous example. Suppose tin becomes scarcer, because a mine has closed or a new use has been found. "It does not matter for our purpose—and it is very significant that it does not matter—which of these two causes has made tin more scarce." The price rises, and users everywhere economise on tin, switch to substitutes, and so on down the chain, without knowing why. "The marvel is that in a case like that of a scarcity of one raw material, without an order being issued, without more than perhaps a handful of people knowing the cause, tens of thousands of people … are made to use the material or its products more sparingly." — F. A. Hayek, "The Use of Knowledge in Society" (1945) Hayek compared the price system to "a system of telecommunications" that lets producers watch "a few pointers" and adjust. A central planner, however brilliant, could not gather what the "man on the spot" knows in time to use it. This is the deepest form of the case for markets: not that people are selfish, or that markets are fair, but that prices carry knowledge no one could collect. (Pricing Without Fear, in the business section, is the same idea seen from inside one small firm.) Hayek also wrote The Road to Serfdom (1944), warning that comprehensive planning tends to concentrate political power. He shared the 1974 Nobel Prize with Gunnar Myrdal, a Swedish economist who had served as his country's trade minister in a Social Democratic government, which makes the pairing a neat summary of the century's argument. Schumpeter: creative destruction Joseph Schumpeter (1883–1950), another Austrian, admired Marx and thought the textbook picture of capitalism, with many small firms competing on price, missed the point. In Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy (1942), in a chapter only six pages long, he described capitalism as a process of "industrial mutation" that "incessantly revolutionizes the economic structure from within, incessantly destroying the old one, incessantly creating a new one. This process of Creative Destruction is the essential fact about capitalism." What drives it is the entrepreneur bringing in new products, new methods, new markets and new forms of organisation. The pain is built in. Econlib's article on the idea gives American examples: the telephone industry employed 421,000 switchboard operators in 1970 and about 156,000 by 2000, while the number of calls handled per operator rose from 64 a day to 1,861. In 1900 nearly forty in every hundred Americans worked on farms; a century later about two did, and the country ate better. The twist is that Schumpeter was not cheering. He speculated (chapters 11–13) that capitalism's very success would breed a comfortable class of intellectuals and bureaucrats hostile to it, and that it would slide gradually into a bureaucratic socialism. He was wrong about the timing, but the question he raised, whether societies will keep accepting the "destruction" half of the bargain, has never gone away. Every factory closure, every app that wipes out an industry, re-asks it. Friedman: markets and freedom Milton Friedman (1912–2006) won the 1976 Nobel Prize for work on consumption, monetary history and stabilisation policy, but his public fame came from two books, Capitalism and Freedom (1962) and Free to Choose (1980, with Rose Friedman). His argument was moral as well as economic: voluntary exchange is cooperation without coercion, and an economy run by political direction concentrates power that can be turned against people. Many of his specific proposals were less "right-wing" than people assume: a volunteer army instead of the draft, a negative income tax (a guaranteed floor paid in cash), school vouchers, floating exchange rates, and the abolition of licensing for doctors. With Anna Schwartz he wrote A Monetary History of the United States (1963), which argued that the Great Depression was made far worse by the Federal Reserve's mistakes, not by some inherent failure of markets. This became a core claim of the defence: many of capitalism's disasters are failures of government policy. His most quoted and most disputed idea is from a 1970 essay in the New York Times Magazine: "there is one and only one social responsibility of business—to use its resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game, which is to say, engages in open and free competition without deception or fraud." Read in full, his argument is that a manager who spends shareholders' money on causes of his own choosing is spending other people's money without their consent; the duty is to make money "while conforming to the basic rules of the society, both those embodied in law and those embodied in ethical custom." Critics answer that this assumes the rules are fair and fixed, when businesses spend heavily to write them, the very danger Smith warned about. Part 5 — Not one capitalism but several Put a German engineering firm next to a Silicon Valley start-up and you can see that "capitalism" covers very different ways of organising an economy. In 2001 the political economists Peter Hall and David Soskice edited Varieties of Capitalism, which gave this a framework that is still the standard starting point. They asked how firms solve their coordination problems (with workers, investors, suppliers, rivals and the training system) and found two broad answers: Liberal market economies (LMEs) Coordinated market economies (CMEs) Typical examples United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Ireland Germany, Japan, Austria, the Nordic countries How firms coordinate Mainly through markets and management hierarchies Much more through non-market bargaining and networks Finance Stock markets, short-term returns, takeovers "Patient capital" from banks and long-term owners Wages Set mostly firm by firm Often bargained at industry or national level Skills General, portable education Firm- and industry-specific, via apprenticeships Tends to be good at Radical innovation: software, finance, biotech Incremental innovation: machine tools, cars, chemicals Tends to produce Higher inequality, easier hiring and firing Lower inequality, more job security The key idea is institutional complementarity: the pieces fit together. Patient bank finance makes long apprenticeships worth investing in, which suits high-quality manufacturing, which rewards stable industry-wide wage bargaining. Copy one piece without the others and it may not work. That is a warning to anyone who wants to import "the German model" or "the American model" wholesale. You can see the two types in ordinary numbers. Taxes, including social contributions, came to about 25% of GDP in the United States in 2023, against 37% in Germany and 43% in Denmark (UNU-WIDER Government Revenue Dataset, via Our World in Data). In Denmark, Finland and Sweden there is no national minimum wage at all, as of July 2026, according to Eurostat: minimum pay is set by collective agreements between unions and employers, sector by sector. In an LME that job usually falls to a law; in these CMEs it falls to organised bargaining. Neither arrangement is "less capitalist": the firms are privately owned and compete in world markets either way. They differ in how much of the economy's coordination happens through prices alone. The framework has its critics. It describes rich countries far better than poor ones, it has trouble with mixed cases such as France or Italy, and it may exaggerate stability: Germany's labour-market reforms of the early 2000s led many to question whether it still fits the coordinated type. But it makes one point that cuts through a lot of noise: the real choice in most rich democracies is not "capitalism or not" but which kind. The Nordic countries, which the socialism deep dive examines closely, are coordinated market economies in this scheme. Part 6 — The record: growth and poverty, with the numbers Here is the strongest evidence for capitalism's defenders. It deserves to be stated carefully, with its limits. Growth. On the Maddison estimates, world output per person in 1820 was about $1,130 (2011 dollars). By 2022 it was about $16,680, nearly fifteen times higher, while the world's population grew more than sevenfold, from about 1.1 billion to 8 billion. Nothing remotely like this had happened before. The countries that grew fastest over the last two centuries were, with few exceptions, market economies, or countries that turned towards markets. Poverty. The World Bank's international extreme-poverty line is now $3.00 a day (2021 prices, adjusted for living costs). According to its Poverty and Inequality Platform: Year Share of the world below $3.00/day Number of people 1990 43.4% 2.30 billion 2010 21.0% 1.47 billion 2019 10.8% 0.84 billion 2026 (nowcast) 9.8% 811 million World Bank PIP, accessed October 2026. "Nowcast" years are model estimates, not survey results. The World Bank says the decline was "largely driven by robust, broad-based economic growth in East Asia and South Asia." China alone accounts for an enormous share: the Bank estimated in 2022 that the number of Chinese below the older $1.90 line fell by close to 800 million over forty years, close to three-quarters of the global fall. Three honest complications Who gets the credit? China's growth came after market reforms from 1978, and its output per person rose from about $1,740 in 1978 to $19,240 in 2022 (Maddison). Defenders of markets point to private enterprise, prices and trade. Others point out that it happened under a Communist Party with heavy state direction, state banks and state-owned firms. The honest answer is that China is a hybrid, and both sides claim it. Where you draw the line matters. At $3.00 a day the fall is dramatic. At the World Bank's higher line of $8.30 a day, used for upper-middle-income countries, the share fell from 70.4% in 1990 to an estimated 44.4% in 2026, but the number of people barely changed: 3.73 billion then, about 3.68 billion now. Billions have escaped destitution without reaching security. Progress has slowed. The World Bank itself says poverty reduction "has slowed substantially" over the last decade, with extreme poverty increasingly concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa and in conflict-affected places. Growth may be necessary, as the Bank puts it, but it "is not enough". A fourth complication is about the measuring stick itself. GDP per person counts what is bought and sold; it misses unpaid care work, leisure, the quality of the air and the depletion of natural resources, and it says nothing about how income is shared. Defenders reply that richer countries tend to do better on most of the things GDP leaves out, from child survival to schooling, and that growth is what pays for them. Both points can be true at once, which is why careful economists look at GDP alongside other measures rather than instead of them. Capitalism's best argument is not a theory. It is a graph. Its critics' best answer is to ask who is still at the bottom of it. Part 7 — The strongest critiques, and how to weigh them A fair account has to give the critics their strongest ground. Four lines of attack carry the most weight, and notice that several of them were made first by capitalism's own defenders. 1. Inequality The World Inequality Report 2026 finds that the top 10% of the world's income-earners earn more than the other 90% combined, while the poorest half receive less than 10% of global income. Wealth is more concentrated still: the top 10% own about three-quarters of it, the bottom half about 2%. The richest 0.001%, fewer than 60,000 people, hold three times as much wealth as the poorer half of humanity. The critique has three layers. Fairness: returns flow to those who already own capital, so advantage compounds across generations (Thomas Piketty's Capital in the Twenty-First Century made this argument famous). Opportunity: John Rawls argued that even welfare-state capitalism lets wealth inequality undermine equal chances in education and fair political influence. Politics: money buys lobbying and campaign influence, which tilts the rules. The defenders' replies are serious too. Even the World Inequality Report finds that the poorest half of the world has enjoyed "relatively robust growth" since 1980 (it is the middle 40% that stagnated); what matters morally, many argue, is whether the poor are getting richer, not the gap; and the inequality data, especially for wealth, rest on estimates that other economists dispute. This is a live empirical and moral argument, not a settled one. 2. Crises Markets coordinate brilliantly in normal times and can fail together in bad ones. An IMF database by Luc Laeven and Fabián Valencia counts 151 systemic banking crises around the world between 1970 and 2017. The Manifesto of 1848 already described the "epidemic of over-production"; Keynes in the 1930s argued that an economy could get stuck with mass unemployment for years with no automatic way out. The defence, following Friedman and Schwartz, is that many crises are made by governments and central banks, through bad monetary policy, implicit bailouts that encourage risk-taking, or housing subsidies. The critics reply that finance, left to itself, has a built-in tendency to boom and bust. Most modern economies settled on a compromise: markets, plus central banks, deposit insurance and bank regulation. How much of each is the argument. 3. Monopoly Competition is what makes the invisible hand work; without it, prices stop carrying honest information and start carrying market power. Smith knew this. The modern worry is that competition is weakening. In a widely discussed working paper (NBER, 2017), Jan De Loecker and Jan Eeckhout estimated that the average American firm's price markup over marginal cost rose from about 18% in 1980 to 67%. Others dispute how markups are measured, and some of the rise may reflect valuable intangible investments like software and brands. But concern about "superstar" firms and digital platforms that win nearly whole markets is now shared across the political spectrum. Schumpeter's answer was that today's monopolist is tomorrow's casualty of creative destruction; the open question is whether that still happens fast enough. 4. Externalities A price tells you what something costs the buyer and seller. It says nothing about the cost to people who are not in the deal: the neighbours of a polluting factory, or future generations living with a warmer climate. Economists call these costs externalities. Arthur Pigou analysed them in The Economics of Welfare (1920), and a tax on pollution is still called a "Pigouvian tax" after him; Ronald Coase argued in 1960 that clear property rights and bargaining could sometimes settle them without the state. The biggest case is climate change. The UK government's Stern Review (October 2006) called it "the greatest and widest-ranging market failure ever seen", estimating that unchecked warming could cost at least 5% of world GDP each year, possibly over 20%, against around 1% to cut emissions. The critique here is not that markets cannot respond (a carbon price is a market tool), but that a system driven by prices will not fix what its prices leave out unless something outside the market sets them. And the deeper critiques Beyond these four sit the critiques of the system as such. Karl Polanyi argued in The Great Transformation (1944) that land, labour and money are "fictitious commodities", not produced for sale, and that treating them as ordinary goods tears at society until people push back. "Laissez-faire was planned," he wrote: free markets were built by states, not found in nature. Marxists argue that wage labour is a form of exploitation even when wages are fair by market standards. That argument is the subject of the next deep dive. Weighing it up After all that, a few things are clear and a few are honestly not. Fairly clear. Market economies with secure property rights, prices that move and room for new firms have produced more growth than any system yet tried, and that growth is the main reason extreme poverty is far lower than it was in 1990. Prices really do carry knowledge that no planner could gather, and no serious economist now denies Hayek's core point. Capitalism also always comes with a state that enforces contracts, prints money, builds roads and regulates banks. Every real economy is "mixed". Live disputes. How much inequality is the price of dynamism and how much is just rent-seeking. Whether crises come mainly from markets or from policy. Whether competition is weakening. Whether a price-driven system can deal with climate change in time. These are partly empirical questions, with evidence still coming in, and partly questions of values: how you weigh liberty, equality, security and growth against each other. The people who disagree about them are not, on the whole, stupid or wicked. They weigh different things. The interesting argument today is rarely "capitalism: yes or no?" It is "which capitalism, with which rules, for whom?" Adam Smith, read whole, would recognise that argument. He wanted free markets and a suspicious eye on merchants, natural liberty and public schools. The next deep dive meets the people who thought that wasn't nearly enough. The takeaway Capitalism is an economic system built on private ownership of productive assets, markets and moving prices, wage labour and the reinvestment of profit. It grew out of merchant trade, the Dutch Republic's finance and the enclosure of common land, and its key texts make a layered case: Smith on specialisation and exchange (with sharp warnings about cartels and the dulling of workers), Hayek on prices as carriers of dispersed knowledge, Schumpeter on creative destruction, and Friedman on markets as protection for liberty. Its record on growth is unmatched: world output per person is roughly fifteen times its 1820 level, and extreme poverty fell from 43% of humanity in 1990 to under 10% today. Its strongest critiques (inequality, crises, monopoly and externalities such as climate change) are serious, and several were first raised by its own defenders. Every real economy mixes markets with a state; the live question is the mix. Try this: pick one thing you bought today, such as coffee, a phone charger or a loaf of bread, and trace it back as far as you can: who grew, mined or made each part, and which price told each of them to do it. Then ask Smith's two questions about the same chain: where did competition keep the price honest, and where might "people of the same trade" have met? Sources & Further Reading Sources - Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations (1776), Project Gutenberg eBook #3300: I.1 (pin factory), I.2 (butcher, brewer, baker), I.8, I.10, I.11, IV.2 (the single "invisible hand"), IV.8, IV.9 (three duties of the sovereign), V.1 (effects of the division of labour; parish schools). - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, "Capitalism" (Chiara Cordelli, 2026): Smith's "commercial society", Marx's and Hayek's use of the term, Friedman's 1962 definition, Schumpeter's prediction, Polanyi, Rawls. - Wikipedia articles on the Dutch East India Company and the Bank of Amsterdam (dates and charter powers, used as leads); UK National Archives, "Enclosure Acts, awards and maps"; Marx, Capital vol. 1, ch. 27 (marxists.org). - Maddison Project Database 2023, via Our World in Data (GDP per capita, 2011 international dollars). - Clark Nardinelli, "Industrial Revolution and the Standard of Living", Econlib (Lindert–Williamson, Feinstein and Brown). - F. A. Hayek, "The Use of Knowledge in Society", American Economic Review 35(4), 1945 (Econlib text); Econlib biographies of Hayek, Mises, Lange and Friedman; Nobel Prize facts page for Friedman (1976). - W. Michael Cox and Richard Alm, "Creative Destruction", Econlib (Schumpeter quotation, US job figures). - Milton Friedman, "The Social Responsibility of Business Is to Increase Its Profits", New York Times Magazine, 13 September 1970. - Peter A. Hall and David Soskice (eds.), Varieties of Capitalism (Oxford University Press, 2001), as summarised in standard accounts. - World Bank Poverty and Inequality Platform ($3.00 and $8.30 lines, 2021 PPP, accessed October 2026); World Bank poverty overview (September 2026 update); World Bank press release on China, 1 April 2022. - World Inequality Report 2026, executive summary (World Inequality Lab). - J. De Loecker and J. Eeckhout, "The Rise of Market Power and the Macroeconomic Implications", NBER Working Paper 23687 (2017). - L. Laeven and F. Valencia, "Systemic Banking Crises Revisited", IMF Working Paper 18/206 (2018). - A. C. Pigou, The Economics of Welfare (1920); Econlib, "Externalities" (Coase, 1960); The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review (HM Treasury, 2006), as summarised by LSE's Grantham Institute and The Guardian (30 October 2006). Go deeper - 📘 The Wealth of Nations — Adam Smith. Read Book I, chs. 1–3, and the "invisible hand" passage in Book IV, ch. 2 for yourself; free at Project Gutenberg. - 🌐 "The Use of Knowledge in Society" — F. A. Hayek. Twelve pages, and the best short case for markets ever written. Read it with a planner's objections in mind. - 📘 Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy — Joseph Schumpeter. Chapter 7 for creative destruction; chapters 11–13 for his gloomy prediction about capitalism's future. - 📘 The Great Transformation — Karl Polanyi. The classic argument that markets are made by states and provoke society's resistance; the best counterweight to Hayek. - 📘 Capitalism and Freedom — Milton Friedman. Short, clear and still provocative; notice how many of his proposals cross today's party lines. - 🌐 SEP: Capitalism — a rigorous, even-handed map of the arguments for and against, with full references. - 🌐 Our World in Data: GDP per capita (Maddison Project) and the World Bank's Poverty and Inequality Platform — check the numbers in Part 6 yourself, and try different poverty lines. - 🌐 Companion pieces in this library: The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented and The Great Political Traditions (Politics), How Money Was Invented (History), Pricing Without Fear (Starting a Business), and the next deep dive, Socialism: The Many Kinds, From Utopians to Social Democracy. Socialism: The Many Kinds, From Utopians to Social Democracy ------------------------------------------------------------ One word covers a Scottish mill owner, a German revolutionary, a Basque priest and a Danish welfare state. Here is how the family tree grew, what each branch actually proposes for the economy, and the best arguments for and against each. Follows: The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented and Capitalism: How Markets, Prices and Private Property Organise an Economy In this deep dive 1. What socialism is, and why there are so many kinds 2. The utopians: Saint-Simon, Fourier and Owen 3. Marx and Engels's economics, fairly presented 4. What Marx's critics said, and what survives 5. Revolution or reform: Bernstein, Luxemburg, the Fabians and the great split 6. Socialism with markets: the calculation debate, market socialism and Mondragon 7. The Nordic model: is it socialism? 8. Weighing it up In 1800 a Welsh businessman named Robert Owen took charge of a cotton mill at New Lanark, in Scotland. Over the next three decades, Friedrich Engels later wrote, he turned a demoralised workforce into a model community of 2,500 people, with infant schools and a working day of ten and a half hours when competitors worked their people thirteen or fourteen. And then Owen asked a question that would not leave him alone. His 2,500 workers, he calculated, produced as much as a population of 600,000 could have produced half a century earlier. So where did the difference go? Engels quotes him asking exactly that: "what became of the difference between the wealth consumed by 2,500 persons and that which would have been consumed by 600,000?" That question, about who gets the extra wealth machines create, is where socialism starts. The previous deep dive, on capitalism, set out the case for markets, prices and private property, and ended with its strongest critiques. This one follows the people who thought those critiques went to the root. It covers socialism as an economic system: who should own the means of production, how goods should be made and shared, and how it has been tried. The Great Political Traditions (Politics 15) treats socialism as a political family alongside liberalism and conservatism; this piece sticks to the economics. The Soviet and Chinese experience of state communism, and the anarchist tradition, have their own deep dives later in this series. Part 1 — What socialism is, and why there are so many kinds Socialists disagree about almost everything except a starting point. The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy entry on socialism puts the common core like this: socialists object to a society divided between a class that owns the productive assets and so does not need to work for a living, and a class that must work for them. The remedy, in some form, is social ownership or control of the means of production, organised to meet needs and to give people an equal say in the economic decisions that shape their lives. Notice how many questions that leaves open. Social ownership could mean the state, a town, the workers in each firm, or customers in a co-operative. Control could mean owning firms outright or just regulating, taxing and bargaining with private owners. The economy could be run by a plan or by markets. And the change could come through revolution or through elections. Different answers to those questions give you very different socialisms: Branch Who owns the economy? How is it coordinated? How do you get there? Utopian socialism (early 1800s) Model communities, owned in common Community planning Example and persuasion Marxism Society as a whole, eventually Planning, after capitalism collapses Class struggle, usually revolution Revolutionary state socialism / communism The state, on behalf of workers Central plan Revolution (see the communism deep dive) Democratic socialism Largely social: public, co-operative or worker-owned Mixed: plan plus markets Elections and mass movements Social democracy Mostly private Markets, with a large welfare state and strong unions Elections and bargaining Market socialism Workers, the public, or all citizens via shares Markets Varies Co-operativism The members of each enterprise Markets Building co-ops within capitalism The labels are used loosely, and people inside each movement argue about them. But the table shows why the word "socialism" can make two people talk past each other. One means Denmark. The other means the Soviet Union. Neither is lying; they are describing different branches of the same tree. Part 5 explains why the line between democratic socialism and social democracy in particular is worth drawing carefully. One more rule of fair comparison, which the Stanford Encyclopedia entry stresses and which both sides routinely break: compare like with like. It is unfair to set an ideal socialism against actually existing capitalism, with all its slums and crashes, and equally unfair to set ideal free markets against the worst actually existing socialist states. Ideal should be weighed against ideal, real against real, and, most usefully, the best feasible version of each against the other. This piece tries to keep to that rule: it sets out each branch's best design, then asks what happened when it met reality. Most arguments about "socialism" are really arguments about which socialism, and both sides are often thinking of different countries. Part 2 — The utopians: Saint-Simon, Fourier and Owen The first socialists had no party and no theory of revolution. They had ideas for a better society and, in some cases, money to try them. Engels, in Socialism: Utopian and Scientific (1880), named "the three great Utopians", and though he meant the word as a put-down, he wrote about each of them with real admiration. Henri de Saint-Simon (1760–1825): a society run by producers A French aristocrat who lived through the Revolution, Saint-Simon divided society into "workers" and "idlers". The workers, for him, included bankers, factory owners and scientists along with labourers; the idlers were the nobles, the clergy and anyone who lived off rents without producing. He wanted society organised by science and industry, and he insisted, as Engels quotes him, that "all men ought to work". His first concern was "the class that is the most numerous and the most poor." His disciples, after his death, pushed his ideas further towards a planned economy and the abolition of inheritance. His real legacy is the idea that an industrial economy could be consciously organised rather than left to chance, which runs through both state planning and modern technocracy. Charles Fourier (1772–1837): making work attractive Fourier was the satirist of the group; Engels called him "one of the greatest satirists of all time". He mocked the hypocrisy of commercial civilisation and the misery of tedious work. His alternative was the phalanstère, a planned community in which people would rotate between jobs they