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A Brief History of China: The Mandate, the Fall, and the Return

How the world's oldest continuous state rose, ruled a third of the world economy, broke apart, starved, and then lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty, and why Beijing and its critics tell that story so differently.

51 min readLong read

Follows: China: A Condensed History of Dynasties, Revolution, and Return

Some time around 1250 BCE, a priest at the court of a king named Wu Ding took the flat shoulder blade of an ox, drilled small hollows into its back, and pressed a hot point against it until the bone cracked. The king read the cracks. Would the harvest be good? Would his consort's childbirth go well? Would the enemy attack from the west? Then someone carved the question, and sometimes the answer, into the bone.

Three thousand years later, in 1899, bones like that were being ground up and sold in Chinese pharmacies as "dragon bones", a medicine. Scholars noticed the scratches on them were writing. When the bones were traced to their source near the city of Anyang, they turned out to be the archive of a royal court, written in a script that is the direct ancestor of the characters a schoolchild in Shanghai learns today.

That is the first thing to understand about China: the continuity is real. The second is that the continuity has been broken, violently and repeatedly, and that the most recent breaks happened within living memory. A woman born in Sichuan in 1950 could have lived through land reform, a famine that killed tens of millions, a decade of political terror, the end of collective farming, the rise of the world's largest factory economy, a city of skyscrapers where her village's rice fields had been, and a granddaughter who has never known hunger and may never have children.

The condensed piece in this library gives the outline. This is the full version, from millet farmers to the Communist Party plenum of October 2026. One warning before we start: on some of the most important questions, the People's Republic of China's official history and the account of its critics, scholars and victims differ sharply. Where they do, this piece says so, gives each side's case, and states the evidence and who produced it.

In this history

  1. Before the empire: farmers, bronze and Heaven (to 771 BCE)
  2. Philosophers and the first empires (771 BCE–220 CE)
  3. Division, the Tang and the Song (220–1279)
  4. The Mongols and the Ming (1271–1644)
  5. The Qing: from high empire to the "century of humiliation" (1644–1911)
  6. Republic, warlords and war (1911–1949)
  7. Mao's China (1949–1976)
  8. Reform, Tiananmen and the great boom (1976–2012)
  9. Xi Jinping's China (2012–2026)
  10. The contested edges: Xinjiang, Tibet, Hong Kong and Taiwan (1950–2026)
  11. How to understand China today

Part 1 — Before the empire: farmers, bronze and Heaven (to 771 BCE)

The first farmers

There was no "China" when people started farming along its great rivers, and the word is anachronistic for most of this part. But the landscape already shaped what came later. Two river systems define the country's heartland. In the north, the Yellow River cuts through soft, wind-blown loess soil that is easy to dig and fertile, but floods catastrophically. In the south, the Yangtze runs through warm, wet country suited to rice. Between and around them lie mountains, deserts, steppe and the high Tibetan plateau, which for thousands of years made the region a world of its own.

The oldest pots and the first fields

Some of the oldest pottery found anywhere comes from Xianrendong cave in Jiangxi, in the south, dated to around 20,000 years ago, long before farming. People here were cooking in clay while they were still hunting and gathering.

Farming came later and in two places at once. In the north, people domesticated millet, a hardy grain that grows on dry loess. In the Yangtze valley, they domesticated rice. Archaeologists can name a long sequence of cultures, each identified by its pottery, houses and graves. The dates below are approximate, and different sources give different ranges.

Culture Roughly when Where What it's known for
Xianrendong c. 18,000–7000 BCE Jiangxi (south) Some of the world's oldest pottery
Peiligang c. 7000–5000 BCE Middle Yellow River Early millet farming villages
Yangshao c. 5000–3000 BCE Yellow River Painted pottery, large villages
Hemudu c. 5000–4500 BCE Lower Yangtze Rice farming, wooden houses on stilts
Liangzhu c. 3400–2250 BCE Lower Yangtze Walled city, waterworks, finely carved jade
Longshan c. 3000–2000 BCE Yellow River Black pottery, walled towns, rising inequality
Erlitou c. 1900–1500 BCE Near Luoyang Palaces, bronze vessels: an early state

The Xia question

Traditional Chinese history begins with a dynasty called the Xia, founded by Yu the Great, a hero who tamed the floods. Later historians gave it dates and a list of kings. For a long time scholars outside China treated it as legend.

Then, from 1959, archaeologists excavated Erlitou, a large site near Luoyang with palace foundations and some of the earliest bronze ritual vessels in the region. Many Chinese historians identify Erlitou with the Xia. Others are cautious: no writing has been found there that names it, and some argue the Xia may have been a later story, perhaps a myth the Shang told about a rival people. This is still an open question, and an emotionally charged one, because a confirmed Xia would push documented Chinese statehood back several centuries.

The first verifiable Chinese state is the Shang, because the Shang wrote things down. Everything before it is archaeology without names.

How people lived

Life in a Neolithic village on the Yellow River was hard and local. Families lived in half-sunken houses of earth and timber, kept pigs and dogs, grew millet, and buried their dead with pots of food. Over two or three thousand years, graves became more unequal: a few people were buried with jade, fine pottery and sometimes sacrificed humans, most with almost nothing. That gap between a ruling few and a farming many, legitimised by ritual, is the seed of every later Chinese state.

The Shang

The Shang ruled the middle and lower Yellow River from roughly 1600 BCE until 1046 BCE. Those dates come from China's Xia–Shang–Zhou Chronology Project, a state-funded research effort; a Han-dynasty scholar had calculated 1766–1122 BCE, and modern proposals for the end date alone vary by more than a century.

Their last capital, called Yin, lies at Yinxu near modern Anyang. Excavations there since the 1920s have found royal tombs, palace foundations and the remains of people and animals killed in state rituals. They have also found the bones.

The oracle bones

The "dragon bones" noticed in 1899 were traced to Yinxu in 1928. Excavations in the 1920s and 1930s recovered more than 20,000 inscribed pieces, and several times that number have turned up since. They are divination records, carved on turtle shells and ox shoulder blades, and the earliest date from the reign of Wu Ding, around 1250 BCE.

They let us see the Shang court from the inside: kings asking their ancestors about rain, war, tooth-aches, hunting and harvests; sacrifices of cattle and of prisoners; and a constant anxiety about displeasing the spirits. They also introduce a remarkable person. Fu Hao, a consort of Wu Ding, appears in around 170–180 inscriptions, leading armies as well as conducting rituals. Her tomb, found undisturbed in 1976, held more than 200 bronze ritual vessels.

Shang bronzes are among the great achievements of the ancient world: massive cauldrons and wine vessels cast in sectional clay moulds, covered with masks of staring, abstract animals. They were not tools. They were how the elite fed its ancestors.

The Zhou and the Mandate of Heaven

Around 1046 BCE a people from the Wei River valley to the west, the Zhou, defeated the last Shang king at the Battle of Muye. They faced a problem every conqueror faces: why should anyone obey us?

Their answer became the most durable political idea in Chinese history. Heaven (tian), they said, grants the right to rule to a virtuous house, and withdraws it when that house becomes cruel or incompetent. The Shang had lost the Mandate of Heaven through their misrule; the Zhou had received it. The idea is associated above all with the Duke of Zhou, who served as regent for his young nephew, put down a rebellion, and is remembered in Confucian tradition as the model of a selfless minister.

The Mandate of Heaven was a theory of legitimacy with a built-in escape clause: a ruler who loses it may be overthrown, and success is the proof that he had lost it.

The idea cut two ways. It told rulers that power came with duties. It also meant any successful rebel could claim Heaven had changed its mind, which is why later Chinese history is punctuated by peasant risings that founded dynasties.

Fiefs and decline

The Zhou governed through a system later called fengjian: relatives and allies received hereditary territories in return for loyalty and military service. It worked while the centre was strong. Over generations the local lords grew stronger and the bonds of kinship thinner. In 771 BCE nomadic Quanrong warriors, allied with a disaffected noble, sacked the Zhou capital at Haojing and killed King You. The court moved east to Luoyang. The Zhou kings survived as ritual figureheads for five more centuries, but real power had passed to the states.

Period Dates (BCE) In brief
Shang c. 1600–1046 Bronze, oracle bones, ancestor sacrifice
Western Zhou c. 1046–771 Mandate of Heaven; fiefs held by royal kin
Eastern Zhou: Spring and Autumn 770–476 Zhou kings nominal; dozens of states compete
Eastern Zhou: Warring States 475–221 Seven great states fight to the finish

Part 2 — Philosophers and the first empires (771 BCE–220 CE)

The age of the philosophers

The centuries after 771 BCE were violent and creative at once. Dozens of states shrank, through conquest, to seven: Qin, Chu, Qi, Yan, Han, Zhao and Wei. Armies grew from aristocratic chariot bands to mass infantry of conscripted peasants. Iron tools spread. States built walls, canals and bureaucracies. And rulers, desperate for an edge, listened to anyone who claimed to know how to govern well. Later Chinese writers called the result the "Hundred Schools of Thought".