enjoyed, following their natural passions, so that work became pleasure rather than drudgery. Fourierist colonies sprang up in the United States in the nineteenth century, including Brook Farm in Massachusetts; none lasted long. But his central question, why work has to be miserable, keeps returning in debates about automation and meaningful jobs. Robert Owen (1771–1858): the model factory Owen was the practical one. He made New Lanark profitable and humane, which convinced many visitors that the misery of early industry was a choice, not a necessity. Then he went further. In the 1820s he put most of his fortune into a co-operative community at New Harmony, Indiana. It was dissolved in 1827, and other Owenite colonies in Britain also failed within a few years. Owen lost his wealth, but not his influence: back in London he backed trade unions and co-operatives and set up a labour exchange in which goods were traded for "labour notes" measured in hours worked. Why they mattered, and why they failed The utopians invented much of socialism's vocabulary: the critique of idleness and waste, the dream of attractive work, the co-operative, the idea that economic life could be designed. The Communist Manifesto praised them for attacking "every principle of existing society" while dismissing their plans as fantasies. Their communities failed for reasons that would haunt later socialism too. Small groups that had chosen to opt out of the wider economy still had to buy from it, sell to it and compete with it. Members disagreed about work and reward, and someone had to decide. Those are not proofs that socialism is impossible. They are the practical problems every later version had to solve. Part 3 — Marx and Engels's economics, fairly presented Karl Marx (1818–1883) and Friedrich Engels (1820–1895) wanted to replace dreams with science. Engels had already written The Condition of the Working Class in England (1845) from what he saw in Manchester. Together they published the Communist Manifesto in February 1848. Marx's life work was Capital, volume 1 of which appeared in 1867; Engels edited the later volumes from Marx's notes, volume 3 appearing in 1894. Marx's economics is often caricatured, by friends and enemies alike. Here it is in its own terms, as fairly as it can be put in a few pages. Step 1: value comes from labour Marx took the labour theory of value from the classical economists, Smith and especially David Ricardo. In Capital (vol. 1, ch. 1) the value of a commodity is set by the "labour time socially necessary" to produce it: the time required "under the normal conditions of production, and with the average degree of skill and intensity prevalent at the time." Not your labour if you are slow, but the social average. Step 2: labour-power is a commodity like any other Here is Marx's key move. What the worker sells to the employer is not "labour" but labour-power, the capacity to work for a day. Like any commodity, its value is what it costs to produce: the food, shelter and clothing needed to keep a worker able to work and to raise the next generation. Step 3: the gap is surplus value In chapter 7 Marx works an example. Suppose the daily value of labour-power is three shillings, which is the value produced in six hours of work. The capitalist pays three shillings, a fair price. But he has bought a whole day's use of labour-power, and the worker works twelve hours. The second six hours create value the worker is not paid for: surplus value, the source of profit. The striking thing is that, on Marx's account, no one has been cheated. The employer has paid the market rate. Marx says, with heavy irony, that this is "a piece of good luck for the buyer, but by no means an injury to the seller." Exploitation, for Marx, is not fraud or bad bosses. It is built into the wage relationship itself, because the worker, having no land or tools, has no choice but to sell labour-power to those who own them. In chapter 6 he mocks the marketplace where wages are agreed as a place where "alone rule Freedom, Equality, Property and Bentham": everything looks free and equal at the moment of exchange, and the inequality happens out of sight, in the workplace. Marx's terms What it means Spinner example (ch. 7) Value of labour-power Cost of keeping a worker able to work 3 shillings = 6 hours Working day Hours actually worked 12 hours Surplus value Value created beyond the wage 6 hours, worth 3 shillings Rate of surplus value Surplus ÷ wage: Marx's measure of exploitation 100% Marx calls the rate of surplus value "an exact expression for the degree of exploitation of labour-power by capital" (ch. 9). In his darkest image, "Capital is dead labour, that, vampire-like, only lives by sucking living labour" (ch. 10). Step 4: why the system is unstable From here Marx derives capitalism's tendencies to crisis: The reserve army. Machinery throws workers out of jobs, creating an "industrial reserve army" of the unemployed (vol. 1, ch. 25) that holds wages down. Overproduction. The Manifesto describes "the epidemic of over-production": crises in which society suffers not because there is too little but because "there is too much civilisation, too much means of subsistence, too much industry, too much commerce" for the system to sell profitably. The falling rate of profit. If only living labour creates surplus value, and competition pushes firms to replace workers with machines, then the profit rate across the economy tends to fall. Marx (vol. 3, ch. 13) presents this as "an expression peculiar to the capitalist mode of production of the progressive development of the social productivity of labour." Put together, these tendencies were meant to show that capitalism would generate ever-sharper crises and an ever-larger, more organised working class, until workers took over the means of production. Marx's charge was not that capitalism fails to produce wealth. It was that it produces wealth in a way that cannot last and cannot be fair. It is worth stressing how much Marx admired what he attacked. The same Manifesto that calls for "Abolition of private property" says that under capitalism "All that is solid melts into air", and credits it with more productive power than all earlier generations together. His argument was about what came next. Part 4 — What Marx's critics said, and what survives Marx's economics drew powerful criticism almost at once, and the debate never stopped. The marginal revolution In 1871, working independently, William Stanley Jevons in Manchester and Carl Menger in Vienna (and, shortly afterwards, Léon Walras in Lausanne) developed a different theory of value. Value, they argued, depends on marginal utility: how much people want one more unit of something. Water is essential and cheap; diamonds are trivial and dear, because water is plentiful and diamonds scarce. On this view, labour does not create value; things have value because people want them, and the labour that goes into making them is valuable because the product is. Within a generation, mainstream economics had moved over to marginalism, and it has stayed there. The transformation problem In volume 1, Marx assumed goods sell at their labour values. But in real markets, profit rates tend to even out across industries, even though some industries use far more machinery per worker than others. If profit came only from living labour, machine-heavy industries should earn lower profit rates, and they don't. Marx addressed this in volume 3 by "transforming" values into prices of production. The Austrian economist Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk argued in Karl Marx and the Close of His System (1896) that the solution was a contradiction: if prices don't follow labour values, the labour theory explains nothing about actual prices. Arguments over whether the transformation can be made consistent have run for more than a century among Marxian economists. The verdict of mainstream economics is blunt. Econlib's encyclopedia article on Marxism calls the labour theory of value "demonstrably false". Most economists agree. What survives Many sympathetic scholars accept much of that criticism, and still find a lot of Marx worth keeping. The Stanford Encyclopedia entry on Marx notes that "even if the labour theory of value is considered discredited, there are elements of his theory that remain of worth." Three stand out: Exploitation without the labour theory. The philosopher Robert Nozick objected that if the labour theory falls, the theory of exploitation falls with it. The economist John Roemer tried to rebuild the idea on ownership instead: workers are exploited, on his account, if they are made worse off, through no fault of their own, by an unequal distribution of productive property, having to work longer for the same consumption than they would if capital were owned in common. Defenders of capitalism reply that owners contribute something real, notably risk-taking, and that the "surplus" is a fair payment for access to capital. As the Stanford Encyclopedia's entry on capitalism puts it, the argument then turns on whether the unequal distribution of property can itself be justified, which is a moral question, not an accounting one. Conflict and instability. The Cambridge economist Joan Robinson, in An Essay on Marxian Economics (1942), singled out two lasting insights: Marx's refusal to assume a harmony of interests between workers and employers, and his denial that markets have a long-run tendency to settle into equilibrium, with his account of the boom-and-bust cycle. Few economists accept Marx's specific crisis theory, but the idea that market economies can generate booms, busts and long spells of unemployment from within is now widely accepted. Power at work. The observation that formally free exchange can hide unequal power, the "Freedom, Equality, Property and Bentham" point, is still central to debates about wages, gig work and workplace democracy. What did not happen matters as much. In the rich countries the working class did not become ever more miserable. Real wages rose, a large middle class grew, and workers won the vote, unions and welfare states. That fact gave rise to the biggest split in socialist history. Part 5 — Revolution or reform: Bernstein, Luxemburg, the Fabians and the great split At the end of the nineteenth century the official doctrine of the German Social Democratic Party (SPD), the flagship of the international movement, was Marxist: capitalism would sharpen into crisis and give way to socialism. One of the party's leading thinkers, Eduard Bernstein (1850–1932), had spent years in exile in London, close to Engels and in contact with the Fabians. He looked at the evidence and concluded that Marx had been wrong about the direction of history. Bernstein: the movement is everything In Evolutionary Socialism (1899; in German, Die Voraussetzungen des Sozialismus) Bernstein argued that capitalism was not heading for collapse. Crises were not getting worse; wealth was not concentrating as fast as Marx predicted; small firms were surviving; and workers were gaining through unions, co-operatives and the vote. He criticised the expectation, endorsed at an international socialist congress in 1896, that a great catastrophic crisis was imminent. Socialism should therefore be pursued through gradual, democratic reform. "Democracy," he wrote, "is a condition of socialism" to a much greater degree than usually assumed. And then the line that made him notorious: "To me that which is generally called the ultimate aim of socialism is nothing, but the movement is everything." — Eduard Bernstein, Evolutionary Socialism, Conclusion He meant that steady, practical improvements were what counted, and he said elsewhere, "Unable to believe in finalities at all, I cannot believe in a final aim of socialism." Luxemburg: a different goal, not a slower road The young Polish-German revolutionary Rosa Luxemburg replied in Reform or Revolution (1898–99). She did not oppose reforms; the question, she said, is whether reforms are a means to transforming society or the whole aim. People who choose legislative reform instead of the conquest of power "do not really choose a more tranquil, calmer and slower road to the same goal, but a different goal." Reform alone would leave the ownership of capital untouched, so capitalism's core would survive every improvement. On co-operatives she was sharper still: a producers' co-op inside a capitalist market is "a hybrid form", forced by competition to "govern themselves with the utmost absolutism", exploiting themselves as harshly as any boss would. This argument has never been settled, and it still divides the left: does every reform bring socialism closer, or does it make capitalism more comfortable and so more permanent? The Fabians: the British road In Britain the reformist case came from a different direction. The Fabian Society, founded in London on 4 January 1884, took its name from the Roman general Quintus Fabius, famous for wearing down Hannibal by patient delay. Its members, including George Bernard Shaw and Sidney and Beatrice Webb, rejected violent revolution and set out to make socialism respectable through research and steady persuasion. The Fabian Essays of 1889 made their name. They founded the London School of Economics and helped found the Labour Party in 1900. When Labour won its 1945 landslide, 229 Fabian Society members were elected to Parliament, many of whom became ministers in Clement Attlee's government. Labour's constitution made the commitment explicit. Clause IV, drafted by Sidney Webb and adopted in 1918, called for "the common ownership of the means of production"; the words "distribution and exchange" were added in 1929, giving the version most people remember. In 1995, under Tony Blair, the party replaced it with wording that dropped common ownership. The great split, and why the labels matter After the Russian Revolution of 1917, the socialist movement split for good. Communists followed Lenin into revolution and one-party rule; social democrats stayed with elections. Over the following decades, most social democratic parties gradually stopped aiming to replace capitalism at all. The SPD's Godesberg Programme of 1959, for example, dropped Marxism and summed up its economic policy as "as much competition as possible, as much planning as necessary." That history explains a distinction that matters today: Democratic socialism Social democracy Goal Replace capitalism with a system of social ownership Reform and humanise capitalism Private ownership of big business To be reduced or ended over time Accepted, regulated and taxed Typical tools Public, co-operative and worker ownership; democratic planning Welfare state, public services, unions, progressive taxes Method Democratic: elections, movements, unions Democratic: elections and bargaining Historical examples of the idea Labour's 1918 Clause IV; Sweden's 1970s wage-earner fund plan (Part 7) Post-war Nordic and German welfare states; the Godesberg SPD Both are democratic. The difference is the destination. A social democrat wants a better capitalism; a democratic socialist wants, eventually, something that is no longer capitalism. The distinction matters because opponents often blur it for effect, and supporters sometimes blur it for comfort. Critics of social democracy say "this is socialism, and socialism ends in the Soviet Union"; defenders of democratic socialism say "we just want what Denmark has". Neither is quite accurate, and you can only see why with the distinction in hand. A social democrat wants a better capitalism. A democratic socialist wants, eventually, something that is no longer capitalism. Part 6 — Socialism with markets: the calculation debate, market socialism and Mondragon If socialism means ending markets, it runs straight into the problem described in the capitalism deep dive: how can anyone run an economy without prices? The calculation debate The attack came from Vienna. In a 1920 article, Ludwig von Mises argued that without markets for the means of production there could be no meaningful prices for them, and so no rational way to calculate which projects were worth undertaking. Socialism, he said, was not just inefficient but impossible. Hayek developed the argument into his case about dispersed knowledge. In 1936 and 1937 the Polish economist Oskar Lange replied in two articles that impressed many economists at the time. Planners, he argued, could imitate a market: set prices, watch for shortages and surpluses, and adjust by trial and error, as a market does. Robert Heilbroner, writing for Econlib, recalls that many believed the Mises–Hayek argument "had been demolished". Lange himself added a warning in italics: "The real danger of socialism is that of a bureaucratization of economic life." Heilbroner's own verdict was that Mises and Hayek had been right, but partly for a reason Lange foresaw more clearly than they did. The problem with planned economies turned out to be less about information than about motivation: managers had little reason to act on the information they did have, to innovate, or to stop producing what nobody wanted. (The communism deep dive looks at how this played out in practice.) Market socialism Many socialists drew the lesson that the goal should be socialist ownership combined with market coordination. The Stanford Encyclopedia describes several serious designs: Economic democracy (David Schweickart): firms are run by their workers, who decide what to make and how to pay themselves; goods are sold in competitive markets; investment funds are allocated by democratically accountable public banks, funded by a tax on capital assets. Coupon socialism (John Roemer): every adult receives an equal allocation of special "coupons" that can be used only to buy shares in firms, not exchanged for cash. People earn dividends but cannot sell their stake for money or leave it to their children, so no separate class of capital owners emerges, while a stock market still disciplines managers. The Carens model (Joseph Carens): markets set pre-tax wages to signal where work is needed, but taxes equalise post-tax incomes, and people choose jobs partly out of a sense of social duty. The encyclopedia also records the main objections, drawn from the economist Giacomo Corneo and others. Under worker self-management, workers doing identical jobs in different firms earn very different incomes depending on market luck; workers' savings and jobs are concentrated in one firm, which is risky; self-managed firms may hire too little when prices are high, because existing members don't want to share the profit; and the public investment banks would hold enormous power that might be hard to hold democratically accountable. The Carens model, critics say, asks a great deal of human motivation. Co-operatives and Mondragon Market socialism is mostly theory, but one form of it exists at scale today: the co-operative. The International Co-operative Alliance, founded in London in 1895, says there are about 3 million co-operatives in the world, that more than 12% of humanity belongs to one, and that they provide work for about 280 million people, around 10% of the world's employed population. The most famous worker co-operative network grew up in the Basque Country in Spain. In 1955 a Catholic priest, José María Arizmendiarrieta, encouraged a group of young people to leave the factories where they worked and start their own company on the principle of workers' democracy; on 14 April 1956 he blessed the foundation stone of ULGOR, the first of the co-operatives. Today the Mondragon Corporation describes itself as 81 self-governing co-operatives with around 70,000 people and 12 research centres, with 104 production plants in 37 countries. Members elect the governing bodies on a one-person-one-vote basis. Mondragon is the strongest real-world evidence that worker ownership can compete in global markets for decades. It also illustrates the critics' points. When its appliance maker, Fagor Electrodomésticos, went into crisis, the group's own history records that in 2014 all the co-operatives worked to relocate the members affected: a real show of solidarity, and also a reminder of how concentrated a worker-owner's risk is when one firm holds both their job and their savings. Luxemburg's "hybrid form" is visible here: a democratic enterprise that must still survive, and can still fail, in a capitalist market. Part 7 — The Nordic model: is it socialism? When an American politician says "socialism", someone usually replies "you mean like Denmark?". In October 2015, after Denmark came up in a US presidential primary debate (Senator Bernie Sanders, who called himself a democratic socialist, consistently pointed to the Nordic countries as his model), Denmark's centre-right prime minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen gave a speech at Harvard's Kennedy School. "I know that some people in the US associate the Nordic model with some sort of socialism," he said. "Therefore I would like to make one thing clear. Denmark is far from a socialist planned economy. Denmark is a market economy." He was not arguing that Denmark is small-government. The Nordic model, he said, is "an expanded welfare state which provides a high level of security to its citizens, but it is also a successful market economy." So which is it? Here are both cases, at their strongest. The case that it is (a kind of) socialism It was built by socialists. The Nordic welfare states were created largely by labour movements and social democratic parties that came out of the socialist tradition. Sweden's Social Democratic Party was founded in 1889, in the same era and the same international movement as Bernstein's SPD. The state's share is large. Taxes, including social contributions, came to about 43% of GDP in Denmark, 43% in Finland and 41% in Norway and Sweden in 2023, against about 25% in the United States (UNU-WIDER Government Revenue Dataset, via Our World in Data). That money pays for universal healthcare, free or nearly free education, generous parental leave and pensions: goods distributed by need rather than by ability to pay. Labour has real power. In Denmark, Finland and Sweden there is no national minimum wage at all (as of July 2026, according to Eurostat). Wages are set by collective agreements between unions and employers, sector by sector, as they also are in Norway and Iceland. That is a remarkable degree of organised, non-market coordination of the labour market. Some of the ownership is social. The Norwegian state owns 67% of Equinor, its largest energy company. Norway's sovereign wealth fund, built from oil revenue and worth more than 20,000 billion kroner since 2024, holds on average about 1.5% of every listed company in the world. In a sense, every Norwegian is a part-owner of global capitalism. Some Nordic socialists aimed higher. In 1976 the Swedish trade union confederation (LO) published a plan by its economist Rudolf Meidner for "wage-earner funds": large firms would issue new shares each year to union-controlled funds, gradually shifting ownership of Swedish industry to workers. It provoked fierce opposition from business. A much weaker version was introduced after the Social Democrats won the 1982 election, and it was wound up after they lost in 1991. For democratic socialists, this is the moment the Nordic model came closest to crossing from social democracy into socialism, and then turned back. The case that it is capitalism Ownership is overwhelmingly private. Apart from exceptions like Norway's oil, the Nordic economies are made up of privately owned firms, many of them global corporations, competing in open world markets. There is no central plan. By the classic definition (social ownership of the means of production), they are not socialist. They are pro-market in many ways. The absence of a minimum wage law, cited above as union power, is equally a sign of a labour market left to private bargaining rather than state rules. The Nordic countries are open trading economies, and in the varieties-of-capitalism scheme (see the capitalism deep dive) they are coordinated market economies. The welfare state is paid for by a market economy. Its taxes depend on productive private companies and the people they employ. On this view the welfare state is a way of using capitalism's wealth, not an alternative to it. They moved toward markets when they had to. After a severe banking and economic crisis in the early 1990s, Sweden deregulated, strengthened competition law and opened public services to private providers. The wage-earner funds were abolished. Supporters of the "it's capitalism" view see this as the model correcting itself. Big tax states are not unique to the Nordics. France collected about 44% of GDP in tax in 2023, more than Denmark, and nobody calls France a Nordic model. Size of the state alone cannot be what makes something socialist. A third view: welfare capitalism isn't the goal Some on the left agree that the Nordic model is capitalism and see that as its limit. The philosopher John Rawls, often read as the theorist of "a slightly imaginary Sweden", in fact rejected welfare-state capitalism, as the Stanford Encyclopedia explains, because large inequalities of property would still undermine fair opportunity and equal political influence; he preferred a "property-owning democracy" or a liberal form of socialism in which ownership itself is widely spread. On this view, the Nordic countries show what reform can achieve within capitalism, and also where it stops. Whether the Nordic model counts as socialism depends on your definition. By what it does, it is the most egalitarian capitalism yet built. By where it came from, it is socialism's most successful compromise. The fairest summary is that the Nordic countries are social democracies: market economies with private ownership, very large welfare states and powerful organised labour, built mainly by parties of socialist origin. Calling them "socialist" stretches the classic meaning of the word; calling them "just capitalism" ignores how much of their economy is coordinated by bargaining and public provision rather than prices alone. Part 8 — Weighing it up The strongest case for socialism At its best, the socialist case is moral and practical at once. Morally, it holds that a society where some people must sell their working lives to others who own everything is unfree in a way that formal rights don't fix, and that the wealth created by cooperation should be shared by those who create it. Practically, it points to the real achievements of the movement: the shorter working day, public education, universal healthcare, pensions, the right to organise, and the Nordic welfare states, nearly all fought for by socialists and labour movements long before they were accepted by others. It points to co-operatives like Mondragon as proof that democratic firms can work. And it points to the critiques in the capitalism deep dive, on inequality, crises and climate, as problems that markets did not solve on their own. The strongest critiques The critics' case is just as serious. The labour theory of value, the foundation of Marx's economics, is rejected by almost all economists. The calculation and incentive problems identified by Mises, Hayek and later by economists like Heilbroner are real, and every economy that abolished markets wholesale ran into them. Revolutionary socialism repeatedly produced one-party states with appalling human costs (the communism deep dive sets out the record and the scholarly ranges). Small co-operative communities from New Harmony onwards struggled to last, and even successful co-operatives face the risk and inequality problems the Stanford Encyclopedia lists. And the most successful "socialist" societies in the popular imagination, the Nordic ones, are, on most definitions, prosperous capitalist economies with private ownership and open markets. What is still live Several questions remain genuinely open, and people of good faith answer them differently: Can ownership be widened without wrecking incentives? Employee share schemes, co-operatives, sovereign wealth funds, Roemer's coupons and the Meidner plan are all different answers. The evidence on small-scale versions is mixed but encouraging in places; there is little evidence yet on economy-wide versions. Is reform a road or a destination? Bernstein and Luxemburg's argument is still being had, in every left-wing party that has to decide whether to manage capitalism or try to replace it. Is the Nordic model exportable? It grew in small, high-trust societies with strong unions and particular histories. Whether larger, more diverse countries can copy it is an empirical question with no settled answer. Robert Owen's question, where does the extra wealth go, has not gone away. Socialists of every branch think the answer under capitalism is "to the wrong people, in the wrong way". Their critics think every attempt to give a better answer has either failed or turned out to be a better kind of capitalism. Knowing which branch someone means is the first step to having that argument well. The takeaway Socialism is a family of economic systems united by one aim: to replace or limit private ownership of the means of production with social ownership or control, so that the wealth of cooperation is shared and economic decisions are made democratically. The utopians (Saint-Simon, Fourier, Owen) supplied the ideals and the first experiments. Marx and Engels supplied a theory, built on the labour theory of value and surplus value, that capitalism exploits workers even when it pays them a fair market wage and drives itself into crisis; mainstream economics rejects the value theory, but parts of the critique, about power, crises and ownership, still carry weight. The movement then split: revolutionaries towards communism, reformists like Bernstein and the Fabians towards democratic socialism and, eventually, social democracy, which accepts markets and private ownership while building large welfare states. Market socialists and co-operatives such as Mondragon try to combine social ownership with markets. The Nordic model is best described as social democracy: a market economy built largely by socialist parties, and whether that counts as "socialism" depends on the definition you use. Try this: next time you hear the word "socialism" in an argument, ask the speaker one question: "Which kind: state ownership, worker ownership, or a welfare state?" Then notice how often the two sides turn out to be talking about different things, and how the argument changes once they aren't. Sources & Further Reading Sources - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, "Socialism" (Gilabert and O'Neill, revised 2024): definitions, market-socialist models (Schweickart, Roemer, Carens), Corneo's criticisms, Mondragon, Rawls and "a slightly imaginary Sweden". SEP, "Karl Marx" (Wolff and Leopold): the labour theory of value, Nozick's objection, Roemer and Cohen. - Friedrich Engels, Socialism: Utopian and Scientific (1880), ch. 1, marxists.org: Saint-Simon, Fourier, Owen and New Lanark (dates, population, hours, the 600,000 question). Wikipedia biographies of Owen, Fourier and Saint-Simon (dates, New Harmony 1824–27, labour exchange), used as leads. - Marx and Engels, Manifesto of the Communist Party (February 1848; 1888 English edition), Project Gutenberg eBook #61. Engels, The Condition of the Working Class in England (1845). - Karl Marx, Capital, vol. 1 (1867), chs. 1, 6, 7, 9, 10 and 25, and vol. 3 (1894), ch. 13, marxists.org. - Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk, Karl Marx and the Close of His System (1896), marxists.org; Econlib biographies of Jevons, Menger and Walras; Econlib, "Marxism" (David Prychitko). - Eduard Bernstein, Evolutionary Socialism (1899; English 1907), preface, ch. 3 and conclusion, marxists.org. Rosa Luxemburg, Reform or Revolution (1898–99), introduction and chs. 7–8, marxists.org. - Fabian Society, "Our history" (fabians.org.uk). Labour's Clause IV (1918 and 1995) and the SPD's Godesberg Programme (1959), from standard reference summaries; the 1918 wording and the 1929 addition from Sidney Webb's 1917 Observer article as reprinted, with a historical note, in The Spokesman 109 (spokesmanbooks.com). - Econlib, "Socialism" (Robert Heilbroner), and biographies of Mises, Hayek and Lange. - International Co-operative Alliance, "Facts and figures" and history pages (ica.coop). Mondragon Corporation, "About us" and "History" (mondragon-corporation.com). - Vox, "Denmark's prime minister says Bernie Sanders is wrong to call his country socialist", 31 October 2015. - UNU-WIDER Government Revenue Dataset 2025, via Our World in Data (tax revenue, 2023). Eurostat, "Minimum wage statistics" (situation at 1 July 2026). Equinor, "Our shareholders". Norges Bank Investment Management (nbim.no). - The Meidner Plan and Sweden's early-1990s crisis and reforms: standard reference summaries (Wikipedia, "Nordic model" and "Rudolf Meidner"), used as leads; details kept general. Go deeper - 🌐 SEP: Socialism — the best single map of socialist values, designs and objections, scrupulously fair to both sides. - 📘 Socialism: Utopian and Scientific — Friedrich Engels. Short and readable; the utopians described by their most famous critic. Free at marxists.org. - 📘 Capital, vol. 1 — Karl Marx. Start with chapters 6 and 7, where surplus value is explained; free at marxists.org. - 📘 Evolutionary Socialism — Eduard Bernstein, read alongside Rosa Luxemburg's Reform or Revolution. The founding argument of social democracy and its fiercest reply; both free at marxists.org (Luxemburg here). - 📘 Envisioning Real Utopias — Erik Olin Wright. A modern sociologist's careful, evidence-minded case for socialist alternatives, including co-operatives and participatory budgets. - 📘 The Road to Serfdom — F. A. Hayek. The classic warning that planning concentrates power; read it as the strongest opposing case. - 🌐 Mondragon Corporation: About us — the co-operative's own account, worth comparing with independent studies. - 🌐 Companion pieces in this library: The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented and The Great Political Traditions (Politics), Capitalism: How Markets, Prices and Private Property Organise an Economy (this series), and the later deep dives in this series on communism and anarchism. Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened -------------------------------------------------- A dream of a world without bosses, classes or a state became, in practice, some of the most powerful states ever built. Here is the idea in its founders' words, how the communist economies actually worked, what they achieved, what they cost, and how people still argue about it. Follows: The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented and Socialism: The Many Kinds, From Utopians to Social Democracy In this deep dive 1. The idea, and the first state built in its name: Lenin, War Communism and the NEP 2. Stalin's revolution from above: the plans and collectivisation 3. How central planning actually worked 4. Mao's China, and the road Deng took instead 5. Cuba, Vietnam, Cambodia and North Korea 6. 1989–91, and the great argument: why it failed, and what its defenders say In 1875 a German exile living in London scribbled angry notes in the margin of a party programme. Buried in them is a sentence that would be painted on banners for a century: society would one day inscribe on its flags, "From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs!" Within fifty years of Karl Marx's death, a state claiming to follow him was requisitioning grain from starving villages in Ukraine and Kazakhstan. A century after the Manifesto, states calling themselves communist ruled more than a billion people; then, between 1989 and 1991, most of them collapsed. How did a vision of a society with no state at all become the most powerful states of the twentieth century? That is the question of this deep dive. Socialism: The Many Kinds set out Marx's economics and the family tree of socialism; this piece follows the branch that took power by revolution and tried to replace markets with a plan. The Great Political Traditions (Politics 15) covers communism's place among the political families; here the subject is the economic system: how it said goods should be produced, owned and allocated, and what happened when states tried it. A note on approach: this piece deals with famines and political killings. Where death tolls are disputed, it gives the range of serious scholarly estimates and names who estimated what, rather than picking a single number. Where a question is a live disagreement among historians, such as whether the Ukrainian famine was genocide, it sets out each position in its defenders' own terms. Part 1 — The idea, and the first state built in its name It helps to separate two things that share one word. Communism as a goal Communism as a state system What it means A future society with no classes, no private ownership of the means of production, no money and, eventually, no state The economic and political order of the USSR, Mao's China, Cuba, Vietnam, North Korea and others Who owns things Society as a whole The state, run by a single communist party How goods are allocated According to need, from abundance By a central plan, with rationing and fixed prices The state "Withers away" Becomes larger and stronger than any before it Where it exists Nowhere, so far Five states are still ruled by communist parties today No ruling communist party ever claimed to have reached the first column. They said they were building it, which is why they officially called their countries "socialist". Keeping the two columns apart is the first step to arguing about communism clearly. What Marx and Engels actually said The Communist Manifesto (1848) put the programme bluntly: "the theory of the Communists may be summed up in the single sentence: Abolition of private property." It meant property in the means of production, the factories, land and machines that produce wealth, not your shirt. Its goal was not a giant state but "an association, in which the free development of each is the condition for the free development of all." Marx said surprisingly little about how such a society would run. The longest passage is in those 1875 margin notes, published later as the Critique of the Gotha Programme. He described two stages: A first phase, "just as it emerges from capitalist society", still "stamped with the birthmarks of the old society". Workers receive a certificate for the hours they have worked and draw that much from the common store of goods. This is fairer than capitalism, but it still rewards the strong and skilled over the weak, and a single worker over one with children to feed. A higher phase, after the division of labour has lost its grip, after work has become "life's prime want", and after "all the springs of co-operative wealth flow more abundantly". Only then would society inscribe on its banners: "From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs!" The famous slogan was not Marx's invention; versions of it circulated among earlier French socialists such as Louis Blanc. What Marx added was the claim that it could only work after capitalism had created enormous abundance. Between capitalism and communism, Marx wrote in the same text, would lie a transition whose state "can be nothing but the revolutionary dictatorship of the proletariat." Then the state would disappear. Friedrich Engels put it most memorably in Anti-Dühring (1878): state interference "dies out of itself; the government of persons is replaced by the administration of things." And: "The state is not 'abolished'. It dies out." Marx gave his followers a destination, a slogan and a warning that it required abundance. He did not give them a map, so the people who took power in his name drew one in the middle of wars. Lenin's vanguard Marx expected revolution in the most advanced industrial countries, such as Britain and Germany. It came instead in Russia, a mostly peasant empire where, at the 1897 census, most adults could not read. The man who made it happen had a theory of why workers needed leading. In What Is to Be Done? (1902), Vladimir Lenin argued that "the working class, exclusively by its own effort, is able to develop only trade union consciousness": the belief that workers should form unions and press for better laws. Socialist consciousness would have to be brought to them from outside, by a disciplined party of professional revolutionaries. This vanguard party is Lenin's most important addition to Marxism, and it is the hinge on which everything after turns. In State and Revolution, written in 1917 months before he took power, Lenin was strikingly optimistic about running an economy. Capitalism, he wrote, had already simplified the necessary "accounting and control" into operations "which any literate person can perform": supervising, recording, "knowledge of the four rules of arithmetic, and issuing appropriate receipts." The Bolsheviks seized power in October 1917. In January 1918 they dissolved the freely elected Constituent Assembly, in which they did not hold a majority. Lenin's decree argued that the soviets (councils) were a higher form of democracy. Other socialists saw the start of one-party rule. War Communism (1918–21) During the civil war that followed, the Bolsheviks tried something close to abolishing the market overnight. Industry was nationalised. Private trade was banned. The state took grain from peasants by force under a system of requisitioning (prodrazvyorstka) to feed the cities and the Red Army. Money lost almost all its value. The results were catastrophic. Production collapsed, peasants hid grain or stopped planting, and a famine in 1921–22, worsened by drought and requisitioning, killed an estimated five million people. The breaking point came from the revolution's own heroes. In late February 1921 the sailors of the Kronstadt naval base, once praised as the pride of the revolution, passed a resolution demanding new elections to the soviets "by secret ballot", freedom of speech and press "to anarchist and left socialist parties", the release of socialist political prisoners, and "full freedom of action" for peasants on their land. In March the Red Army crushed the rising. The New Economic Policy (1921–28) That same March, at the Tenth Party Congress, Lenin reversed course. On 15 March 1921 the congress replaced requisitioning with a tax in kind: peasants paid a fixed share and could sell the rest on the market. Small private trade and industry returned; the state kept large industry, banking and foreign trade. This was the New Economic Policy. The economy recovered. By Maddison Project estimates, Soviet output per person in 1928 was back to about 97% of its 1913 level. But on 16 March 1921, the day after legalising markets, the same congress banned organised factions inside the party. Economic loosening and political tightening arrived together, a pairing that would recur in China sixty years later. Part 2 — Stalin's revolution from above: the plans and collectivisation The NEP left the party with a dilemma. The peasants who grew the food were mostly small private farmers, and when grain prices were low they sold less. Industrialising a huge country required feeding growing cities and earning foreign currency with grain exports. After Lenin's death in 1924, Joseph Stalin won the struggle to succeed him and resolved the dilemma by force. In a speech of 4 February 1931 he gave the reason in words his audience would not forget: "We are fifty or a hundred years behind the advanced countries. We must make good this distance in ten years. Either we do it, or we shall go under." — Joseph Stalin, 1931 The five-year plans The First Five-Year Plan began in 1928. It set enormous targets for steel, coal, electricity and machinery, and in January 1933 Stalin announced it had been fulfilled "in four years and three months". Whole cities and steelworks rose on empty steppe. By the Maddison Project's estimates, Soviet output per person grew by about 3.8% a year between 1928 and 1940, much faster than the depression-hit West. Collectivisation In the countryside, the plan meant herding the peasantry into collective farms (kolkhozy) controlled by the state. On 27 December 1929 Stalin announced that the party would "eliminate [the kulaks] as a class". Kulaks were supposedly rich peasants; in practice the label fell on anyone who resisted. Whole families were deported to Siberia and Central Asia; Soviet archives record some 390,000 deaths during these forced resettlements. In March 1930 Stalin briefly blamed local officials for being "Dizzy with Success" and allowed some to leave the collectives; the drive then resumed. The economic historian Robert C. Allen, who argues that the USSR was one of the most successful developing economies of the twentieth century, concludes that Stalin's harshest measures, including violent collectivisation, "did little to spur growth." The industrial take-off happened anyway; the collective farms were a disaster in their own right. The famines of 1930–33 The worst consequence was famine across the grain regions of the USSR. In Kazakhstan, where nomadic herders were forced to settle and their herds were seized, more than 1.5 million people died, about a quarter of the republic's population, according to the historian Sarah Cameron. In Ukraine the famine is known as the Holodomor, "death by hunger". The Holodomor Research and Education Consortium at the University of Alberta summarises what the opened archives show: in 1932 the party set impossibly high grain quotas for Ukrainian villages; when they were not met, brigades searched homes and seized even seed grain; villages were fined in meat and potatoes; a law made the theft of a few stalks of grain punishable by execution; and starving peasants were forbidden to leave to look for food, while grain was still sold abroad. How many died is still debated, partly because Soviet statistics were falsified and many deaths went unregistered. Estimate of deaths in Soviet Ukraine Who Basis About 3.9 million excess deaths, plus about 0.6 million lost births (1932–34) Rudnytskyi, Levchuk, Wolowyna and colleagues (2015) Demographic reconstruction by age, sex and region About 3.3 million Timothy Snyder, Bloodlands (2010) Between registered deaths and the Ukrainian government's demographic figure About 3 to 3.5 million Stanislav Kulchytsky (2002) Declassified Soviet population data About 2.6 million direct deaths in 1933 Jacques Vallin and colleagues (2002) Forward and backward demographic projection At least 1.8 million, perhaps 2.8 to 4.8 million Stephen Wheatcroft (2001) Archival data, adjusted for unregistered deaths 7 to 10 million or more Some politicians Criticised by Snyder and Wheatcroft as exaggerated Most specialist estimates therefore fall between about 2.5 and 5 million deaths in Ukraine, with the most detailed recent demographic work at the upper middle of that range. The same research found that the highest losses were not in the southern grain belt but in the north-central Kyiv and Kharkiv regions. Across the whole USSR, the famine of 1930–33 killed somewhere between about 5.5 and 8.7 million people. Was it genocide? Here the disagreement is real, and it is about intent rather than about whether the famine happened or whether Stalin's government caused it. Almost no serious historian disputes that the famine was man-made. The genocide case. Robert Conquest's The Harvest of Sorrow (1986) argued that the famine was deliberately inflicted on Ukraine. The Italian historian Andrea Graziosi argues that a famine which began as a by-product of collectivisation was then deliberately "instrumentalised" against Ukrainians, through measures that applied only or mostly to Ukraine and the ethnically Ukrainian Kuban region, alongside an attack on Ukrainian cultural and political life. Raphael Lemkin, who coined the word "genocide", called it "a classic example of Soviet genocide" in 1953. This is the view of most Ukrainian historians and of Ukraine's government. The case against calling it genocide. R. W. Davies and Stephen Wheatcroft, after years in the archives, conclude that the famine was the result of brutal, reckless policy combined with two bad harvests, and that they found no evidence of a programme to destroy Ukrainians as such. They do not excuse Stalin: Wheatcroft has called the regime's conduct criminal. Their point is that genocide, in its legal sense, requires proven intent to destroy a group, and that intent has not been shown. Most Russian historians also reject the genocide label. Ukraine's parliament declared the Holodomor a genocide in 2006, and the European Parliament did the same in 2022; by the mid-2020s more than thirty countries had followed. Whatever word one uses, the facts underneath are not in dispute: a government seized food from people it knew were starving, and stopped them from leaving. The Terror Economic revolution came with political terror. In 1937–38, during the Great Terror, the secret police shot about 680,000 people according to its own records, which became available after 1991. Those archives record about 800,000 executions in all between 1921 and 1953, and roughly 1.5 to 1.7 million deaths among the 18 million people who passed through the Gulag labour camps and colonies between 1930 and 1953. Some historians who rely on memoirs argue that the true figures were higher. Part 3 — How central planning actually worked Lenin had imagined running an economy as simple bookkeeping. In reality the Soviet system had to decide, for tens of thousands of products, how much to make, where, with what and for whom, without market prices. Here is how it tried. The machinery Gosplan, the State Planning Committee, was set up in 1921 and lasted until 1991. It drew up the five-year plans and, more importantly, the yearly plans that actually ran the economy. Its core tool was the material balance. For each major product, say steel, planners drew up a ledger: Sources of steel Uses of steel Output of every steelworks Steel needed by car, tractor and machinery plants Imports Steel for construction and the military Stocks from last year Exports and reserves The two sides had to balance. But every use of steel was itself a production target with its own inputs. More tractors meant more steel, which meant more coal and iron ore, which meant more railway wagons, which meant more steel. Change one number and dozens of ledgers had to change with it. Planners coped by balancing only the most important products centrally, leaving the rest to ministries, and by using last year's plan as the starting point for this year's. Each enterprise received targets and allocations of inputs. Fulfilling the plan was a legal duty; bonuses depended on it. What went wrong The problems were not mainly about stupidity or laziness. They came from the incentives the system created. Targets measured the wrong thing. If a factory's target was in tonnes, it made heavy goods; if in units, it made many small ones. Soviet cartoonists mocked a nail factory that met its tonnage target with one giant nail. The joke may be apocryphal, but the problem was real: what was measured got made, whether or not anyone wanted it. Managers hid their capacity. Because next year's target was usually based on this year's result, a manager who over-fulfilled the plan was punished with a harder plan. The rational move was to ask for more inputs than needed, promise less output than possible, and hoard. Losses did not matter. The Hungarian economist János Kornai called this the soft budget constraint. A capitalist firm that keeps losing money goes bankrupt. A socialist firm that lost money was bailed out with subsidies, credit or higher prices, because closing it would mean unemployment and a failed plan. Firms therefore had little reason to control costs and a strong reason to demand ever more investment. Shortage was normal. Kornai's name for the result was the shortage economy: chronic queues for consumer goods, factories hoarding scarce parts, and a vast informal economy of favours and connections to get what the plan failed to deliver. Innovation was risky. Retooling for a new product threatened this month's plan, and a Soviet enterprise could not get rich by inventing something. Socialism: The Many Kinds covers the theoretical argument behind this, the calculation debate in which Ludwig von Mises (1920) and Friedrich Hayek argued that without market prices planners could not know what things were worth, and Oskar Lange replied that planners could imitate a market. The Soviet record suggests both camps had a point. The planners did get information; what was missing was any reason for managers to use it well. The growth record For all that, the system grew, at first fast. The numbers below are from the Maddison Project Database (2023), in dollars of constant purchasing power. Year USSR GDP per person As % of the United States 1928 $2,184 19% 1950 $4,529 30% 1970 $8,886 37% 1989 $11,336 31% The USSR grew by about 3.4% per person per year between 1950 and 1970, and then by only about 1.3% a year from 1970 to 1989. Robert Allen's verdict: growth was fast from 1928 into the 1970s, then "economic development stagnated after 1970", as resources went to the military and leaders poured money into wasteful investments. The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy gives a similar summary: the model industrialised the country and made it capable of defeating Nazi Germany, but "failed to generate sufficient technical innovation and intensive growth." Central planning was good at one thing: moving people from farms into factories and building steel mills. That gives very fast growth for a few decades. It was bad at the next stage, where growth comes from doing things better rather than doing more of them. Part 4 — Mao's China, and the road Deng took instead The Chinese Communist Party took power in 1949 after a long civil war. It first copied the Soviet model, with land reform followed by a Soviet-style five-year plan. Then Mao Zedong tried to go faster than the Soviets ever had. The Great Leap Forward (1958–62) The Great Leap Forward set out to surpass Britain's industrial output within fifteen years. Peasants were organised into giant people's communes, often with communal kitchens. Millions were sent from the fields to smelt iron in backyard furnaces, much of it useless. Local officials, under pressure to report miracles, announced impossible harvests, and the state took its grain quota based on the invented figures. At the Lushan conference in July 1959, the defence minister Peng Dehuai criticised the policies. Mao purged him and launched a party-wide campaign against "Right opportunism". The Communist Party's own 1981 resolution on its history admits that this "cut short the process of the rectification of 'Left' errors" and that, together with natural disasters and the Soviet withdrawal of aid, it brought "serious losses to our country and people" between 1959 and 1961. Officials who reported hunger could now be denounced as rightists, so the bad news stopped travelling upward. The result is widely regarded as the deadliest famine in human history. China's life expectancy, according to UN estimates, fell from about 44 years in 1950 to about 33 in 1960. Estimate of excess deaths Who Basis About 15 million Houser, Sands and Xiao (2009); a Chinese Academy of Sciences team (1989) Provincial demographic data About 23 million Peng Xizhe (1987) Records from 14 provinces About 27 million Ansley Coale (1984) Censuses and fertility survey About 30 million Basil Ashton and colleagues (1984); Judith Banister (1987) Censuses and fertility survey About 32.5 million Cao Shuji (2005) Local records from over a thousand counties About 36 million Yang Jisheng, Tombstone Literature and archives At least 45 million Frank Dikötter, Mao's Great Famine (2010) Provincial and local party archives Many of the demographic studies cluster between about 23 and 36 million deaths. Dikötter's figure, which includes people beaten to death or worked to death, is the highest widely cited; some scholars have criticised his methods. A few writers argue for figures under five million, attributing the gap to unregistered migration; these remain outliers. The Cultural Revolution (1966–76) In 1966 Mao, sidelined after the famine, called on students to attack "bourgeois" elements in the party. Red Guards humiliated, beat and sometimes killed teachers, officials and anyone with the wrong family background. Factions fought with weapons seized from army depots. Millions of urban young people were sent to the countryside. Estimates of the death toll vary widely, mostly between several hundred thousand and two million. The party's 1981 verdict on its own history is unusually blunt: the Cultural Revolution, "which lasted from May 1966 to October 1976, was responsible for the most severe setback and the heaviest losses suffered by the Party, the state and the people since the founding of the People's Republic." The same resolution concludes that Mao's "merits are primary and his errors secondary", which is still the official line. China's other road After Mao died in 1976, China took a different path. In 1978 Deng Xiaoping began dismantling the communes and letting farmers sell their surplus, then opened special economic zones to foreign investment. He gave the result a name in 1982, calling on the party to "build a socialism with Chinese characteristics". On his southern tour in 1992 he argued that "a planned economy is not equivalent to socialism, because there is planning under capitalism too; a market economy is not capitalism, because there are markets under socialism too." The results were extraordinary. China's output per person rose about elevenfold between 1978 and 2022 (Maddison Project), and the World Bank reports that the number of Chinese living below its $1.90-a-day extreme poverty line fell by close to 800 million over forty years, close to three-quarters of the world's reduction. The Mixed Economy (Political Economy 5) looks at what kind of system China now has and why economists argue over whether its state or its markets deserve the credit. What China did not do was loosen political control. The Communist Party kept