Confucius

Kong Qiu, known in the West by the Latinised name Confucius, was born around 551 BCE in the small state of Lu, in modern Shandong, and died around 479 BCE. He came from the minor gentry, held office for a time (by tradition rising to Minister of Crime), failed to curb the great families who really ran Lu, and spent years travelling from court to court without finding a ruler who would put his ideas into practice. He returned home in his late sixties to teach.

His sayings were collected by his disciples long after his death as the Analects. Their core is simple to state and hard to live: society is held together not by force but by people fulfilling their roles with sincerity and ritual propriety, from father and son to ruler and subject; the gentleman (junzi) cultivates himself through learning and example; and the ruler governs best by virtue.

"Lead them by laws and keep them in line with punishments, and the people will avoid trouble but have no sense of shame. Lead them by virtue and keep them in line with ritual, and they will have a sense of shame and set themselves right." — Confucius, Analects 2.3 (paraphrased from Legge)

And the line most often quoted, his summary of a whole ethic in one sentence: "What you do not want done to yourself, do not do to others" (Analects 15.24).

The rivals

Confucius was one voice among many. A few of the others:

School Key figures The big idea
Confucians Confucius, Mencius, Xunzi Moral cultivation, ritual and family duty make a good society; Mencius held human nature is good, Xunzi that it must be shaped
Mohists Mozi Impartial care for all, against aggressive war and lavish ritual; a school of practical engineers of defence
Daoists Laozi, Zhuangzi Stop forcing things; follow the Way (dao) of nature through effortless action (wu wei)
Legalists Shang Yang, Han Feizi, Li Si People respond to reward and punishment; clear laws, harsh penalties and a strong state

(This library's Laozi: The Way of the Dao and the Art of Wu Wei covers the Daoist strand in depth.)

Qin's terrible efficiency

The Legalists won the war. In the western state of Qin, the minister Shang Yang carried out reforms between 359 and 338 BCE that turned it into a machine: land and ranks given for military merit, households grouped into units responsible for each other's crimes, the old nobility stripped of privilege. Qin's armies ground down the other six states one by one. In 256 BCE Qin extinguished what was left of the Zhou royal house. By 221 BCE it had conquered everyone.

The lesson later Chinese thinkers drew from the Warring States was not that Legalism was right. It was that disunity was a catastrophe. "All under Heaven" (tianxia) ought to be one. That conviction outlived every dynasty and is alive in Beijing's politics today.

The First Emperor

The king of Qin, Ying Zheng, was born in 259 BCE. In 221 BCE, having conquered the last of his rivals, he took a new title that combined words for divine and legendary rulers: Shi Huangdi, the First Emperor. He meant his heirs to rule for ten thousand generations.

With his chancellor Li Si he standardised the empire with a thoroughness that still shapes China. One script (the "small seal" style) replaced regional variants, which is a large part of why Chinese speakers of mutually unintelligible dialects can read the same texts. One coinage, one set of weights and measures, even one standard axle width so carts could run in the same ruts. The old states were abolished and replaced by commanderies run by appointed officials, not hereditary lords. Existing northern walls were joined into a long defensive line, the ancestor of the Great Wall.

The Han historians who came after him remembered him as a tyrant: in 213 BCE, they wrote, he burned books of history and philosophy, and in 212 BCE he had hundreds of scholars killed. The earliest account is in Sima Qian's Shiji, written about a century later by a historian serving the dynasty that replaced Qin, and some modern scholars think it is exaggerated. In 1974, near Xi'an, the most famous product of his reign was discovered: the Terracotta Army, thousands of life-size clay soldiers built to guard his tomb.

He died in 210 BCE. Revolts broke out almost at once. In 206 BCE rebels destroyed the Qin capital. The first empire had lasted fifteen years.

The Han

Out of the civil war came a commoner, Liu Bang, who became emperor in 202 BCE. The dynasty he founded, the Han, lasted with one interruption for four centuries, and the majority of Chinese people still call themselves the Han people (Han ren) and their characters "Han characters" (hanzi).

The Han kept Qin's centralised structure but softened its ideology. Under Emperor Wu (reigned 141–87 BCE) Confucian learning became the official philosophy of the state and the basis for recruiting officials, a marriage of Confucian ethics and Legalist administration that lasted, in one form or another, until 1912.

Emperor Wu was also an expansionist. He fought the Xiongnu, a steppe confederation to the north, and sent the envoy Zhang Qian west on journeys between 139 and 125 BCE that opened contacts with Central Asia, the beginning of the trade networks later called the Silk Roads (this library's The Silk Roads: The World's First Internet Ran on Camels follows them). To pay for war, the state took over the salt and iron industries in 117 BCE, provoking a famous court debate about whether government should run businesses at all, a debate China is still having.