its monopoly, and in June 1989 used the army to end the Tiananmen Square protests. China, Vietnam and Laos today combine Communist Party rule with largely market economies. Cuba and North Korea keep more of the old planned model. Part 5 — Cuba, Vietnam, Cambodia and North Korea Communism spread far beyond Russia and China, and the results varied enormously. Four cases show the range. Took power Economic model A defining result Cuba 1959 Soviet-style planning, Soviet subsidies, later limited markets Near-universal literacy and long lives; deep poverty and mass emigration today Vietnam North 1954, whole country 1975 Planning, then market reform from 1986 One of the fastest-growing economies in the world Cambodia 1975–79 Abolition of cities, money and markets Death of about a fifth to a quarter of the population North Korea 1948 Extreme planning and "self-reliance" Famine in the 1990s; a political system the UN calls without parallel Cuba: the case defenders cite most Fidel Castro's guerrillas overthrew the dictator Fulgencio Batista on 1 January 1959. Within two years Cuba was aligned with the USSR, and in 1961 it ran a famous literacy campaign, sending young volunteers into the countryside to teach. The social record is the strongest card in the communist hand. Cuba was already more literate than most of Latin America before the revolution, at about 78% in 1950, but literacy reached about 98% by 1981. Life expectancy rose from 59 in 1950 to 72 by the late 1970s and about 78 today, close to the United States' 79, on a fraction of its income. The economic record is weaker. Cuba depended on Soviet subsidies, and when they vanished the economy fell off a cliff: output per person dropped by about 43% between 1989 and 1995 (Maddison Project), a time Cubans call the Special Period. Limited reforms followed: a 2019 constitution recognising private property, and in 2021 permission for small private companies. As of 2026 the island is in its worst crisis since the 1990s. Human Rights Watch's report on 2025 describes prolonged blackouts, shortages of food and medicine, continuing protests, and hundreds of critics and protesters still arbitrarily detained, many from the July 2021 demonstrations. Cuba's own statistics office reported in 2024 that the resident population had fallen below 10 million, and Human Rights Watch says government figures show a loss of around 10% of the population in recent years. Defenders of the revolution point to the decades-long US embargo as a major cause; critics point to the one-party state and the planned economy. Both have real weight, and economists disagree about how to divide the blame. Vietnam: communism by name, markets in practice After reunification in 1975, Vietnam extended the north's planned economy to the south, and the economy stagnated. In December 1986 the Communist Party launched Đổi Mới ("renovation"), legalising private business and opening to trade and investment while keeping one-party rule. The World Bank reports that GDP per person rose from under $500 in 1986 to $5,066 in 2025, and life expectancy from 70.5 in 1990 to 75 in 2024. Vietnam is now a market economy run by a communist party, like China. Cambodia: the most extreme experiment The Khmer Rouge took Phnom Penh in April 1975 and tried to build a purely agrarian communist society almost overnight. They emptied the cities, abolished money, markets and schools, and drove the population into rural labour camps. Anyone suspected of being educated, foreign-connected or disloyal could be killed. When Vietnam's army overthrew the regime in January 1979, somewhere between 1.5 and 2 million people had died from execution, starvation, overwork and disease, about a fifth to a quarter of the population. The Documentation Center of Cambodia uses the figure of two million. UN estimates put life expectancy in 1976–78 at about 12 years. On 16 November 2018 the UN-backed tribunal in Cambodia sentenced the regime's two most senior surviving leaders, Nuon Chea and Khieu Samphan, to life imprisonment for crimes against humanity, war crimes and genocide, the genocide convictions concerning the Vietnamese minority and, for Nuon Chea, the Muslim Cham. North Korea: self-reliance as a trap North Korea built the most closed planned economy of all, under the official ideology of Juche (self-reliance) and a ruling family now in its third generation. When Soviet aid ended, the economy collapsed, and in the mid-1990s famine struck. Estimates of the deaths range from about 240,000 to 3.5 million; the most careful studies cluster below about one million. Stephan Haggard and Marcus Noland, in the standard account, write that "as many as one million" died, and that the food system collapsed mainly "because of a misguided push for self-reliance", made worse by the regime blocking aid. In 2014 a UN Commission of Inquiry estimated that 80,000 to 120,000 political prisoners were held in four large prison camps, and concluded that "the gravity, scale and nature of these violations reveal a State that does not have any parallel in the contemporary world." The two Koreas are close to a natural experiment: one people, one peninsula, two systems. By Maddison Project estimates, South Korea's output per person in 2022 was about $41,000; North Korea's was about $1,600. (Figures for the North are rough estimates. The last deep dive in this series looks at such natural experiments more closely.) Part 6 — 1989–91, and the great argument The collapse By the 1980s the Soviet economy had stopped catching up with the West. Mikhail Gorbachev, leader from 1985, tried to revive it with perestroika (restructuring) and glasnost (openness). Openness let people say what they thought, and many thought the system had failed. In 1989 the communist governments of Eastern Europe fell one after another, mostly peacefully. The Berlin Wall opened on 9 November 1989. Gorbachev resigned on 25 December 1991, and the Soviet Union formally ceased to exist the next day. What followed was not an easy recovery. The former Soviet economy shrank by about 38% per person between 1989 and 1998, by the Maddison Project's estimates, and Russian life expectancy fell from about 69 in 1990 to 65 in 2000. Defenders of the old system cite this as evidence of what was lost; critics blame the old system's hidden decay and a badly handled transition. (Russia: A Condensed History covers the 1990s.) The argument over why Almost everyone agrees that the Soviet-type economies did not reach the goal Marx described, and that most of them ended in collapse or in a turn to markets. The argument is over why, and over what, if anything, should be salvaged. Why it failed: the critics' case 1. The knowledge problem. Hayek's point, set out in Capitalism in this series, is that the information needed to run an economy is scattered among millions of people and changes daily. Prices pull it together; a planning office cannot. The Soviet experience bears this out: Gosplan could balance only the most important products; a modern economy makes millions. 2. The incentive problem. Even with good information, the system gave managers reasons to hide capacity, hoard inputs, ignore costs and avoid innovation. Kornai's soft budget constraint explains why loss-making firms never died and why shortage was permanent rather than a planning error. 3. Power without checks. Abolishing private ownership of the means of production put almost all economic power in the hands of the state, and therefore of the party running it. Critics from Hayek (The Road to Serfdom, 1944) onward argue that this concentration makes political repression close to unavoidable: if the state is your only employer and landlord, dissent is dangerous. Rosa Luxemburg, a revolutionary Marxist, saw the danger in 1918, writing of the Bolsheviks: "Freedom only for the supporters of the government, only for the members of one party... is no freedom at all. Freedom is always and exclusively freedom for the one who thinks differently." 4. No way to stop a catastrophe. The great famines happened where officials who reported bad news were punished, as at Lushan in 1959. The economist Amartya Sen, whose Nobel Prize recognised in part his work on famines, argued that famine has never occurred in a functioning democracy with a free press. Whatever one thinks of the universal claim, the communist famines fit the pattern: the information that would have stopped them existed, and the system suppressed it. What its defenders say 1. It industrialised poor countries fast. The USSR went from a peasant empire to an industrial superpower in two generations and was the main force that defeated Nazi Germany. Allen calls it one of the most successful developing economies of the twentieth century. 2. It delivered literacy and health. Soviet literacy was about 92% by 1950. In 1978, China and India were both very poor, with China's output per person only slightly higher, yet Chinese life expectancy was about 63 years and India's about 52. Cuba matches rich countries on life expectancy at a fraction of their income. Defenders argue that these gains came from deliberate public investment in schools, clinics and women's work, not from growth alone. 3. It faced a hostile world. Communist states were born in civil war, invasion and blockade, and spent heavily on defence against capitalist powers that wanted them gone. The US embargo on Cuba has lasted for decades. 4. "It was never really tried." This argument has several serious forms: - Marx's own conditions were never met. He said communism required the abundance of advanced capitalism; it was attempted instead in poor, agrarian countries, exactly where he thought it could not work. - The revolution was betrayed. Leon Trotsky argued in The Revolution Betrayed (1936) that Stalin's bureaucracy had hijacked a workers' state. Luxemburg and later the anarchists (see the next deep dive) argued that the vanguard party itself was the mistake. - Ownership by the state is not ownership by society. Workers in the USSR had no more control over their factories than workers under capitalism, and arguably less. On this view, state socialism was really "state capitalism" with one giant boss. How the critics answer back Critics accept that Soviet growth and social gains were real, but point out that capitalist countries starting from similar positions often did as well or better without the famines. Finland, which had been part of the Russian Empire, had an output per person of about $6,800 in 1950 and $27,000 by 1989; the USSR went from about $4,500 to $11,300. Spain, poorer than the USSR in 1950, was far richer by 1989. China's largest gains in income and poverty came after it brought back markets. To "never really tried", they reply that every attempt to abolish markets and private ownership, in very different countries and cultures, led to a one-party state and a planned economy with the same problems. If the outcome is that consistent, they argue, the problem is likely in the design, not just in bad luck or bad leaders. Defenders answer that the designs were similar because the later revolutions copied the Soviet model, so they are not independent tests. The live question is not whether Stalin's or Mao's system worked. Almost nobody now defends it as it was. The live question is whether any society can own the means of production in common without concentrating power in a state, and that question leads straight to anarchism. What is still open Could a planned economy work with modern computing? Some writers argue that today's data and algorithms answer Hayek; critics reply that the hard part was always incentives and the knowledge people never write down, not arithmetic. And how much responsibility for the famines rests with the ideology rather than with particular leaders? Both questions are still argued. The takeaway Communism as Marx imagined it, a classless, stateless society of abundance where goods are shared "according to needs", has never existed. What existed were states run by a single party that abolished most private property and replaced markets with central plans. Those states industrialised poor countries quickly and made real gains in literacy and health, and the USSR did much to defeat Nazi Germany. They also produced the deadliest famines in modern history, in Ukraine and Kazakhstan (1930–33) and in China (1959–61), mass political killing, and economies that stagnated once the easy gains were made. Their failures came from three linked problems: planners couldn't gather the knowledge prices carry, managers had every reason to waste and hide, and a state with all the economic power and no opposition could neither stop a catastrophe nor admit one. Defenders argue that the true idea was never tried; critics answer that every attempt went the same way. Try this: pick one ordinary item in your home, such as a toothbrush, and try to write its "material balance": every input it needs, every input those inputs need, and where each would come from. Stop after ten minutes and count how many ledgers you would need. Then ask the defenders' question: what would you want a society to guarantee everyone, whatever its system, and who would decide? Sources & Further Reading Sources - Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels, Manifesto of the Communist Party (1848), ch. 2; Marx, Critique of the Gotha Programme (1875), parts I and IV; Engels, Anti-Dühring (1878), part III ch. 2 (all at marxists.org). - V. I. Lenin, What Is to Be Done? (1902), ch. 2; The State and Revolution (1917), ch. 5; Draft Decree on the Dissolution of the Constituent Assembly (6 January 1918); Tenth Party Congress report on the tax in kind (15 March 1921) and Resolution on Party Unity (16 March 1921); the Petropavlovsk (Kronstadt) resolution, 28 February 1921 (all at marxists.org). - J. V. Stalin, speech of 27 December 1929 on the kulaks; "Dizzy with Success", Pravda, 2 March 1930; "The Tasks of Business Executives", 4 February 1931; report on the First Five-Year Plan, January 1933 (marxists.org). - Rosa Luxemburg, The Russian Revolution (1918), ch. 6; Leon Trotsky, The Revolution Betrayed (1936) (marxists.org). - O. Rudnytskyi, N. Levchuk, O. Wolowyna, P. Shevchuk and A. Kovbasiuk, "Demography of a man-made human catastrophe: the case of massive famine in Ukraine 1932–1933", Canadian Studies in Population 42 (2015); O. Wolowyna et al., "Regional variations of 1932–34 famine losses in Ukraine", Canadian Studies in Population (2016). - Holodomor Research and Education Consortium (Canadian Institute of Ukrainian Studies, University of Alberta), "Holodomor Basic Facts". - Other Holodomor estimates, the scholars' positions on genocide, the USSR-wide range and national recognitions, as summarised in the Wikipedia articles "Holodomor" and "Holodomor genocide question" (leads to the named works). - Wilson Center, event summary for Sarah Cameron, The Hungry Steppe (Cornell University Press, 2018). - Soviet archival repression figures (executions 1921–53 and 1937–38; Gulag deaths), as summarised in the Wikipedia articles "Excess mortality in the Soviet Union under Joseph Stalin" and "Gulag" (leads). - Maddison Project Database 2023 (University of Groningen), GDP per capita in 2011 international dollars; all ratios and growth rates in this piece computed from it. - Our World in Data, life expectancy (UN World Population Prospects) and long-run literacy rates. - Robert C. Allen, Farm to Factory: A Reinterpretation of the Soviet Industrial Revolution (Princeton University Press, 2003), publisher's summary. - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, "Socialism" (central planning and the Soviet model). - J. Kornai, E. Maskin and G. Roland, "Understanding the Soft Budget Constraint", Journal of Economic Literature 41(4), 2003; F. A. Hayek, "The Use of Knowledge in Society" (1945, Econlib). - Communist Party of China, Resolution on Certain Questions in the History of Our Party since the Founding of the People's Republic of China (27 June 1981), marxists.org. - Great Leap famine estimates as tabulated in the Wikipedia article "Great Chinese Famine" (lead to the named studies); Frank Dikötter's own summary of Mao's Great Famine (frankdikotter.com). - Deng Xiaoping, opening speech to the 12th National Congress (1 September 1982) and talks in Wuchang, Shenzhen, Zhuhai and Shanghai (January–February 1992), marxists.org. - World Bank press release, "Lifting 800 Million People Out of Poverty" (1 April 2022); World Bank, Viet Nam overview (2026). - Human Rights Watch, World Report 2025 and World Report 2026, Cuba chapters; Cubadebate, "Hoy somos menos de 10 millones de cubanos residentes" (19 July 2024, ONEI data). - Documentation Center of Cambodia (dccam.org); Extraordinary Chambers in the Courts of Cambodia, timeline (Case 002/02 judgment, 16 November 2018). - Peterson Institute for International Economics, summary of S. Haggard and M. Noland, Famine in North Korea (2007); UN Human Rights Council, Report of the Commission of Inquiry on Human Rights in the DPRK, A/HRC/25/63 (7 February 2014). Go deeper - 🌐 Critique of the Gotha Programme — Karl Marx. Short, and the only place Marx describes the two phases of communism. Read part I before reading anyone who claims to know what Marx "really" wanted. - 📘 Farm to Factory — Robert C. Allen. The strongest scholarly case that Soviet planning produced real, fast growth, and an honest account of where it went wrong. - 📘 The Socialist System — János Kornai. The insider's anatomy of how Soviet-type economies worked and why they produced shortage, by the economist who named the soft budget constraint. - 📘 Mao's Great Famine — Frank Dikötter. A harrowing archival account of the Great Leap; read it alongside the demographers' lower estimates in Part 4. - 📘 The Hungry Steppe — Sarah Cameron. The overlooked Kazakh famine, which killed a larger share of its people than any other Soviet famine. - 🌐 SEP: Socialism — the clearest even-handed map of the arguments over planning, markets and what socialists might still want. - 🌐 Maddison Project Database — download the data and compare any communist country with its neighbours yourself. - 🌐 Companion pieces in this library: The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented and The Great Political Traditions (Politics); Russia and China in Condensed History of Nations; and in this series Capitalism, Socialism: The Many Kinds, Anarchism: Order Without Rulers and The Mixed Economy. Anarchism: Order Without Rulers ------------------------------- Most people use "anarchy" to mean chaos. Its founders meant almost the opposite: a society organised so well from below that it no longer needs anyone on top. Here is what they proposed for the economy, the few times it was tried, and the hardest objections it faces. Follows: The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented and Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened In this deep dive 1. What anarchism is, and isn't 2. The founders: Godwin, Proudhon, and Bakunin against Marx 3. Kropotkin, Goldman and the economics of mutual aid 4. Anarchism in practice: Ukraine 1918–21 and Spain 1936–39 5. The individualists, the anarcho-capitalists, and Elinor Ostrom's commons 6. Living experiments: the Zapatistas and Rojava, as of 2026 7. The strongest critiques, and the anarchists' replies In July 1936 a general's coup failed in Barcelona. Workers had stormed the barracks, and in the weeks that followed their unions took over factories, transport, shops and cafés; even the bootblacks were collectivised. When George Orwell arrived that December he found waiters who "looked you in the face and treated you as an equal", nobody saying "Señor", and a city where, he wrote, "the working class was in the saddle." He did not understand all of it, and some of it he did not like, but he "recognized it immediately as a state of affairs worth fighting for." Within a year it was mostly over, and within three Franco had won the war. But for a few months, one of Europe's great industrial cities was run in large part by anarchist trade unions, with no bosses, while in some of the villages around it money itself was abolished. Anarchism is the political economy that rejects not only capitalism's owners but also communism's planners. The previous deep dive, Communism, followed the Marxists who took state power to abolish private property. Anarchists predicted, sixty years before the Gulag, that this would create a new ruling class. This piece asks what they proposed instead: who would own things, who would decide what gets made, how it would be shared, and what happened when people tried. The Social Contract (in Politics, Democracy & Government) covers philosophical anarchism, the argument that no state has proved its right to be obeyed. The Great Political Traditions, in the same category, places libertarianism among the political families. This piece is about anarchism as an economic and social system. Part 1 — What anarchism is, and isn't The word comes from the Greek an-arkhos, "without a ruler". Benjamin Tucker, an American anarchist editor, insisted in 1888 that it meant "not necessarily absence of order, as is generally supposed, but an absence of rule." The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy defines anarchism as "a political theory that is skeptical of the justification of authority and power", usually grounded in the value of individual liberty "conceived as freedom from domination", and paired with a positive vision of "equality, community, and non-coercive consensus building." Two misunderstandings get in the way. Anarchism is not a rejection of organisation: most anarchists have been obsessive organisers of unions, co-operatives, federations and assemblies. What they reject is organisation by command, where some people give orders backed by force and others must obey. And anarchism is not one economic programme. Its schools disagree as sharply with each other as with anyone. School Who owns productive property How goods are allocated Key figures Mutualism Workers and small producers, by use and possession Markets of equals, cheap mutual credit Proudhon Collectivism Workers' associations, collectively Pay according to work done Bakunin Anarcho-communism Everyone in common Free sharing according to need Kropotkin, Goldman Anarcho-syndicalism Unions, federated by industry Usually collectivist or communist The Spanish CNT Individualist anarchism Individuals, as the product of their own labour Free markets without state-backed monopolies Warren, Tucker Anarcho-capitalism Individuals and firms, as private property Markets for everything, including law and defence Rothbard, David Friedman The first four are often grouped as social anarchism. The last is the most contested member of the family: most social anarchists say a defence of private capital is not anarchism at all, and Murray Rothbard himself suggested calling his position "non-archism" to avoid the confusion. What the schools share Under the disagreements, a few commitments run through almost every kind of anarchism. No rule by command. Cooperation is welcome; obedience to someone with the power to punish you is not. That covers the state, but social anarchists extend it to the boss, the landlord and, often, the patriarchal family. Anarchists usually call this kind of relationship hierarchy or domination. Federation from below. Large-scale coordination should come from small units, such as a workshop, a village or a neighbourhood, sending delegates upward with specific instructions, rather than from a centre sending orders down. Delegates can be recalled at any time. Means shape ends. You cannot reach a free society through a dictatorship, a party machine or an army of conscripts, because the methods will become the result. This is the root of the quarrel with Marxism told in Part 2. Direct action. Rather than petitioning those in power, people should do the thing themselves: occupy the factory, run the co-operative, build the clinic. Strikes, boycotts and occupations are its classic tools; to many anarchists, voting for representatives is not. How it differs from its neighbours It helps to place anarchism next to the traditions it borders. Liberals accept a state but want it limited by law and rights. Marxists accept a state, a workers' one, as a temporary tool that will one day wither away. Minimal-state libertarians accept a state for police, courts and defence only. Anarchists of every school reject the state as such, though, as the rest of this piece shows, they differ over what should take its place. (The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented sets these positions on a map.) Part 2 — The founders: Godwin, Proudhon, and Bakunin against Marx William Godwin: reason instead of government The first systematic anarchist was an English former dissenting minister who had lost his faith. In An Enquiry Concerning Political Justice (February 1793), William Godwin argued, as the Stanford Encyclopedia summarises, that government is "a corrupting force in society, perpetuating dependence and ignorance," but that it will become increasingly unnecessary as knowledge spreads. His tool for change was not revolution but the "rigorous exercise of private judgment, and its candid expression in public discussion." Godwin pushed impartiality to startling lengths. In his famous "fire case", you can save only one person from a burning room: the Archbishop Fénelon, about to write a book that will benefit millions, or a chambermaid who turns out to be your mother. Godwin said you should save the archbishop. He also distrusted any arrangement that bound people's judgment in advance, from law and private property to marriage and even orchestral concerts. His influence was literary as much as political. He married the feminist Mary Wollstonecraft, became Percy Bysshe Shelley's father-in-law, and provoked a famous reply: Thomas Malthus's Essay on the Principle of Population (1798) was in large part an argument that Godwin's equal society would breed until it starved. The objection that abundance will not last, because people will multiply or stop working, has followed anarchism ever since. Proudhon: "property is theft", and what he meant The first person to call himself an anarchist was a self-taught French printer. In What Is Property? (1840), Pierre-Joseph Proudhon imagines being asked his politics. A republican? "That word specifies nothing." A democrat? "No." A monarchist? "No." "What are you, then?" "I am an anarchist." His most famous line answers the book's title question: property is theft (la propriété, c'est le vol; Benjamin Tucker's 1876 translation gives "robbery"). It sounds like a demand to abolish all ownership. It isn't. Proudhon distinguished two things: Possession: the right to use what you actually occupy and work, such as your house, your tools, the field you farm. "Possession is a right," he wrote. Property in his special sense: the "right of increase", the power to collect income from something you do not use yourself, as rent, interest or profit. "Property is against right." His programme fits in a sentence: "Suppress property while maintaining possession, and, by this simple modification of the principle, you will revolutionize law, government, economy, and institutions." Proudhon was not against your house or your workshop. He was against the landlord who owns a hundred houses and the shareholder who never visits the workshop. Proudhon was just as hostile to communism. "Property is the exploitation of the weak by the strong," he wrote; "Communism is the exploitation of the strong by the weak." His alternative, mutualism, was a market society of independent producers and workers' associations, exchanging goods at their labour cost and financed by a bank with no shareholders that would lend without interest, which he tried to set up after the revolution of 1848. Karl Marx at first admired Proudhon, then savaged him. When Proudhon published a book called The Philosophy of Poverty (1846), Marx answered with The Poverty of Philosophy (1847). The quarrel between the two traditions had begun. Bakunin against Marx The quarrel became a split inside the first great international workers' movement. The International Working Men's Association, the First International, was founded in London in 1864. Its two most famous members were Marx and the Russian revolutionary Mikhail Bakunin. Both wanted to abolish capitalism and, eventually, the state. The disagreement was about the road. Marx held that workers must first win political power, through parties and, if necessary, a "dictatorship of the proletariat", before the state could wither away. Bakunin held that any state, even a workers' state, would create a new ruling class, and that the revolution must abolish the state at once and replace it with a free federation of workers' associations and communes. His most famous statement of the principle came in 1867: "liberty without socialism is privilege, injustice; and... socialism without liberty is slavery and brutality." In Statism and Anarchy (1873) Bakunin predicted what a Marxist government would become. The ruling minority, the Marxists say, will consist of workers. "Yes, possibly of former workers, who, as soon as they become the rulers of the representatives of the people, will cease to be workers and will look down at the plain working masses from the governing heights of the State; they will no longer represent the people, but only themselves and their claims to rulership over the people." — Mikhail Bakunin, Statism and Anarchy (1873) Marx copied this passage into his notebook and answered it in the margin. A worker who became a representative, he wrote, would no more stop being a worker than a factory owner stops being a capitalist by becoming a town councillor. To anarchists, the history of the twentieth century settled which of them was right. Marxists reply that Bakunin was predicting the outcome of a revolution in a backward country under siege, which is not what Marx proposed. The organisational fight ended at the Hague Congress of the International in September 1872. A committee accused Bakunin of running a secret organisation inside the International, and the congress voted to expel him. It also moved the General Council to New York, by 30 votes to 14, where it soon died. Bakunin's supporters formed their own International. The socialist movement had split into the two families that would face each other, sometimes with guns, in Russia and Spain. Part 3 — Kropotkin, Goldman and the economics of mutual aid Kropotkin: cooperation is natural If Bakunin supplied anarchism's fire, Peter Kropotkin supplied its science. A Russian prince and trained geographer who had explored Siberia, he became anarchism's most influential economist. His best-known book began as a reply to Thomas Huxley, Darwin's great defender. In 1888 Huxley had written that, from the moralist's point of view, the animal world was "on about the same level as a gladiators' show", and many readers took this as proof that competition is the law of life. Kropotkin answered with a series of articles in The Nineteenth Century from 1890, collected in 1902 as Mutual Aid. Drawing on his observations of animals and peasant communities, he argued that species survive by cooperating as much as by fighting: "Those animals which acquire habits of mutual aid are undoubtedly the fittest... mutual aid is as much a law of animal life as mutual struggle." — Peter Kropotkin, Mutual Aid (1902) Modern evolutionary biology has a much richer theory of cooperation than either Huxley or Kropotkin, but it confirms Kropotkin's core point: cooperation among animals, and especially among humans, is common and evolves for good reasons. The Conquest of Bread: from each, to each Kropotkin's economic programme, set out in The Conquest of Bread (1892), is anarcho-communism. Since every product depends on the accumulated work of generations, he argued, nobody can measure one person's share: "All belongs to all." So he rejected not only private property but wages, including the labour certificates of Marx's first phase. His allocation rule was simple: "no stint or limit to what the community possesses in abundance, but equal sharing and dividing of those commodities which are scarce or apt to run short." Village commons, public libraries and free bridges were his evidence that people already lived this way for some goods. The weakness is obvious and anarchists have argued about it ever since: who decides what is scarce, and what happens if too few people want to do the unpleasant work? Kropotkin's answer was that work freed from bosses and overwork would become attractive, and that shorter hours shared by all would cover the rest. Emma Goldman: freedom in everyday life Emma Goldman, a Jewish immigrant from Kaunas in the Russian Empire (now Lithuania), to the United States, became the most famous anarchist of the early twentieth century. Her definition, from Anarchism and Other Essays (1910), is one of the clearest: "The philosophy of a new social order based on liberty unrestricted by man-made law; the theory that all forms of government rest on violence, and are therefore wrong and harmful, as well as unnecessary." Goldman broadened anarchism from economics into personal life: free speech, birth control, sexual freedom, opposition to conscription. Jailed for opposing the First World War draft, she was deported in December 1919 with Alexander Berkman and more than two hundred others to Soviet Russia. She arrived hopeful and left disillusioned, above all after the crushing of the Kronstadt rising in March 1921. On 28 February the sailors of the battleship Petropavlovsk, many of whom had fought for the revolution in 1917, had passed a resolution demanding new elections to the soviets by secret ballot and freedom of speech and press "to anarchist and left socialist parties". The Red Army stormed the island fortress across the ice. Goldman left Russia that December and wrote My Disillusionment in Russia (1923). Her most famous line, "If I can't dance, I don't want to be part of your revolution", is probably not hers. It was put on a T-shirt in the 1970s, loosely based on a story in her autobiography in which a comrade told her that dancing did not suit an agitator. Part 4 — Anarchism in practice: Ukraine 1918–21 and Spain 1936–39 Anarchist societies have existed at scale only twice, both times in the middle of civil wars. That fact matters to every argument about them. The Makhnovshchina: free soviets in Ukraine In southern Ukraine, around the town of Huliaipole, a peasant anarchist named Nestor Makhno led a movement known as the Makhnovshchina. From 1918 it fought the German and Austrian occupiers, Ukrainian nationalists, the White armies and, at different times, the Bolsheviks. In the territory it held, it seized landlords' estates, set up agricultural communes and called regional congresses of peasants, workers and insurgents to run local affairs through "free soviets", councils without a party above them. More than once the Makhnovists allied with the Red Army against the Whites, and each time the Bolsheviks turned on them. By August 1921 the movement was crushed, and Makhno escaped abroad; he died of tuberculosis in Paris in 1934, aged 45. The record is contested. Anarchist historians stress the movement's popular base, its self-government and Makhno's ban on anti-Jewish pogroms. Critics note that it was in practice an army under a charismatic commander, fighting a war in which every side requisitioned food and shot enemies, and that there was little time or peace to show what free soviets could do in normal life. Spain: the largest anarchist revolution Spain had the strongest anarchist movement in history. Its union, the CNT (National Confederation of Labour), had about 1.5 million members in July 1936, alongside the FAI, a federation of committed anarchists. When generals rebelled against the Republic on 17–18 July 1936, workers' militias defeated them in Barcelona and much of eastern Spain. The state's authority collapsed, and the unions took over. What followed was anarcho-syndicalism in practice: Sector What happened Catalan industry and services Factories, transport, shops and cafés were collectivised and run by workers' committees; the CNT held the Barcelona telephone exchange Agriculture in Aragon and elsewhere Landlords' estates were expropriated and pooled into village collectives run by assemblies; in some villages money was abolished for internal use and replaced by vouchers, local coins or ration tables Daily life In Barcelona, tipping was forbidden and formal titles dropped; everyone called everyone else "Comrade" Estimates of how many people lived in the collectives vary from about 1.5 million to 3 million. Whether the collectives were voluntary is the central dispute. The historian Burnett Bolloten argued that many small farmers joined only under heavy pressure, in a climate in which "fascists" were being shot. Ronald Fraser's oral history found both "spontaneous" and "forced" collectives. Others, such as Antony Beevor and Graham Kelsey, point out that most villages contained both collectivists and individual farmers who stayed out, which they take as evidence that coercion was not the rule. The historian Michael Seidman found that even anarchist-run workplaces struggled to get people to work: the CNT ruled that workers could be sacked for "laziness or immorality" and that each should have a file recording their "professional and social personalities", much as bosses had kept. The revolution also had a dark side that its admirers often skip. In the months after the coup, militias of many parties, anarchists among them, killed tens of thousands of people in the Republican zone, including about 6,800 Catholic clergy by the most cited count. Most historians judge the repression on Franco's side to have been larger and more systematic, but the Republican killings were real. How it ended The revolution was undone first by its own side. To fight Franco, the CNT agreed to join the government; in November 1936 four anarchists became ministers, among them Federica Montseny. The Republic, increasingly dependent on Soviet arms and on the Communist Party, set about rebuilding the state. In Orwell's account, the militias were broken up and key industries taken back by the government. On 3 May 1937, government forces tried to take the CNT-held Barcelona telephone exchange, and street fighting broke out across the city. Orwell was there. After these May Days, the anti-Stalinist POUM party was outlawed, and in August 1937 the government dissolved the anarchist-led Council of Aragon and sent troops to break up many of its collectives. Franco's victory in 1939 ended what was left. Anarchists draw one lesson from Spain: the revolution worked until it was destroyed by both its enemies and its allies. Critics draw another: a society without a state could not defend itself, so it had to rebuild one. Part 5 — The individualists, the anarcho-capitalists, and Elinor Ostrom's commons American individualists: markets without monopolies A different anarchism grew up in the United States, from Josiah Warren in the 1820s to Benjamin Tucker, editor of the journal Liberty from 1881. Tucker called anarchists "unterrified Jeffersonian Democrats" who took "the best government is that which governs least" to its conclusion. Tucker's economics were pro-market and anti-capitalist at once. He argued that the rich got rich not through free markets but through four state-backed monopolies: the money monopoly (laws restricting who may issue currency and credit, which kept interest high), the land monopoly (state enforcement of title to land nobody used), tariffs, and patents. Abolish those, he believed, and competition would drive rent, interest and profit towards zero, so workers would receive their full product. It was Proudhon's mutualism with an American accent. Anarcho-capitalism: markets for everything In the 1960s and 1970s American economists revived the individualists' love of markets while dropping their hostility to profit and interest. Murray Rothbard, a student of the Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises, argued that taxation is theft and that every service the state provides could be supplied by voluntary exchange. Against philosophers who justified the state by an imagined social contract, he replied that "no existing state has been immaculately conceived." David Friedman, son of Milton Friedman, gave the most concrete economic picture in The Machinery of Freedom (1973). Imagine there are no police, he wrote, but competing protection agencies. Your television is stolen, your agency's camera shows a man named Joe carrying it out, and Joe's own agency says he's innocent. Rather than fight, which is expensive, the two agencies agree in advance on an arbitrator. Over time, different agencies and arbitrators would offer different legal codes, and customers would choose among them. "Systems of law would be produced for profit on the open market, just as books and bras are produced today." — David Friedman, The Machinery of Freedom (1973) Friedman studied medieval Iceland, which had courts and law but almost no state executive, as a historical example. Friedman is unusually candid about the weak point. His chapter on national defence is titled "The hard problem." Defence against a foreign army is a public good: it protects everyone in a territory whether or not they pay, so a voluntary market may not supply enough of it. The philosopher Robert Nozick, in Anarchy, State, and Utopia (1974), argued that competing protection agencies would tend to merge into one dominant protective association that, without anyone intending it, becomes a minimal state. (The Great Political Traditions covers Nozick's case for the minimal state.) Rothbard replied that even this state would violate rights by taxing people and forbidding competitors. Elinor Ostrom: the commons can work (but she was not an anarchist) The most important empirical evidence on self-governance comes from someone who was not an anarchist at all. In 1968 the biologist Garrett Hardin argued that a pasture open to all would be overgrazed, because each herder gains from adding a cow while the cost is shared by all: the tragedy of the commons. The usual conclusions were privatise it or let the state run it. Elinor Ostrom, a political scientist at Indiana University, spent her career showing that there is a third way. In Governing the Commons (1990) and hundreds of field studies of fisheries, forests, irrigation systems and pastures, she found communities that had managed shared resources sustainably for centuries without either private owners or a central state. In 2009 she shared the Nobel Prize in economics "for her analysis of economic governance, especially the commons", the first woman to receive it. She found that long-lasting commons shared certain design principles. In the updated list in her Nobel lecture: Clear boundaries around who may use the resource, and what the resource is. Rules that fit local conditions, with costs in proportion to benefits. Most users can take part in making and changing the rules. Monitors who are users themselves or answer to them. Graduated sanctions: penalties that start small and grow for repeat offenders. Quick, cheap, local ways of resolving conflicts. The government recognises the users' right to make their own rules. For larger systems, governance "organized in multiple nested layers". Anarchists cite Ostrom constantly, and with reason: she showed that people can make, monitor and enforce their own rules far more often than economists assumed. But principle 7 shows why she was not one of them. Her successful commons usually existed within states that recognised them, and her own term for the ideal was polycentric governance: many centres of decision-making, local and national, nested together. Her lecture is titled Beyond Markets and States, not Without them, and her warning that "one-size-fits-all" policies fail applies to anarchist blueprints as much as to state ones. Part 6 — Living experiments: the Zapatistas and Rojava, as of 2026 Two modern movements are often discussed as anarchist or near-anarchist experiments. Neither uses the word about itself, and both have been shaped by armed conflict. What follows is drawn from their own documents and from dated reporting. The Zapatistas of Chiapas On 1 January 1994 the Zapatista Army of National Liberation (EZLN), a mostly indigenous Maya force in the southern Mexican state of Chiapas, rose in arms with the declaration "Hoy decimos ¡basta!" ("Today we say: enough!"). After brief fighting, it turned to building autonomous self-government in the communities that supported it. In August 2003 the Zapatistas set up Juntas de Buen Gobierno ("good government councils"). From then on, by their own account, the EZLN's military leadership stopped giving orders in civilian matters, and communities practised mandar obedeciendo, "to command by obeying": officials serve in rotation and can be recalled by the assemblies that chose them. The communities run their own affairs through assemblies and rotating councils. In November 2023 the Zapatistas announced a sweeping reorganisation. They dissolved their autonomous municipalities and the twelve good-government councils and shifted power down to thousands of Local Autonomous Governments (GAL), one in each community, which combine as needed into larger collectives. As of October 2026 the movement remains active, publishing communiqués and hosting international gatherings in Chiapas. The Zapatistas' language is not anarchist: they speak of autonomy, indigenous dignity and the struggle against capitalism, and they began as, and remain, an army with commanders. Many anarchists admire them; the Zapatistas have kept their own name for what they do. Rojava: democratic confederalism in north-east Syria During Syria's civil war, Kurdish-led forces took control of much of north-east Syria from 2012 and built the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES), widely known as Rojava. Its ideology came from Abdullah Öcalan, the imprisoned founder of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), who in prison abandoned the goal of a Kurdish nation-state for what he called democratic confederalism: "a non-state political administration or a democracy without a state", built from communes and councils. Its 2023 Social Contract describes a society based on "an ecological democratic society, co-chairing, communal economy, social justice, and the principle of democratic confederalism." Offices were held jointly by a man and a woman (the co-chair system), and local communes handled many everyday decisions. Supporters admired its record on women's rights and religious and ethnic pluralism. Critics, including a 2016 Chatham House study, argued that real power was concentrated in one party, the PYD; Amnesty International accused its forces in 2015 of forcibly displacing residents of some villages; Arab residents in some areas protested against forced conscription and Kurdish dominance; and Turkey regarded the administration's armed forces as an extension of the PKK, which the United States has listed as a terrorist organisation since 1997. After the fall of the Assad government in December 2024, the administration negotiated with Syria's new interim government. In January 2026 government forces launched an offensive and took much of Raqqa and Deir ez-Zor provinces, and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces agreed to withdraw to Hasakah province (CNN, 18 January 2026). On 29 January the two sides agreed a roadmap to integrate the region's forces and civilian institutions into the Syrian state; by May, four brigades of former SDF fighters had joined the national army (Rudaw, 2 May 2026). In early August a regional official said integration was about 70% complete, though the final dissolution of the administration had not yet happened (Perspektive, August 2026). On about 20 August 2026 the SDF commander, Mazloum Abdi, said military, security and administrative integration into state institutions was complete (Enab Baladi, 21 August 2026), and days later, at a press conference in Damascus after meeting President Ahmad al-Sharaa, he announced "the end of the mission of the Syrian Democratic Forces and their dissolution as an independent military force" (Jordan News, 27 August 2026). As of late 2026, then, Rojava's experiment in self-administration has largely been folded into the Syrian state. Whether any of its communal institutions survive inside the new arrangement remains to be seen. Both experiments survived only by having armies. That is either proof that anarchism needs a defence it cannot supply, or proof that anyone who challenges a state must be ready to defend themselves. Which one you see depends on where you start. Part 7 — The strongest critiques, and the anarchists' replies Critique The strongest version The anarchist reply Security Without a state, the strongest gang becomes the state States are the deadliest gangs of all; self-defence can be organised from below Collective action Large groups can't provide public goods voluntarily People cooperate far more than the theory predicts, as Ostrom found Scale Assemblies work for villages, not for cities of millions Federations of small units can scale; states also fail at scale Hidden power Without formal rules, informal elites take over Then make the structure open, accountable and rotating Coercion Someone must still enforce the rules on dissenters Enforcement by communities is closer and more accountable 1. Security: who stops the strongest? Thomas Hobbes's answer to anarchism came two centuries before anarchism had a name. Without a common power to keep everyone in awe, he wrote in Leviathan (1651, ch. 13), the life of man is "solitary, poore, nasty, brutish, and short." Nozick's version is gentler: competing protection agencies will tend to merge until one dominates and becomes a state. History seems to agree. Both large anarchist experiments, in Ukraine and Spain, were destroyed by better-organised armies, and both had already built military hierarchies to survive. Even David Friedman calls defence "the hard problem." Anarchists reply that the comparison is unfair. The previous deep dive in this series counted the millions killed by states in the twentieth century, and those were states doing what states do: concentrating force. The question, they argue, is not whether anarchy is perfectly safe but whether it is more dangerous than the Leviathan. 2. Collective action: free riders The economist Mancur Olson's The Logic of Collective Action (1965) explains why voluntary groups struggle with public goods. A union's wage gains, a lobby's laws or a country's defence benefit every member whether they paid or not, so each has a reason to let others pay. Olson concluded that "small and large organizations support themselves in entirely different ways": small groups can rely on peer pressure, but large groups need compulsion or special incentives, which is why governments tax and unions sought closed shops. The anarchist reply leans on Ostrom: people solve these dilemmas surprisingly often when they can talk, monitor each other and punish cheats. But note her conditions: clear boundaries, local knowledge, and usually small groups nested inside larger institutions. 3. Scale: villages and megacities The successful examples of self-government without a state, from Swiss alpine pastures to Zapatista communities, are mostly small and stable. A modern economy depends on long supply chains, power grids, pandemics and trade among strangers who will never meet. Critics ask how an assembly-based federation would build a semiconductor plant or coordinate a national electricity grid. Anarchists answer with federation: small units delegating specific tasks upward to recallable delegates, never handing over general authority. Critics reply that the federation's upper levels would become a state in all but name. 4. Hidden power: the tyranny of structurelessness One of the sharpest critiques came from inside the radical left. In a talk first given in May 1970, the feminist Jo Freeman argued that groups that reject formal structure don't end up structureless; they end up with informal, unaccountable cliques. A "laissez faire" group, she wrote, "is about as realistic as a 'laissez faire' society; the idea becomes a smokescreen for the strong or the lucky." Many anarchist organisations now answer her with rotating roles, written procedures and recall. 5. Coercion by other means Without a state, someone must still decide what happens to a farmer who refuses to join the collective or a factory that won't share its output. The Spanish experience suggests that social pressure, rationing and the denial of benefits can coerce as effectively as police. Social anarchists reply that community enforcement is closer and more accountable than distant bureaucracy. Anarcho-capitalists reply that private property and contract settle such questions, and social anarchists answer that a society of private protection agencies would simply let wealth buy force. What remains Even sceptics grant anarchism several lasting contributions. Its prediction of what a Marxist state would become was strikingly accurate. Its insistence that means shape ends, so that a free society cannot be built by unfree methods, haunts every revolutionary movement. And Ostrom's research vindicated the anarchist intuition that ordinary people can govern shared resources without either a master or a market, even if not without any state at all. The live disagreement is about how far that intuition stretches: from the village to the region, from the commons to the whole economy, from peacetime to war. The takeaway Anarchism is the tradition that rejects rule by command, both the capitalist's and the state's, and proposes instead an order built from voluntary association. Its economic schools disagree deeply: Proudhon wanted markets of independent producers without landlords or lenders ("property is theft" meant income from ownership, not your house); Bakunin wanted collective ownership; Kropotkin wanted free sharing by need; American individualists wanted markets without state monopolies; and anarcho-capitalists want markets for everything, including law. Its two large experiments, in Ukraine (1918–21) and Spain (1936–39), showed that workers and peasants could run farms and factories, and also that they struggled with coercion and could not survive a civil war without rebuilding hierarchy. Elinor Ostrom, who was not an anarchist, showed that communities can govern shared resources by their own rules, usually nested within a state. The strongest critiques concern security, free riders, scale and hidden power, and they remain unanswered rather than refuted. Try this: find one thing near you that people govern without a boss or a market: a shared allotment, a sports club, a group chat with rules, a volunteer project. Check it against Ostrom's eight principles. Which does it have, which is it missing, and what happens when someone breaks the rules? Sources & Further Reading Sources - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, "Anarchism" (Andrew Fiala, revised 4 December 2025): definition, schools, Proudhon, Bakunin, Kropotkin, Goldman, Stirner, Rothbard ("non-archism"; "no existing state has been immaculately conceived"). - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, "William Godwin" (revised 2025): Political Justice (1793), private judgment, the fire case, Wollstonecraft, Malthus. - P.-J. Proudhon, What Is Property? (1840), trans. B. R. Tucker (1876), Project Gutenberg eBook #360: ch. 1 ("Property is robbery"), the "right of increase", ch. 5 ("I am an anarchist"; possession and property; "Communism is oppression and slavery"). - Karl Marx, The Poverty of Philosophy (1847) and Conspectus of Bakunin's Statism and Anarchy (1874–75); M. Bakunin, Federalism, Socialism, Anti-Theologism (1867) and Statism and Anarchy (1873); Resolutions of the Hague Congress of the IWMA, 2–7 September 1872 (all at marxists.org). - P. Kropotkin, Mutual Aid (1902), Project Gutenberg #4341 (introduction and ch. 1); The Conquest of Bread, Project Gutenberg #23428. - Emma Goldman, Anarchism and Other Essays (1910), Project Gutenberg #2162; Goldman, My Disillusionment in Russia (1923) and other Kronstadt documents in the marxists.org Kronstadt archive. Goldman's deportation and the origin of the "dance" quotation, from the Wikipedia article "Emma Goldman" (lead to Alix Kates Shulman's account). - The Makhnovshchina, CNT membership in 1936, collectivisation estimates (Leval, Richards, Mintz), the coercion debate (Bolloten, Fraser, Beevor, Kelsey, Seidman), the CNT ministers, the May Days, the Council of Aragon and the Republican-zone killings, from the Wikipedia articles "Makhnovshchina", "Nestor Makhno", "Spanish Revolution of 1936", "May Days" and "Red Terror (Spain)" (used as leads to the named works). - George Orwell, Homage to Catalonia (1938), chs. 1, 5 and 10 (Project Gutenberg Australia). - B. R. Tucker, "State Socialism and Anarchism", Liberty, 10 March 1888 (The Anarchist Library). - David Friedman, The Machinery of Freedom (2nd ed., 1989; first ed. 1973), author's PDF: private protection agencies, "National defense: the hard problem", medieval Iceland. - Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, "Robert Nozick's Political Philosophy" (dominant protective association). - Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences 2009, facts and press release; Elinor Ostrom, "Beyond Markets and States: Polycentric Governance of Complex Economic Systems", Nobel lecture (8 December 2009), design principles as updated by Cox, Arnold and Villamayor-Tomás (2009). - Harvard University Press, description of Mancur Olson, The Logic of Collective Action; Jo Freeman, "The Tyranny of Structurelessness" (jofreeman.com); Thomas Hobbes, Leviathan (1651), ch. 13, Project Gutenberg #3207. - EZLN, Primera Declaración de la Selva Lacandona (1 January 1994), Sexta Declaración de la Selva Lacandona (2005), and "Novena parte: la nueva estructura de la autonomía zapatista" (12 November 2023), all at enlacezapatista.ezln.org.mx; Enlace Zapatista home page (consulted October 2026). - Abdullah Öcalan, Democratic Confederalism (2011, The Anarchist Library); Rojava Information Center, "AANES Social Contract, 2023 edition"; CNN, "Syria military takeover of Kurdish SDF areas, explained" (18 January 2026); Rojava Information Center emergency update (22 January 2026); Rudaw, report on SDF brigades (2 May 2026); Perspektive Online, report on integration (August 2026); the August 2026 completion statement and dissolution announcement as reported by Al Arabiya, Enab Baladi (21 August 2026) and Jordan News (27 August 2026); US State Department, list of Foreign Terrorist Organizations (PKK, designated 8 October 1997). Go deeper - 🌐 SEP: Anarchism — a careful, recently revised map of every school and every major objection. Start here. - 📘 Mutual Aid — Peter Kropotkin. Read the introduction and the chapters on medieval cities; then ask what modern biology would add. - 📘 What Is Property? — P.-J. Proudhon. Chapter 1 and the conclusion of chapter 5 are enough to see what "property is theft" really meant. - 📘 Homage to Catalonia — George Orwell. An eyewitness of the Spanish revolution at its height and of its destruction in the May Days; honest about what he did and didn't understand. - 🌐 The Machinery of Freedom — David Friedman. The anarcho-capitalist case at its clearest, free from the author, including the chapter on why defence is the hard problem. - 🌐 "Beyond Markets and States" — Elinor Ostrom's Nobel lecture. The evidence on self-governed commons, from someone who was neither a free-marketeer nor an anarchist. - 🌐 "The Tyranny of Structurelessness" — Jo Freeman. Twenty minutes that every group without a boss should read. - 🌐 Companion pieces in this library: The Social Contract and The Great Political Traditions (Politics); and in this series Socialism: The Many Kinds, Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened and The Mixed Economy. The Mixed Economy: Welfare States, Keynes, Neoliberalism and State Capitalism ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Almost nobody lives under pure capitalism or pure socialism. Nearly everyone lives in some mixture of the two, and the last 140 years are the story of people arguing about the recipe. Follows: Where Public Money Goes · The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented · Capitalism: How Markets, Prices and Private Property Organise an Economy In this deep dive Bismarck's bargain: the conservative invention of social insurance The Depression and the Keynesian revolution Building the floor: the New Deal and the Beveridge Report The golden age, and the three worlds of welfare capitalism Stagflation and the turn of the 1980s "Neoliberalism": a word worth handling with care 2008 and after: the state comes back, again State capitalism: China, Singapore and the sovereign wealth funds Social spending compared, and what the numbers can't tell you In 1889 a German factory worker who reached seventy, and who had paid into a new state scheme for thirty years, became entitled to a pension. Very few lived that long. The law was modest, almost symbolic. It was also the start of something that now takes about a fifth of the national income of the average rich democracy and shapes nearly every life in it, from the hospital you were born in to the pension you will draw. The earlier pieces in this series looked at economic systems as pure types. Capitalism showed how prices and private property coordinate production; Socialism: The Many Kinds, From Utopians to Social Democracy and Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened look at the case for collective ownership and planning. In practice, every rich country chose neither. They built mixed economies: mostly private ownership and markets, plus a state that insures people against the big risks of life, manages the business cycle, regulates, and in some places owns or steers large parts of industry. Where Public Money Goes (Politics 8) explained the arithmetic of a public budget, and The Great Political Traditions (Politics 15) explained social democracy, Christian democracy and classical liberalism as political families. This piece is about the mixture itself: where each ingredient came from, why the recipe kept changing, and what the evidence says. On the values underneath it takes no side; advocates of a bigger state and of a smaller one can both point to prosperous countries that chose their way. Part 1 — Bismarck's bargain: the conservative invention of social insurance The welfare state was not invented by socialists. It was invented by one of the most conservative statesmen of the nineteenth century, partly to stop socialists. Germany in the 1870s and 1880s was industrialising fast. Millions of people had moved from farms, where family and village absorbed sickness and old age, to factories, where an injury or a fever could mean destitution. A socialist workers' movement was growing. Otto von Bismarck, the imperial chancellor, responded with three laws in six years: Year Law What it did 1883 Sickness insurance Compulsory health insurance for industrial workers 1884 Accident insurance Compensation for workplace injuries, paid by employers 1889 Invalidity and old-age insurance A pension from age 70 after 30 years of contributions, or earlier on disability The German pension insurer, the Deutsche Rentenversicherung, describes the motive plainly in its own history: Bismarck "recognised the danger" (our translation) and used these laws to bind the working class more closely to the state and prevent its radicalisation. The pension contribution was about 2% of pay, split equally between employer and worker, with a small subsidy from the state. By 1891 about 126,400 old-age pensions were being paid, thanks to a transition rule for people already over seventy. The first welfare state was a conservative project: a way to give workers a stake in the existing order so they would not try to overturn it. Three features of Bismarck's design still matter, because whole countries still follow them. It was insurance, not charity. Benefits were earned by contributions, tied to your job and your wage. That made them respectable: you were collecting what you had paid for, not begging. It also made them unequal: people outside formal paid work, which then included most women, were left out or depended on a working relative. It was run by funds, not ministries. Employers and workers paid in and had a say in running the insurance bodies, and much of continental Europe still organises social insurance through funds of this kind. It was a bargain. The state offered security in return for loyalty. Supporters of social insurance across the political spectrum have made versions of this argument ever since: a market economy is more stable, and its people freer, when no one fears that one illness will ruin them. Critics on the left saw it as a bribe to buy off demands for deeper change. Critics on the right saw the first step towards a state that would take over responsibilities families and churches had always carried. Both criticisms are still heard today. The idea spread. Over the next half-century, versions of social insurance appeared across Europe and beyond. But in 1930 public social spending was still small almost everywhere. On the long-run series compiled by the economic historian Peter Lindert and the OECD, it was about 2% of GDP in Britain, under 5% in Germany and well under 1% in the United States. Then came the Depression. Part 2 — The Depression and the Keynesian revolution The crash came on "Black Thursday", 24 October 1929. What followed was not a recession but a collapse. By the time Franklin Roosevelt was inaugurated on 4 March 1933, the American banking system had broken down and, according to the Roosevelt Presidential Library, 24.9% of the workforce, nearly 13 million people, was unemployed. Similar disasters hit Germany, Britain and most of the industrial world. The economics of the time had a hard time explaining this. The standard view held that markets clear: if workers are unemployed, wages fall until employers want to hire them; if savings pile up, interest rates fall until someone wants to borrow and invest. Unemployment on this scale should be temporary. It wasn't. What Keynes argued John Maynard Keynes (1883–1946), a Cambridge economist, published The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money in 1936. Its central claims, stripped to their bones: Spending creates income. One person's spending is another person's wages. Total demand in the economy (consumers, businesses investing, government, buyers abroad) determines how much gets produced and how many people get hired. Demand can stay too low for years. If households and firms are frightened, they save more and invest less. Each person's caution is sensible; added together, it shrinks everyone's income. There is no automatic force that quickly brings the economy back to full employment. Cutting wages may not help. A general wage cut, which the old view recommended, also cuts workers' incomes and therefore their spending, which can make demand weaker still. So the state should fill the gap. In a slump, government can borrow and spend, or cut taxes, to replace the missing private demand. Monetary policy helps but may not be enough on its own. Keynes also had a striking account of why investment is so unstable. Business decisions about the far future, he wrote in chapter 12, cannot be the outcome of careful probability sums. They are taken "as a result of animal spirits — of a spontaneous urge to action rather than inaction." When animal spirits fail, investment collapses, and with it jobs. "The outstanding faults of the economic society in which we live are its failure to provide for full employment and its arbitrary and inequitable distribution of wealth and incomes." — Keynes, The General Theory, ch. 24 What Keynes did not argue It is easy to make Keynes more radical than he was. He wanted, in his words, "a somewhat comprehensive socialisation of investment", meaning the state would take responsibility for keeping total investment high enough. But he was explicit that once full employment was secured, there was "no more reason to socialise economic life than there was before" (ch. 24). He thought markets did a good job of deciding what to produce and how; his complaint was that they did not reliably produce enough. Keynes saw himself as saving capitalism from its own worst failure, not replacing it. The case against, at its strongest Keynes's critics were formidable, and some of their objections have aged well. Friedrich Hayek argued that slumps were the hangover from earlier booms fuelled by cheap credit, and that government spending would delay the necessary readjustment of production rather than cure it. Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz later argued that the Great Depression was made far worse by the Federal Reserve letting the money supply collapse. On that reading the lesson was "get monetary policy right", not "expand the state". Public-choice economists worried about politics: governments find it easy to run deficits in bad times but hard to run surpluses in good ones, so Keynesian policy would ratchet the state and its debts ever upward. The modern consensus, to the extent there is one, borrows from both sides: central banks fight ordinary downturns, and governments use the budget in deep slumps, especially when interest rates are already near zero. Keynes himself predicted his ideas would win slowly. "Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences," he wrote, "are usually the slaves of some defunct economist." Part 3 — Building the floor: the New Deal and the Beveridge Report The New Deal Roosevelt had pledged "a New Deal for the American people". Much of it came before Keynes's book and owed more to improvisation than to theory. In his first years in office came the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (1933), which guaranteed bank deposits and ended the runs; the Tennessee Valley Authority (1933), a public corporation building dams and electrifying a poor region; the Securities and Exchange Commission (1934); and the Works Progress Administration (1935), which hired the unemployed for public works. The most lasting piece was the Social Security Act of 14 August 1935. It created federal old-age benefits, unemployment insurance run with the states, and aid for dependent children and for blind and disabled people. Like Bismarck's system, the pension was contributory, financed by payroll taxes and tied to work. The New Deal remains argued over. Its admirers credit it with restoring faith in banks, building infrastructure that lasted generations and creating a floor of security. Its critics argue that some programmes, notably attempts to fix prices and wages through industry codes, slowed recovery, and that full employment came only with wartime spending. Historians also note who was left out. The 1935 Act's definition of employment excluded "agricultural labor" and "domestic service in a private home", which left out many of the poorest workers, including a large share of Black workers in the South; historians still debate how far that was the intent. Both the achievement and the exclusion are part of the record. Beveridge's five giants In June 1941 the British government asked the economist and former civil servant William Beveridge to survey the country's patchwork of social insurance schemes. His report, Social Insurance and Allied Services (Cmd 6404), was published at the start of December 1942, in the middle of the war. Beveridge did not write like a civil servant: "A revolutionary moment in the world's history is a time for revolutions, not for patching." — Beveridge Report, para. 7 Social insurance, he wrote, was only an attack on "Want". But "Want is one only of five giants on the road of reconstruction and in some ways the easiest to attack. The others are Disease, Ignorance, Squalor and Idleness" (para. 8). Each giant pointed to a field of policy: Giant The policy field it pointed to Want Social insurance, national assistance, children's allowances Disease Comprehensive health and rehabilitation services Ignorance Education Squalor Housing and the planning of towns and industry Idleness Keeping employment high Labour won the 1945 election promising to slay the giants; Beveridge himself, a Liberal, lost his seat. The National Insurance Act and the National Health Service Act (both 1946) and the National Assistance Act (1948) followed. Two things about Beveridge's plan are often forgotten. First, it was meant to be a floor. Its first two "fundamental principles" were a "flat rate of subsistence benefit" and a "flat rate of contribution", with voluntary insurance on top for those who wanted more. Second, it was built on three assumptions it could not deliver itself: children's allowances, comprehensive health services, and "maintenance of employment, that is to say avoidance of mass unemployment" (para. 14). A universal insurance scheme cannot survive mass joblessness, so the welfare state and Keynesian demand management were built as a pair. Part 4 — The golden age, and the three worlds of welfare capitalism Thirty glorious years After 1945 the rich world had the fastest sustained growth in its history. The French call the period les Trente Glorieuses, the thirty glorious years. On the Maddison Project's estimates (in 2011 dollars), output per person grew like this: Country Growth per person per year, 1950–73 1973–2000 Japan 8.1% 2.3% Spain 5.4% 3.2% West Germany (Germany) 5.0% 2.1% Italy 5.0% 2.5% France 4.0% 1.8% Sweden 3.1% 1.7% United States 2.5% 2.0% United Kingdom 2.4% 1.9% Source: Maddison Project Database 2023, computed from GDP per capita. Germany is the unified-territory series. The framework around this growth was a mixed economy everywhere. The Bretton Woods system of 1944, which Keynes helped design, fixed exchange rates against the dollar and created the IMF. The Marshall Plan (Secretary of State George Marshall's speech of 5 June 1947, Congress's Economic Cooperation Act of March 1948) eventually sent more than $12 billion to rebuild Western Europe. Many governments owned railways, mines and utilities, and unions were strong. And social spending grew steadily: Public social spending, % of GDP 1960 1980 Japan 3.3 9.8 United States 6.2 12.9 Sweden 10.2 24.5 United Kingdom 10.5 16.9 West Germany 15.4 21.8 Source: OECD Social Expenditure Database (SOCX) and OECD historical series, via Our World in Data. Did the welfare state cause the boom, or did the boom pay for the welfare state? Economists still argue. Much of the golden-age growth came from catching up: Europe and Japan were rebuilding from war and adopting American technology, and catch-up growth is fast while it lasts. The fact that Japan, with very low social spending, grew fastest of all suggests the welfare state was not the engine. The fact that the big spenders grew fast too suggests it was not much of a brake either. The golden age settled one argument and opened another. A large welfare state turned out to be compatible with rapid growth. Whether it helped is still disputed. Three worlds By the 1980s it was clear that rich democracies had built very different welfare states, not just bigger or smaller ones. The Danish sociologist Gøsta Esping-Andersen gave the differences a framework in The Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism (1990), still one of the most cited books in the field. His key idea was decommodification: how far a welfare state lets people live decently without having to sell their labour on the market, when they are sick, old, unemployed or caring for children. He found three clusters, using the United States, Germany and Sweden as his typical cases: Liberal Conservative (corporatist) Social democratic Typical case United States Germany Sweden Core logic The market first; the state catches those who fall Insurance tied to job and status; family first Universal rights of citizenship Typical benefits Modest, often means-tested Earnings-related, through social-insurance funds Generous, universal, high-quality services Who is protected best The poorest (minimally) Workers in stable jobs and their families Everyone, including those outside work Stigma of claiming Highest Moderate Lowest The typology is a lens, not a law, and its critics have sharpened it. Feminist scholars argued it ignored unpaid care work done mostly by women at home, which is what Bismarck-style systems quietly relied on. Maurizio Ferrera and others argued that Southern Europe (Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece) forms a fourth world, with generous pensions and heavy reliance on family. Scholars of East Asia found Japan, South Korea and Taiwan hard to fit at all, since their welfare states were built to serve economic growth rather than to protect people from markets. Each world has its defenders. Supporters of the liberal model argue that it keeps taxes low, work incentives strong and help targeted at those who need it most. Supporters of the conservative model value its link between contribution and benefit, and its respect for family and for institutions run by employers and unions rather than the state. Supporters of the social-democratic model argue that universal programmes are more popular, harder to cut and less stigmatising, and that high-quality public services make a high-tax country a good place to live and work. Each of the three has prosperous, stable democracies to point to. Part 5 — Stagflation and the turn of the 1980s When the recipe stopped working The Keynesian consensus rested on an apparent trade-off: governments could choose a bit more inflation in exchange for a bit less unemployment. In the 1970s both went up together. Economists called it stagflation. The Federal Reserve's own history of the "Great Inflation" gives the outline. US inflation, around 1% a year in the early 1960s, ratcheted upwards through the decade. The Arab oil embargo of October 1973 quadrupled crude prices; the Iranian revolution of 1979 tripled them again. On World Bank figures, consumer prices in the United States rose 11.1% in 1974 and 13.5% in 1980. In Britain they rose 24.2% in 1975. Unemployment rose at the same time. Milton Friedman had predicted something like this. In work cited by the Nobel committee when it awarded him the 1976 prize, he argued that the trade-off between unemployment and inflation was "only a temporary phenomenon": push unemployment below its natural level and people come to expect inflation, so you need ever more of it to get the same effect. The 1970s looked like a demonstration. The cure, and its price The turn came from central banks first. Paul Volcker became chairman of the Fed in August 1979, with inflation above 11%. The Fed squeezed the growth of money and let interest rates soar; the effective federal funds rate averaged 19.1% in June 1981. The economy went into a deep recession from July 1981 to November 1982. Unemployment peaked at 10.8% in November 1982, the highest in the official monthly series, which starts in 1948. By the end of the recession, inflation was under 5%. Volcker's defenders say he broke inflation and laid the ground for two decades of stability. His critics point to the millions of jobs it cost, and to the debt crisis that high American rates set off in Latin America. Politics followed. Margaret Thatcher became British prime minister in 1979 and served until 1990. The UK government's own history of her premiership lists "a radical programme of privatisation and deregulation, reform of the trade unions, tax cuts and the introduction of market mechanisms into health and education", plus the Housing Act 1980, which gave council tenants the right to buy their homes. Ronald Reagan became US president in January 1981. His inaugural address contained the most quoted line of the era, usually quoted without its first four words: "In this present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem." Here is a fact that surprises people on both sides. The welfare state did not shrink. On the OECD's figures, British public social spending was 16.9% of GDP in 1980 and 17.2% in 1990. In the United States it went from 12.9% to 13.2%. The average across OECD countries rose from 14.4% to 16.5%. What changed was the rest of the mixture: state ownership of industry, the power of unions, the regulation of finance, top tax rates and the goals of economic policy, where controlling inflation replaced guaranteeing full employment. The 1980s did not dismantle the welfare state. They dismantled the other half of the post-war settlement: state-owned industry, strong unions, controlled finance and the promise of full employment. The Washington Consensus In 1989 the economist John Williamson, at what is now the Peterson Institute in Washington, summarised the policy advice that Washington's institutions (the IMF, the World Bank and the US Treasury) were giving to Latin American governments emerging from the debt crisis. He listed ten points: Fiscal discipline Redirecting public spending from subsidies to health, education and infrastructure Tax reform: broad bases, moderate rates Market-determined interest rates A competitive exchange rate Trade liberalisation Openness to foreign direct investment Privatisation Deregulation Secure property rights Williamson called this the "Washington Consensus". The name stuck, and soon came to stand for much more than he intended, including rapid opening to foreign capital, which was not on his list. In the 1990s versions of the package were applied across Latin America, Africa and the former Soviet bloc. The results were mixed enough that both sides still cite them. On the Maddison estimates, output per person in Poland, which reformed quickly from 1990, fell for a couple of years and then rose to about four times its 1990 level by 2022. In Russia, it fell by about a third between 1990 and 1996 and took until the early 2000s to regain its 1990 level. Defenders of the reforms argue that the difference lay in how consistently they were carried out and in the institutions underneath them; critics argue that rapid privatisation without those institutions handed national assets to a few insiders. By 2006 the economist Dani Rodrik could write that supporters and critics alike agreed the Consensus had not delivered what it promised, and that the real argument was about what should replace it. His own answer was humility: diagnose the particular constraint holding back each country's growth, rather than apply one list everywhere. Part 6 — "Neoliberalism": a word worth handling with care No word in this story is used more, or defined less, than neoliberalism. Anyone who reads about political economy will meet it constantly, so it is worth knowing where it came from and what different people mean by it. The word is older than most people think. In the 1930s and 1940s it was a label some liberal economists chose for themselves. They wanted to renew classical liberalism after the Depression, which they thought had discredited laissez-faire, and they argued that markets needed a strong legal framework built and defended by the state. In April 1947 a group of them, including Hayek and Friedman, met at Mont Pèlerin in Switzerland and founded the Mont Pelerin Society, whose statement of aims began: "The central values of civilization are in danger." By the 1990s the meaning had flipped. In a 2009 study, the political scientists Taylor Boas and Jordan Gans-Morse analysed 148 journal articles published between 1990 and 2004. They found three problems: the term was often left undefined, it was used unevenly across ideological divides, and it was applied to an excessively broad variety of phenomena. They traced how it had gone from a positive label coined by German liberals to a negative term associated with radical economic reforms in Pinochet's Chile. So when you meet the word, ask which of these the writer means: Meaning What it refers to A policy package Privatisation, deregulation, trade opening, independent central banks, tighter budgets: roughly the Washington Consensus A historical period Roughly 1979–2008 in the rich world, from Thatcher and Reagan to the financial crisis An intellectual movement The Mont Pelerin Society, the Chicago and Austrian schools, and the think tanks that spread their ideas A broad critique For critics such as the geographer David Harvey, a project to restore the power of wealth-holders, and a culture that turns everything into a market An insult A general word for "market policies I dislike" These are different claims, and they can be true or false separately. Someone can accept that independent central banks beat inflation and still think financial deregulation went too far. The historian Quinn Slobodian, in Globalists (2018), argued that the original neoliberals were never anti-state at all: they wanted strong international rules to protect markets from national democratic pressures. That reading is contested too. "Neoliberalism" is a real thing to argue about. But it is several real things, and an argument goes better when both sides know which one they mean. This library uses the word sparingly, and when it does, says which sense it has in mind. Part 7 — 2008 and after: the state comes back, again The crash The Great Recession in the United States ran from December 2007 to June 2009, the longest downturn since the Second World War. The Federal Reserve's history of it records how severe it was: real output fell 4.3%, home prices fell about 30%, the S&P 500 fell 57% from its peak, household net worth fell from about $69 trillion to $55 trillion, and unemployment doubled from 5% to 10%. When the investment bank Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy in September 2008, the panic went global. The response was a vast state intervention, carried out mostly by governments that believed in markets. The Fed cut its policy rate to near zero, supported the insurer AIG the day after Lehman fell, and in November 2008 began buying mortgage bonds and government debt on a large scale. Governments propped up banks and ran large deficits. Friedman's lesson from Part 2 had been learned: nobody let the money supply collapse as it had in the early 1930s. The austerity argument From 2010, with debts swollen, many European governments turned to austerity: spending cuts and tax rises to bring deficits down. Supporters argued that high debt would itself damage confidence and growth, and that Greece's crisis showed what happens when lenders lose faith. Opponents argued that cutting spending in a slump would shrink the economy and make the debt burden worse. In January 2013 the IMF's chief economist, Olivier Blanchard, and his colleague Daniel Leigh published a remarkable admission. Looking back at forecasts made in 2010–11, they found that countries planning bigger cuts had grown less than forecast, and concluded: "A natural interpretation is that fiscal multipliers were substantially higher than implicitly assumed by forecasters." In plain English, austerity had hurt growth more than the experts expected. The debate did not end there. Defenders of consolidation note that the effect weakened in later years and that some countries, such as Ireland, recovered strongly after cutting. Pandemic, inflation and industrial policy The pandemic of 2020 pushed public social spending to records: on OECD figures it hit 23.7% of GDP in the United States, 25.6% in Britain and 34.7% in France, before falling back. Inflation then returned for the first time since the 1980s: consumer prices rose 8.0% in the United States, 7.9% in Britain and 8.5% in the euro area in 2022 (World Bank). Central banks raised rates sharply, an echo of Volcker on a smaller scale. Meanwhile, rich democracies rediscovered industrial policy: the state choosing which industries to support. The US CHIPS and Science Act of 2022, for example, gave the Department of Commerce $50 billion for semiconductors, $39 billion of it for incentives to build factories in the United States. Supporters argue that security, resilient supply chains and the climate transition justify steering investment. Critics argue that governments are poor at picking winners and that subsidies flow to the industries with the best lobbyists. Whether the 2020s mark the end of the post-1979 era or just a correction within it is an open question. Part 8 — State capitalism: China, Singapore and the sovereign wealth funds The mixed economies of the West are mostly private economies with a large welfare state. A different mixture, often called state capitalism, keeps markets and private firms but gives the state a much bigger role as owner, investor and director of the economy. China: the socialist market economy Capitalism in this series told the outline of China's story, and the next piece examines it as a natural experiment. Here the question is what kind of mixture it is. From December 1978 China moved step by step from central planning towards markets: agriculture was de-collectivised, state firms were allowed to sell output above their plan quotas at market prices, the country opened to foreign investment, and entrepreneurs were allowed to start businesses. In 1992 the Communist Party adopted the official term "socialist market economy", and in 2001 China joined the World Trade Organization. The World Bank's summary of the result: since 1978, GDP growth "has averaged over 9 percent a year, lifting almost 800 million people out of extreme poverty." Yet the state never let go of the commanding heights. State-owned firms still dominate sectors such as finance and energy, and the government steers investment through five-year plans, state banks and local governments. Which part deserves the credit is one of the great live arguments in economics. In Markets over Mao (2014), Nicholas Lardy of the Peterson Institute argued that private firms were the main engine of growth and the main source of new jobs, and found little evidence that state firms had gained ground in the 2000s. In The State Strikes Back (2019), he argued that under Xi Jinping the state was reasserting itself, propping up weaker state firms at the expense of more productive private ones, and that this threatened China's growth. Others argue the reverse: that the state's role in building infrastructure, directing credit and nurturing strategic industries such as electric vehicles and batteries is exactly why China succeeded where many market-reforming countries did not. China's growth is a Rorschach test. Market economists see what markets did once the state stepped back. Developmental-state economists see what the state did when it stepped in. Singapore: the state as investor Singapore is a different kind of mixture. It is one of the most trade-dependent economies on earth: on World Bank figures its exports plus imports came to over three times its GDP in 2024, against about a quarter in the United States. Yet its state also builds much of the housing, runs a compulsory savings system and holds large stakes in major companies. The Central Provident Fund (1955) is a compulsory savings scheme: workers and employers pay into individual accounts that fund retirement, housing and health care. It is closer to forced saving than to Beveridge-style insurance. The Housing and Development Board (1960) builds public flats, which are sold to households on long leases rather than rented. Temasek (1974) holds and manages the government's stakes in companies. GIC (1981), "the brainchild of Dr Goh Keng Swee", in its own words, manages most of the government's financial assets. On the Maddison estimates, Singapore's output per person went from about $3,500 in 1960 to over $80,000 in 2022, among the highest in the world. Admirers say it shows that a lean, disciplined state that invests rather than spends can beat both the welfare state and laissez-faire. Sceptics point out that Singapore is a city-state that grew as a trade and finance hub, that its political system has been dominated by one party since independence, and that its model may not transfer to large, diverse countries. Sovereign wealth funds A sovereign wealth fund is a state-owned investment fund, usually built from commodity revenues or trade surpluses. It lets a government save windfalls for future generations and smooth spending across good and bad years, and it makes the state a large owner of private companies. The best known is Norway's Government Pension Fund Global. After oil was found off Norway in 1969, parliament decided the revenue should be used cautiously; legislation in 1990 created the fund, and the first money went in in 1996. It invests only abroad, so that oil money does not overheat the Norwegian economy. According to its manager, Norges Bank Investment Management, it owns almost 1.5% of all shares in the world's listed companies, spread across about 7,200 firms, and was worth 22,683 billion kroner at the end of June 2026. Budget surpluses flow in and deficits are covered from it. Will a state investor pursue returns, or political goals? Who controls it? In 2008 a group of funds agreed the Santiago Principles, 24 voluntary principles on governance, transparency and investing on commercial grounds, now promoted by the International Forum of Sovereign Wealth Funds. How much each fund actually discloses varies widely. The case for and against The case for state capitalism, in the words of its strongest defenders, such as the political scientist Chalmers Johnson (MITI and the Japanese Miracle, 1982), the economist Alice Amsden (Asia's Next Giant, 1989, on South Korea) and Ha-Joon Chang (Kicking Away the Ladder, 2002): almost every country that caught up with the leaders, including Britain and the United States in their own early days, used tariffs, subsidies and directed credit to build industries that markets alone would not have built in time, and a capable state can discipline firms by tying support to export success. The case against: the same tools in the hands of a weak or corrupt state produce white elephants and cronyism, and for every East Asian success there are failures elsewhere. State ownership blurs politics and business, so firms are kept alive for political reasons (the "soft budget constraint" of the next piece). And in authoritarian systems, economic power in the state adds to political power in the party. Part 9 — Social spending compared, and what the numbers can't tell you Here is how much rich and middle-income democracies spend on public social programmes (pensions, health, family benefits, unemployment, disability, housing support and the like), from the OECD's Social Expenditure Database: Country Public social spending, % of GDP Year Austria 31.6 2024 Finland 31.4 2024 France 30.6 2024 Germany 27.9 2024 Italy 27.6 2024 Sweden 26.1 2024 Japan 24.7 2022 United Kingdom 23.0 2023 OECD average 21.2 2024 United States 19.8 2024 Canada 19.3 2022 Australia 17.1 2022 Switzerland 16.0 2024 South Korea 15.3 2024 Ireland 14.4 2024 Chile 12.9 2023 Mexico 10.0 2023 Source: OECD SOCX, as published by Our World in Data (dataset updated March 2025). Recent years for some countries are OECD estimates and may be revised. Some patterns jump out. The conservative and social-democratic worlds of Part 4 cluster at the top. The liberal world (the US, Canada, Australia) sits near or below average. Countries that grew rich recently, such as South Korea, spend much less but are catching up fast: Korea spent 2.5% of GDP in 1990 and 15.3% in 2024, as its population aged. Before you use this table to win an argument, four cautions. 1. Age drives much of it. Pensions and health care are the biggest items, and both grow with the share of older people. Japan's spending rose from 3.3% of GDP in 1960 to about 25% now, mostly because it became one of the world's oldest societies, not because it adopted a new philosophy. 2. Public spending isn't all social spending. These figures count public programmes only. Countries such as the United States and Switzerland route much social protection through employers and private insurance, often encouraged by tax breaks, which this measure leaves out. A country can look "lean" on this table and still spend heavily on social protection through other channels. 3. Ireland is an odd case. Much of Ireland's GDP is profit generated there by foreign-owned multinationals that flows straight out to their owners abroad, which is why its statistics office publishes an alternative measure, "modified GNI". Divide by an inflated GDP and almost any ratio looks small. 4. Spending is not the same as results. A high number is not proof of generosity; a low number is not proof of efficiency. The share of GDP a country spends on social programmes tells you something about its choices. It tells you much less about whether those choices work. What the table does show is the central fact of this piece: every country in it is a mixed economy. The argument in rich democracies is over the mixture: how much insurance to provide, through what institutions, how much the state should own or steer, and how hard to try to tame the business cycle. Data alone won't settle it, because it also turns on how much weight to put on freedom from want, freedom from taxation, equality and self-reliance. The takeaway The mixed economy was built in layers. Bismarck's social insurance (1880s) was a conservative bargain to give workers a stake in the existing order. The Depression produced Keynes's argument that demand can stay too low for years and that the state must fill the gap, and the New Deal and Beveridge's attack on the five giants built a floor beneath citizens. The golden age showed that big welfare states could coexist with fast growth, and Esping-Andersen showed they came in different kinds. Stagflation ended the post-war settlement; the 1980s privatised industry, tamed unions and inflation and deregulated finance, but did not shrink social spending. "Neoliberalism" names several different things and should be used with care. 2008, the pandemic and the return of industrial policy brought the state back in, while China and Singapore show a different mixture again, with the state as owner and investor. Today public social spending ranges from about 10% to over 30% of GDP across the OECD, averaging about 21%. The real argument is over the mixture, not the label. Try this: pick one benefit you or your family rely on (a pension, a health service, child benefit, unemployment insurance) and trace it back. When was it created, by which government, and in answer to what crisis? Then ask which of Esping-Andersen's three worlds it belongs to: earned by contributions, given to everyone as a right, or targeted at those in need. You will find your country's welfare state is a layered history, not a single design. Sources & Further Reading Sources - Deutsche Rentenversicherung, "Historie" (history of German pension insurance): the 1883, 1884 and 1889 laws, pension at 70 after 30 years, contribution rate, 126,400 pensions in 1891, and Bismarck's motive. - Franklin D. Roosevelt Presidential Library, "Great Depression Facts": unemployment of 24.9% in 1933, inauguration date, New Deal agencies. US National Archives, "Social Security Act (1935)". - J. M. Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1936), chs. 12 and 24 (Project Gutenberg Australia text). Econlib, "John Maynard Keynes" (biography; Bretton Woods; p. 379 quotation). - W. Beveridge, Social Insurance and Allied Services, Cmd 6404 (HMSO, 1942), paras. 7–8, 14 and 17 (Internet Archive scan). US Department of State, Office of the Historian, "Marshall Plan, 1948". - Maddison Project Database 2023 (J. Bolt and J. L. van Zanden), GDP per capita in 2011 dollars; growth rates computed for this piece. - OECD Social Expenditure Database (SOCX), OECD Social Expenditure 1960–1990 and P. Lindert, Growing Public (2004), as compiled by Our World in Data, "Public social expenditure as a share of GDP" (updated March 2025). - G. Esping-Andersen, The Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism (Princeton UP, 1990). - Federal Reserve History, "The Great Inflation" and "The Great Recession"; FRED unemployment and federal funds rate series; World Bank inflation and trade series; Nobel press release for Milton Friedman (1976); UK Government, "Past Prime Ministers: Margaret Thatcher"; Reagan Library, Inaugural Address, 1981. - J. Williamson, "What Washington Means by Policy Reform" (1990), Peterson Institute; D. Rodrik, "Goodbye Washington Consensus, Hello Washington Confusion?", Journal of Economic Literature 44(4), 2006. - Mont Pelerin Society, Statement of Aims (8 April 1947); T. Boas and J. Gans-Morse, "Neoliberalism: From New Liberal Philosophy to Anti-Liberal Slogan", Studies in Comparative International Development 44, 2009. - O. Blanchard and D. Leigh, "Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers", IMF Working Paper 13/1 (2013); NIST, "CHIPS for America"; Central Statistics Office Ireland, "Modified GNI". - World Bank, "China Overview"; World Trade Organization, "China and the WTO"; N. Lardy, Markets over Mao (PIIE, 2014) and The State Strikes Back (PIIE, 2019). - GIC, "Who We Are"; Norges Bank Investment Management, "About the fund" and Half-Year Report 2026; International Forum of Sovereign Wealth Funds, "Santiago Principles". Go deeper - 📘 The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money — J. M. Keynes. Hard going in places, but chapters 12 (on expectations and "animal spirits") and 24 (on social philosophy) are short, vivid and readable on their own. Free text at Project Gutenberg Australia. - 📘 The Five Giants: A Biography of the Welfare State — Nicholas Timmins. A narrative history of Britain's welfare state from Beveridge to the present. - 📘 The Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism — Gøsta Esping-Andersen (1990). The book that gave the field its vocabulary. - 🌐 "What Washington Means by Policy Reform" — John Williamson. The original ten points, shorter and more cautious than the slogan they became. - 📘 Globalists — Quinn Slobodian (2018), and A Brief History of Neoliberalism — David Harvey (2005). Two very different histories of the "neoliberal" idea; read them together and compare. - 📘 The State Strikes Back — Nicholas Lardy (2019). A careful, data-heavy account of the argument over state and private firms in China, from an economist who thinks markets did most of the work. - 🌐 Our World in Data — Public social spending since 1880. Play with the chart to watch the welfare state grow, country by country. - 🌐 See also, in this library: Where Public Money Goes and The Great Political Traditions, in Their Own Words (Politics), Capitalism: How Markets, Prices and Private Property Organise an Economy, Socialism: The Many Kinds, From Utopians to Social Democracy, Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened and Anarchism: Order Without Rulers (this series), and next, The Great Debates: Can Economies Be Planned, and What Does the Evidence Say? The Great Debates: Can Economies Be Planned? -------------------------------------------- A hundred-year argument about prices, knowledge and power, the natural experiments that tested it, and why computers have reopened it. Follows: Capitalism: How Markets, Prices and Private Property Organise an Economy · The Mixed Economy · The Political Spectrum, Fairly Presented In this deep dive The question, and why it never went away The socialist calculation debate, round by round Try it: a toy market against a toy plan Incentives and information: what planning actually did The natural experiments, and their caveats Inequality and growth: Piketty and his critics Markets and the environment Can computers plan now? Part 1 — The question, and why it never went away Every economy has to answer three questions: what to make, how to make it, and who gets it. A market economy answers them through millions of separate decisions guided by prices; a planned economy through a central authority that sets targets, allocates materials and often fixes prices. Every real economy uses some of both: inside every large company there is planning, and around every planned economy there have been black markets. So the real argument is not whether anyone should plan. It is how much can be planned, and by whom. Can a central authority, with enough information and good intentions, do better than markets at producing what people need? Or is there something about an economy that no planner can know? The earlier pieces in this series laid the groundwork. Capitalism set out Friedrich Hayek's argument that prices carry knowledge no planner can gather; Socialism: The Many Kinds, From Utopians to Social Democracy and Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened set out the case for collective ownership and what happened when it was tried; The Mixed Economy traced how rich democracies settled on a mixture. This piece takes the arguments head-on: the theory first, then a toy model you can run, then the evidence from history, then the two big modern questions (inequality and the environment), and finally the question that computers have reopened. One warning: the evidence is mostly natural experiments, not controlled ones, and every natural experiment has confounding factors. Where the evidence points clearly, this piece says so. Where it doesn't, it says that too. Part 2 — The socialist calculation debate, round by round Round 1: Mises throws down the gauntlet (1920) In 1920 the Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises published an essay in a German social-science journal, "Die Wirtschaftsrechnung im sozialistischen Gemeinwesen", known in English as "Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth". Its argument was short and sharp. In a market economy, a factory manager deciding whether to build with steel or concrete can compare their prices. Those prices summarise how scarce each material is and what else it could be used for. In a socialist economy where the state owns all the factories, mines and land, nobody buys or sells them. So there are no market prices for the means of production, and no way to compare the costs of different ways of making something. "Where there is no free market, there is no pricing mechanism; without a pricing mechanism, there is no economic calculation." — Mises, 1920 Without calculation, Mises concluded, a socialist economy could not tell whether a project created or destroyed value. "There is only groping in the dark. Socialism is the abolition of rational economy." Mises was not the first to see the problem. In 1908 the Italian economist Enrico Barone had shown that a planning ministry could, in principle, reach the same result as a competitive market by solving a vast system of equations, but he thought solving it in practice impossible. Mises went further: the problem was not difficulty but impossibility, because without markets the data the equations need would not exist. Round 2: Lange and Lerner fight back (1936–1944) The most famous reply came from the Polish economist Oskar Lange (1904–1965), then teaching in the United States, in a two-part article "On the Economic Theory of Socialism" (Review of Economic Studies, 1936 and 1937). Lange was a committed socialist, but he used the tools of mainstream economics, and he began by thanking his opponent. Socialists, he wrote, had "good reason to be grateful to Professor Mises, the great advocatus diaboli of their cause", and he suggested that "a statue of Professor Mises ought to occupy an honorable place in the great hall of the Ministry of Socialization or of the Central Planning Board". Then he proposed what came to be called the Lange model, or market socialism: The state owns the major industries. Consumer goods and jobs are still bought and sold, so households choose freely. A Central Planning Board sets the prices of producer goods. Managers are told to follow two rules: produce at the lowest cost, and expand output until the price equals the cost of making one more unit. The board then adjusts prices by trial and error. If stocks of a good run down (a shortage), it raises the price; if they pile up (a surplus), it lowers it. This, Lange argued, is exactly what a market does, but with the board in the role of the auctioneer. The prices are real numbers that can be used for calculation, so Mises's impossibility disappears. The British economist Abba Lerner developed the same rules, and in The Economics of Control (1944) argued they could guide any economy, socialist or not. Many economists at the time thought Lange had won. Round 3: Hayek changes the question (1940–1945) Friedrich Hayek replied in "Socialist Calculation: The Competitive 'Solution'" (Economica, 1940) and, more famously, "The Use of Knowledge in Society" (1945). Capitalism in this series explains the 1945 essay. The point that matters here is how it answered Lange. Lange's model, Hayek argued, assumed the board could know the "data": what each factory could produce, at what cost, and what people wanted. But the knowledge that matters is mostly "the knowledge of the particular circumstances of time and place": a machine sitting idle, a surplus of stock in one warehouse, a skill not being used, a shortage developing somewhere. Such knowledge "by its nature cannot enter into statistics and therefore cannot be conveyed to any central authority in statistical form." It is known only to the "man on the spot", and it changes daily. Hayek also asked practical questions. How often would the board revise millions of prices? Who would check whether a manager really was producing at the lowest possible cost? What would make managers want to? And where would new products and new methods come from, if nobody could risk their own capital on an untested idea? Round 4: Kornai looks at the real thing For decades the debate was mostly theory. The Hungarian economist János Kornai changed that by studying how socialist economies actually behaved. In Economics of Shortage and later The Socialist System (1992), he argued that chronic shortages, queues and hoarding were not accidents of bad planning but built into the system. His most influential idea was the soft budget constraint: socialist firms knew that if they lost money they would be rescued with subsidies, cheap credit or forgiven debts, rather than closed. So they had little reason to control costs and every reason to demand more inputs than they needed. This cut against Lange: his board needs managers to follow its rules honestly, and Kornai found that real managers, facing soft budgets and political bosses, did not. Round 5: the theorists find a common language The debate had a remarkable second life inside economics itself. From 1960, Leonid Hurwicz began treating any economic system, market or plan, as a "mechanism": a set of rules by which people send messages (bids, reports, orders) and an outcome follows. The question becomes which mechanisms get people to reveal what they know and act on it. Hurwicz, Eric Maskin and Roger Myerson shared the 2007 Nobel prize "for having laid the foundations of mechanism design theory". Mechanism design gave both sides something. The Nobel committee noted that some results "support Friedrich Hayek's (1945) argument that markets efficiently aggregate relevant private information". But the same theory shows where markets fail, as with public goods such as clean air, where it is "in the selfish interest of each person to give false signals" (Paul Samuelson, 1954). It also shows that a planner's problem is not just computation but incentive compatibility: designing rules so that people want to tell the truth. RoundWhoThe claim 1908BaronePlanning could match the market in principle, but the equations can't be solved in practice 1920MisesWithout markets for the means of production, there are no prices, so calculation is impossible 1936–37Lange (and Lerner)A planning board can find the right prices by trial and error, like an auctioneer 1939KantorovichOptimal plans can be computed with linear programming, which produces its own "shadow prices" 1940–45HayekThe knowledge needed is local, fleeting and unstatistical; only prices set by real exchange can gather it 1980s–90sKornaiReal planned economies breed shortage, because soft budgets remove the incentive to economise 1960–2007Hurwicz, Maskin, MyersonEvery system is a mechanism; the question is which ones make it worth people's while to reveal what they know The Soviet mathematician in the table deserves a note. In 1938, while a professor at Leningrad University consulting for the laboratory of a plywood trust, Leonid Kantorovich worked out how to allocate materials between machines to get the most output, and in 1939 he published the main ideas of what is now called linear programming. His methods produce, as a by-product, prices that measure how valuable each scarce input is to the plan. He shared the 1975 Nobel prize with Tjalling Koopmans "for their contributions to the theory of optimum allocation of resources". Planning, in other words, gave the world one of the most useful tools in economics. Airlines, delivery firms and factories all use it today. Mises said planners couldn't calculate. Lange said they could copy a market. Hayek said the problem was knowledge, not arithmetic. Kornai said the problem was incentives. All four were partly right. Part 3 — Try it: a toy market against a toy plan A small simulation can show what the argument is about, and also what it leaves out. Below is a town that eats about 1,000 loaves of bread a week. Demand wobbles from week to week, and in two scenarios something big happens in week 13. You can run the same year under three systems: Free price. Bakers decide how much to bake from last week's price. The price then moves until buyers take exactly what was baked. Fixed price and quota. A planner sets the price at 5 coins and the output at 1,000 loaves a week, the right numbers for an ordinary week, and leaves them there. Planning board (Lange). The board sets a price; bakeries are told to bake where that price equals their cost of one more loaf. The board watches the queues and the unsold stock and revises the price every 1, 4 or 13 weeks. Interactive · A toy bread economy Toy model, not a forecast. One good, straight-line demand and supply, invented numbers, and a fixed random wobble so every run is repeatable. It is built to show one mechanism (how each system responds to change), not to rank real economies. What happens this year Ordinary year Demand jumps in week 13 Bad harvest, weeks 13–26 How bread is allocated Free price Fixed price and quota Planning board Planning board reviews its price every 1 week 4 weeks 13 weeks Loaves baked in the year Queued, went home empty Baked but unsold Price range (coins) Loaves per week Baked Wanted at the going price (dashed) Queue Unsold Price per loaf (coins) Touch or hover over a chart to read a week. What the toy shows Try the demand jump first. These are the results for that year, computed by the model: SystemBakedQueuedUnsoldPrice range Free price56,481004.69–8.49 Fixed price and quota52,00012,145575.00 Board, weekly review56,4381,0177624.81–7.36 Board, review every 4 weeks56,1131,7766564.91–7.22 Board, review every 13 weeks55,2394,6201,1705.00–7.15 Toy model, demand-jump scenario, 52 weeks. "Queued" counts loaves people wanted at the going price but could not get. Three things stand out. The fixed quota can't respond. When demand jumps, nobody in the system has a reason or a signal to bake more. Queues appear in 49 of the 52 weeks and add up to more than 12,000 missing loaves. This is the shortage economy Kornai described, in miniature. The free price responds, but not gently. In week 13 the price leaps from about 5 to about 8.5 coins. That high price does two jobs at once: it tells bakers to bake more, and it rations the bread that exists to the people most willing to pay. Then the market overshoots: in the bad-harvest year the price crashes to about 3.7 coins when the harvest returns, because bakers had over-expanded. Markets are not smooth. Economists call this back-and-forth the "cobweb". The Lange board does almost as well, if it is fast. With weekly reviews it bakes nearly as much as the market and keeps queues small. That is Lange's point, and in this toy it holds. With a review every 13 weeks it does much worse. The real-world question is how fast a board responsible for millions of prices could actually move. Now notice what the toy leaves out, because that is Hayek's reply. The model hands the board the true cost of baking one more loaf. In reality the board would have to ask the bakeries, and Kornai's managers had every reason to overstate their costs. The model has one product; a real economy has millions. The model's bakers never invent a better oven or a new kind of loaf. And the model's "free price" rations by willingness to pay, which means the poorest families are the ones priced out. A queue rations by time and luck instead. Which is fairer is a question of values, not of the model. Many real economies use both: market prices for most bread, plus a benefit that makes sure everyone can buy some. A toy can show that prices carry signals. It cannot show who knows the curves, who has an incentive to lie, or where tomorrow's bread comes from. That is where the real debate lives. Part 4 — Incentives and information: what planning actually did The Soviet Union ran the largest planned economy in history, from the first Five-Year Plan in 1928 until 1991. Its record is the most important evidence in this debate, and it is more mixed than either side likes to admit. The case for the planned record For four decades the USSR grew faster than the United States. On the Maddison Project's estimates (2011 dollars), Soviet output per person grew about 3.4% a year from 1928 to 1970, against about 1.8% in the US. It turned a largely peasant country into an industrial power that built the tanks and planes to defeat Nazi Germany, launched the first satellite, and achieved near-universal literacy. The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy's entry on socialism credits the Soviet model with "its successes in industrializing the country (making it capable of mobilizing in a war effort to defeat Nazi Germany)". The economic historian Robert Allen argued in Farm to Factory (2003) that without the revolution and the plans, Russia would have ended up somewhere between India and Argentina. YearUSSR output per person as % of US 192819% 195030% 197037% 197538% 198931% Source: Maddison Project Database 2023 (GDP per capita, 2011 dollars). Soviet-era figures are reconstructions and carry wide uncertainty. The case against The same table shows the problem. After about 1975 the Soviet economy stopped catching up and began falling back: from 1970 to 1989 its output per person grew about 1.3% a year, against 2.3% in the US. Planning was good at mobilising labour and capital to build steel mills and dams, the things a planner can count. It was bad at what Hayek said it would be bad at: innovation, quality, and producing the variety of consumer goods people actually wanted. The Stanford Encyclopedia puts it this way: the model "failed to generate sufficient technical innovation and intensive growth to deliver differentiated consumer goods of the kind available within advanced capitalist economies." The costs of the fast early growth were also enormous. Allen himself called collectivisation a disaster that "did perversely accelerate industrialization by driving people off the land", and reviewers of his book have argued that his consumption estimates are too rosy. The famines, the labour camps and the repression are covered in Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened in this series. A defender of planning can fairly reply that these were political crimes, not features of planning as such. A critic can fairly reply that concentrating all economic power in the state is exactly what made them possible. What went wrong, from the inside Accounts from inside planned economies describe the same problems, and they map onto the theory: Information was distorted. Factories reported what helped them meet their targets. As the Stanford Encyclopedia notes, firms "might tend to exaggerate the resources they need to produce and mislead about how much they can produce." Targets were gamed. A target in tonnes encourages heavy products; a target in units encourages small ones. Whatever the planner measured, managers optimised. Budgets were soft. Loss-making firms were rescued, so there was little pressure to cut waste (Kornai). The scale was crushing. The economist Alec Nove, a sympathetic critic, noted that the Soviet economy produced some 12 million distinct products, far more than any planning office could track item by item. Even sympathetic socialist philosophers draw a hard conclusion. The Stanford Encyclopedia quotes the economist Giacomo Corneo: "a system that only works with exceptional individuals only works in exceptional cases." That is why many modern socialists favour market socialism, worker cooperatives or democratic participatory planning instead of the Soviet model. Socialism: The Many Kinds, From Utopians to Social Democracy in this series sets out those alternatives in their own terms. Part 5 — The natural experiments, and their caveats History ran three experiments that look almost designed for this debate: a country split in two with one half planned and the other not. Here is what each shows, and why none is as clean as it looks. East and West Germany Same language, same culture, same industrial traditions, split in 1949 into a Soviet-style planned economy in the East and a market economy with a strong welfare state, the "social market economy", in the West. When the two were reunited in 1990, the gap was enormous. In 1991, the first year for which unified regional statistics exist, output per person in the eastern states (excluding Berlin) was about 33% of the western level, according to Germany's federal and state statistical offices. By 2024, after more than three decades of transfers and investment, it had risen to about 72%. The caveats. The East started with real handicaps that had nothing to do with planning. The Soviet Union took reparations, including dismantled factories. Division itself cut eastern firms off from their traditional suppliers and markets in the West; the economic historians Albrecht Ritschl and Tamás Vonyó found that the West pulled ahead in industrial productivity even before its 1948 market reforms, mainly because division distorted the East's industrial structure. And the West received Marshall Plan aid while the East did not. On the other side of the ledger, the people voted with their feet: by August 1961, according to the Berlin Wall Foundation, East Germany had lost a sixth of its population, at least four million people, to the West. The Wall was built to stop them. North and South Korea Korea was split in 1945, and after the Korean War of 1950–53 the North became one of the most centrally planned economies on earth while the South became a market economy. The North actually started ahead. Under Japanese colonial rule, industry was concentrated in the north: on the Maddison Project's estimates, output per person in 1938 was about $2,560 in the territory that became North Korea against about $1,940 in the South (2011 dollars). YearSouth KoreaNorth KoreaRatio 1938$1,935$2,5570.8× 1990$13,874$2,4565.6× 2022$41,321$1,56926× GDP per person, 2011 dollars. Source: Maddison Project Database 2023, using estimates from Cha et al., Historical Statistics of Korea (2020). North Korean figures are rough estimates. The caveats. North Korean data are close to guesswork. An older version of the Maddison data simply set the North equal to the South in 1950 and held the North's figure flat from 1975 to 1990 for lack of information. The North lost its main source of aid and subsidised trade when the Soviet Union collapsed, and suffered a famine in the 1990s: life expectancy there fell from 70.5 years in 1990 to 60.9 in 2000 on UN estimates. The North is also a hereditary dictatorship that spends heavily on its military. And the South was not a laissez-faire economy either. For much of its fast-growth period it was ruled by authoritarian governments whose state steered credit and industry; the economist Alice Amsden's Asia's Next Giant: South Korea and Late Industrialization (1989) is the classic account of that state-led development. So Korea compares totalitarian central planning with state-guided capitalism, not pure plan against pure market. China before and after 1978 China is the experiment in time rather than space: the same country under two systems. Measure195019782022–23 Output per person (2011 dollars)$799$1,744$19,238 Growth per person per year1950–78: 2.8%1978–2022: 5.6% Life expectancy at birth (years)43.863.178.0 Output: Maddison Project Database 2023, which uses Harry Wu's revised estimates for 1952–2008 (lower than official figures). Life expectancy: UN World Population Prospects via Our World in Data. After market reforms began in 1978, output per person grew roughly twice as fast as under the plan, and the World Bank credits the reform era with lifting almost 800 million people out of extreme poverty. Before 1978, the Great Leap Forward of 1958–62 produced the deadliest famine in recorded history: the World Peace Foundation's estimate used by Our World in Data is 36 million deaths, and scholarly estimates range from about 15 million to over 45 million. Life expectancy in 1960 was 33.4 years. The caveats. The planned era is not only a story of failure. Between 1950 and 1978, Chinese life expectancy rose from about 44 to about 63 years, far faster than in India, where it went from about 41 to 52 over the same period. Literacy and basic health care spread widely in those decades, and some economists argue that this healthy, literate workforce is part of why the reforms worked so well. After 1978 China was also not a free market: the state kept the banks, the commanding heights of industry and the power to direct investment, as The Mixed Economy describes. So China, too, shows a move from heavy planning to a mixture, not to laissez-faire. The natural experiments agree on one thing: comprehensive central planning lost badly to economies where most prices were free. They don't settle how much state there should be in a market economy, because the winners all had plenty. Part 6 — Inequality and growth: Piketty and his critics If the calculation debate was the twentieth century's big argument, inequality is the twenty-first's. Markets won the efficiency contest; the question now is who gets the gains. From Kuznets to Piketty For a long time the standard view came from Simon Kuznets, who won the 1971 Nobel prize for his studies of growth. He suggested in the 1950s that inequality rises in the early stages of industrialisation and then falls as countries grow rich: an inverted U, the "Kuznets curve". The falling inequality of the mid-twentieth century seemed to confirm it. Then inequality rose again. In Capital in the Twenty-First Century (French 2013, English 2014), Thomas Piketty, working with long series of tax records, argued that the mid-century fall was an exception caused by wars, depression and high taxes, not a law of development. His central mechanism is the inequality r > g: when the rate of return on capital (r) exceeds the growth rate of the economy (g), wealth that is already accumulated grows faster than incomes from work, and inherited fortunes become ever more important. The data his team assembled, now in the World Inequality Database, show the rise vividly: Share of pre-tax income going to the top 1%1980Latest United States10.4%20.7% (2023) France7.5%12.1% (2022) Sweden7.2%9.7% (2022) China6.6%14.0% (2015) Russia4.1%21.6% (2000) Source: World Inequality Database (2026 release), via Our World in Data. Income before taxes and transfers. The critics Piketty's data work is widely admired, and his theory widely disputed. Three lines of criticism matter most. Housing. Matthew Rognlie, in the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (2015), found that the long-run rise in capital's share of income comes mostly from housing. That points to planning rules and land supply more than to a general law of capitalism. Institutions. Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson, in the Journal of Economic Perspectives (2015), argued that "general laws" of capitalism ignore politics and technology, and found that the gap between r and g does not explain historical movements in top income shares. Piketty himself, in a 2015 reply, clarified that he saw r > g as central to wealth inequality, while the rise in top labour incomes, such as executive pay, needs other explanations. Measurement. The sharpest fight is over the American numbers. Gerald Auten and David Splinter, in the Journal of Political Economy (2024), argue that top income shares estimated from tax returns are biased by changes in tax law and by income that never appears on returns. Correcting for these, they find top shares lower and rising less since 1980, and once taxes and government transfers are counted, "little change in aftertax top income shares." Piketty, Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman dispute their method; as of September 2026 the two sides were still exchanging replies. This is a live argument among careful scholars, and readers should be wary of anyone who treats either set of numbers as settled. Does inequality help or hurt growth? Here the old view was clear. In Equality and Efficiency: The Big Tradeoff (1975), Arthur Okun argued that redistribution has a cost: money moved from rich to poor is carried in a "leaky bucket", losing some to administration and weaker incentives along the way. Societies must choose how much leakage to accept for how much equality. In 2014 an IMF team led by Jonathan Ostry tested this across countries and found that lower inequality after taxes and transfers goes with faster and more durable growth, and "not a lot of evidence that redistribution has in fact undercut economic growth (except in extreme cases)." Sceptics reply that cross-country regressions cannot prove cause and effect, that the "extreme cases" exception matters, and that the countries doing the redistributing were already rich and well-governed. The defensible summary is that moderate redistribution in rich democracies does not seem to cost much growth, while the effects of very high taxes or very low ones remain argued over. Part 7 — Markets and the environment Capitalism in this series explains why pollution is a classic market failure: a price tells you what something costs the buyer and seller, not what it costs the neighbours or the future. Arthur Pigou proposed taxing the damage; Ronald Coase proposed clear property rights and bargaining. The question here is what the evidence says about which system protects the environment better. The planned record Planned economies did not escape the problem; arguably they had it worse, because the polluter and the regulator were the same state. The starkest example is the Aral Sea, once among the largest lakes in the world. From the 1960s Soviet planners diverted its two feeder rivers, the Amu Darya and the Syr Darya, to grow cotton in the desert. NASA's satellite record shows what followed: by 2000 the sea was already "a fraction of its 1960 extent", split into separate lobes, and in 2014 the eastern lobe of the southern sea disappeared completely. Market economies have their own disasters, but their pollution could at least be exposed by a free press, challenged in court and voted on. Markets as a tool The most interesting development is that environmental policy now often uses markets on purpose. A government sets a cap on total pollution, issues permits, and lets firms trade them, so the cuts happen wherever they are cheapest. The US Acid Rain Program, created under the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990, was the country's first national cap-and-trade scheme. Its final cap on power-station sulphur dioxide, from 2010, was 8.95 million tons a year, about half of the sector's 1980 emissions. The EU Emissions Trading System, launched in 2005 as the world's first carbon market, covers about 40% of the EU's greenhouse-gas emissions. The European Commission reports that by 2023 it had helped cut emissions from power and industry by about 47% compared with 2005. According to the World Bank's 2026 State and Trends of Carbon Pricing, nearly 30% of global greenhouse-gas emissions are now covered by a direct carbon price, across 87 policies. Notice that these are hybrids: the state sets the quantity (the cap), and the market sets the price. That is neither Hayek's spontaneous order nor Lange's planning board, but something that borrows from both. The commons A third answer comes from Elinor Ostrom, who won the 2009 Nobel prize "for her analysis of economic governance, especially the commons", the first woman to win it. Studying fisheries, forests and irrigation systems around the world, she found that communities often manage shared resources well for centuries without either privatising them or handing them to the state, using rules they make and enforce themselves. Her work is a reminder that "market or state" leaves out a large part of how humans actually cooperate. The open question Climate change is the hardest case, because the damage is global and long-term. The UK's Stern Review (2006) concluded that "the benefits of strong and early action far outweigh the economic costs of not acting." Economists broadly agree a carbon price helps; they disagree on how high, how fast, and whether governments should also plan the transition directly, with subsidies and rules. That brings the calculation debate back to life: can a state pick the technologies of the future better than a carbon price and a market can? The answer may differ by technology. Part 8 — Can computers plan now? Hayek's arguments were written in an age of index cards and slide rules. Ever since the first computers, people have asked whether machines could do what the planning ministries could not. The history is more interesting than either side usually admits. The Soviet network that never was In 1962 the Soviet cybernetician Viktor Glushkov proposed OGAS, a nationwide computer network that would link factories to regional centres and a central computer in Moscow and run the plan in close to real time. As the historian Benjamin Peters tells it in How Not to Network a Nation (2016), the project was never funded at scale. It foundered not on technology but on bureaucratic politics, as ministries resisted sharing information and control: information is power, and organisations guard it. Cybersyn: the socialist internet The most famous experiment happened in Chile. In 1971 Fernando Flores, an official in Salvador Allende's socialist government, contacted the British management cybernetician Stafford Beer for help managing the newly nationalised industries. The result, Project Cybersyn (1971–73), linked factories to Santiago by telex machines. The Guardian's account reports that some 500 telexes were found unused in a warehouse; other sources suggest fewer were ever in use. Factories sent daily production figures, software flagged problems, and a futuristic operations room was designed for managers to see the whole picture. Cybersyn's finest hour came in October 1972, when a strike by conservative business owners, with secret support from the CIA according to the Guardian's account, threatened food and fuel supplies. The telex network helped the government find where shortages were worst and route the trucks it still had. Less glamorously, a researcher interviewed by the Guardian in 2003 reported that, according to people she had spoken to, getting the factories to send their statistics was "like pulling teeth". The historian Eden Medina's book Cybernetic Revolutionaries (2011) is now the standard account. After the military coup of 11 September 1973, the network was dismantled. Cybersyn is a Rorschach test. To its admirers it shows that real-time economic coordination by computer was possible fifty years ago. To its sceptics it shows a small system that helped in an emergency, covered a fraction of the economy, depended on factories honestly reporting their numbers, and never had to decide what to produce, only to track what was being produced. The modern case for computer planning In Towards a New Socialism (1993), the computer scientist Paul Cockshott and the economist Allin Cottrell took the computation objection head-on. Nove had said the Soviet economy had some 12 million products, and quoted an estimate that balancing a full plan for Ukraine would take the world's population ten million years. Cockshott and Cottrell replied that this assumed the wrong algorithm. Solving a full table of 12 million equations by the textbook method is indeed hopeless. But each product uses only a few dozen or hundred inputs, so the table is mostly empty, and methods that exploit that scale roughly in proportion to the number of products. Even on early-1990s workstations, they estimated, a plan for 10 million products could be balanced in under two weeks. Computers are now many thousands of times faster. In The People's Republic of Walmart (2019), Leigh Phillips and Michał Rozworski added a sharper point: giant firms such as Walmart and Amazon already plan enormous internal economies without using prices inside the firm. The idea goes back to Ronald Coase, who won the 1991 Nobel prize partly for explaining why firms exist at all: sometimes it is cheaper to coordinate by command than by market transactions. If Walmart can plan the supply of millions of products, the argument goes, why not an economy? The replies Defenders of Hayek have answers, and they go to the heart of what he meant. The problem was never arithmetic. Hayek's point was that the relevant knowledge "cannot enter into statistics". A computer can only process the data it is given, and the data come from people with their own interests. The economist Don Lavoie, in Rivalry and Central Planning (1985), argued that much of the knowledge markets use is tacit and is created by competition, as rival firms try things, so there is nothing for a planner to collect in advance. Walmart plans inside a market. Walmart's planners use the prices of the world outside the firm, for wages, freight, land and the goods it buys, and they face competitors and customers who can walk away. Remove the market around it and the internal plan loses its yardstick. Incentives remain. Even a perfect algorithm needs honest inputs. Mechanism design shows how hard it is to get people to report truthfully when the report determines what they get, which is Kornai's soft-budget problem again. What to make, not just how much. Planning can balance quantities of known products. The hardest thing an economy does is decide which new products should exist at all. The planners answer that many prices are already set by algorithms, and that democratic planning would let people state their needs directly rather than through purchases weighted by wealth. The critics reply that the data platforms gather work only because they sit inside a market. Computers solved Lange's problem, the arithmetic. Whether they can solve Hayek's problem, the knowledge, and Kornai's, the incentives, is the open question of this century's version of the debate. Where the debate stands Settled, or close to it: comprehensive central planning of a whole economy, with prices fixed by authority, performed far worse than market economies in every natural experiment we have, especially on innovation and consumer welfare; prices carry information that no planner has yet been able to replace; and planning methods such as linear programming work very well inside organisations. Still open: how much the state should own or steer in a market economy; how much redistribution costs in growth, if anything; whether inequality is driven by a law of capital or by politics and housing; how far carbon markets alone can handle climate change; and whether new computing and data change Hayek's knowledge problem or only the arithmetic. On these, well-informed people disagree, and the evidence is still coming in. The takeaway The socialist calculation debate began with Mises (1920): without markets for the means of production there are no prices, so no rational calculation. Lange (1936–37) answered that a planning board could find prices by trial and error; Hayek (1940–45) replied that the knowledge needed is local, changing and unstatistical; Kornai showed real planned economies bred shortage through soft budgets; mechanism design reframed the whole thing as a question of incentives. The natural experiments (East and West Germany, North and South Korea, China before and after 1978) all show comprehensive planning losing badly, with real caveats about wars, aid and dictatorship, and with winners that were mixed economies, not pure markets. Inequality has risen since 1980, but its causes and size are disputed. Markets have become tools of environmental policy through cap-and-trade. Computers have solved the arithmetic of planning; whether they solve the knowledge and incentive problems is the open question. Try this: in the simulator, choose "Demand jumps", then compare the planning board reviewing every week with every 13 weeks. Then think of one thing in your life that is allocated by a queue or a waiting list instead of a price (a doctor's appointment, a school place, a concert ticket) and ask: what would change if it had a free price, who would gain, and who would lose? Sources & Further Reading Sources. L. von Mises, "Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth" (1920), Mises Institute edition, introduction by J. Kochanowicz (also for Barone, Lange's quotations and Hayek's 1940 Economica reply). O. Lange, "On the Economic Theory of Socialism", Review of Economic Studies 4(1)–4(2), 1936–37; Econlib biographies of Lange and Hayek. F. A. Hayek, "The Use of Knowledge in Society", American Economic Review 35(4), 1945. A. Lerner, The Economics of Control (1944). Nobel Prize pages for 1971, 1974, 1975 (incl. Kantorovich's autobiography), 1991, 2007 and 2009, and the list of women laureates. J. Kornai, "The Soft Budget Constraint", Kyklos 39(1), 1986; Kornai, Maskin and Roland, Journal of Economic Literature 41(4), 2003. Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, "Socialism", §4. Maddison Project Database 2023 and Maddison 2010 database (GDP per capita; growth rates computed for this piece). EH.net review of R. Allen, Farm to Factory. Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder, regional accounts table 3.3 (GDP per inhabitant, 1991–2025). A. Ritschl and T. Vonyó, European Review of Economic History 18(2), 2014. Berlin Wall Foundation, "The Berlin Wall". Our World in Data: life expectancy (UN WPP), famines (World Peace Foundation), top 1% income share (World Inequality Database). World Bank, "China Overview". Harvard University Press, Capital in the Twenty-First Century; T. Piketty, AER 105(5), 2015; M. Rognlie, Brookings Papers, Spring 2015; D. Acemoglu and J. Robinson, JEP 29(1), 2015; G. Auten and D. Splinter, JPE 132(7), 2024, and their 2026 reply (davidsplinter.com). A. Okun, Equality and Efficiency (Brookings, 1975); J. Ostry, A. Berg and C. Tsangarides, IMF Staff Discussion Note 14/02 (2014). NASA Earth Observatory, "World of Change: Shrinking Aral Sea"; US EPA, "Acid Rain Program"; European Commission, "About the EU ETS"; World Bank, State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2026; LSE Grantham Institute on the Stern Review. A. Beckett, "Santiago dreaming", The Guardian, 8 September 2003; E. Medina, Cybernetic Revolutionaries (2011); B. Peters, How Not to Network a Nation (2016); W. P. Cockshott and A. Cottrell, Towards a New Socialism (1993), ch. 3 and 6 (including their quotation of Nove); L. Phillips and M. Rozworski, The People's Republic of Walmart (2019); D. Lavoie, Rivalry and Central Planning (1985). The simulator is a toy: linear demand (1,500 − 100 × price, plus a seasonal and a fixed pseudo-random wobble) and supply (700 + 60 × price, lagged one week); all results quoted in the text were computed by running the same code in Node. 🌐 Ludwig von Mises — Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth. The short essay that started it all; the Mises Institute edition's introduction also tells Lange's side. 🌐 F. A. Hayek — The Use of Knowledge in Society. Twelve pages; read the passages on "the man on the spot" with Lange's model in mind. 📘 The Socialist System — János Kornai (1992). The best book on how planned economies actually worked, by an economist who lived inside one. 🌐 Cockshott & Cottrell — Towards a New Socialism (free PDF). The strongest modern case that computers make planning feasible; chapters 3 and 6 contain the complexity argument. 📘 Cybernetic Revolutionaries — Eden Medina (2011). The definitive, even-handed history of Cybersyn. 📘 Capital in the Twenty-First Century — Thomas Piketty (2014). Long but readable; pair it with the Acemoglu–Robinson and Rognlie critiques. 🌐 Nobel Prize — Mechanism design, popular information. A clear explanation of how economists now compare markets and plans as "mechanisms". 🌐 See also, in this library: Capitalism, Socialism: The Many Kinds, From Utopians to Social Democracy, Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened, Anarchism: Order Without Rulers and The Mixed Economy (this series); The Great Political Traditions, in Their Own Words (Politics 15).