The Han in numbers
Western Han 202 BCE–9 CE
Wang Mang's Xin dynasty (usurpation) 9–23 CE
Eastern Han 25–220 CE
Census of 2 CE 57,671,400 people in 12,366,470 households
Rough comparison The Roman Empire at its height is usually estimated at a similar order of size

The census of 2 CE is the first surviving nationwide count of its kind anywhere. It shows the Chinese state's defining ambition: to know, register and tax every household.

How people lived

For most Han subjects, life meant a family farm, taxes in grain and coin, labour on state projects, and military service. The great families who accumulated land at the expense of indebted farmers were a constant problem for the court, which repeatedly tried, and failed, to limit them. Paper, invented in the Han era, spread slowly; Buddhism arrived from Central Asia along the trade routes in the later Han.

The Eastern Han declined amid court intrigue between eunuchs and consort families, and was shaken by the Yellow Turban rising, a mass rebellion tied to Daoist religious societies. Real power passed to generals. In 220 CE the last Han emperor abdicated, and the empire split.


Part 3 — Division, the Tang and the Song (220–1279)

Three and a half centuries apart

After the Han came the Three Kingdoms (immortalised in the much later novel Romance of the Three Kingdoms), a brief reunification, and then nearly three centuries in which the north was ruled by dynasties of steppe origin and the south by a succession of Chinese courts based near modern Nanjing.

These centuries are often treated as a dark interval between two empires. They were not. Buddhism spread widely in both north and south, carving vast cave temples and shaping art and thought. Northern peoples and Chinese mixed; southern migration pushed Chinese settlement deep into the Yangtze region and beyond, slowly shifting the country's economic centre of gravity southward. Calligraphy and poetry flourished in the southern courts.

The Sui: short, harsh, enormous

In 581 a northern general founded the Sui dynasty, which soon reunified the country. The Sui lasted only until 618, but in that time it did two things that endured. It began the imperial examinations: a test-based route into officialdom, first held around 605, with the prestigious jinshi degree created in 607. And Emperor Yang linked older waterways into the Grand Canal, completed around 609, joining the rice-growing south to the political north. Its main line still runs about 1,800 kilometres from Beijing to Hangzhou and is a UNESCO World Heritage Site. The cost in forced labour, plus costly foreign wars, destroyed the dynasty.

The Tang: a cosmopolitan empire

The Tang (618–907) is the dynasty many Chinese people think of as the high point of their civilisation. Its capital, Chang'an (modern Xi'an), was for much of the period the world's most populous city, where merchants, monks, students and envoys from across Asia mixed. Japan's court copied its institutions so closely that its capital at Nara was laid out on Chang'an's pattern (this series' A Brief History of Japan picks up that story).

Tang highlights
Founded 618, by Li Yuan (Emperor Gaozu)
Emperor Taizong 626–649; destroyed the Eastern Turkic Khaganate
Wu Zetian Ruled in her own name as emperor of a "Zhou" dynasty, 690–705; the only woman generally recognised as a legitimate Chinese emperor
Population Censuses suggest around 50 million in the 7th–8th centuries
An Lushan Rebellion 755–763; ended the dynasty's prosperity and broke central control
Poetry Li Bai and Du Fu: the classic age of Chinese verse

The An Lushan rebellion, launched by a frontier general, devastated the north. The Tang survived it for another century and a half, but provincial military governors became semi-independent. In 907 the dynasty ended, and China split again into the "Five Dynasties and Ten Kingdoms".

Tang China looked outward. Its art borrowed from Persia and India, its religion from India, its music from Central Asia. Much of what later seemed "traditionally Chinese" was once foreign and new.

The Song: an economic revolution

The Song dynasty, founded in 960, never controlled as much territory as the Han or Tang. It lost the north to the Jurchen Jin dynasty in 1127, when invaders captured the capital Kaifeng and two emperors (the "Jingkang incident"), and continued as the Southern Song from Hangzhou until 1279. Militarily it was usually on the defensive. Economically and intellectually it was astonishing.

Economic historians Stephen Broadberry and colleagues, reconstructing incomes from historical records, conclude that Song China around the year 1000 was probably the richest country in the world per person, and that Europe only caught up in some regions by the 14th century. The country's population roughly doubled between the 10th and 11th centuries, reaching perhaps 90 to 100 million or more.

What drove it?

  • Rice and the south. The rice-growing Yangtze region became the empire's breadbasket and its economic centre.
  • Commerce. Trade, cities and markets grew; the Southern Song capital, Hangzhou, was among the great cities of its age.
  • Money. The Song issued the world's first true paper money.
  • Technology. The first surviving written formula for gunpowder, the compass used for navigation, and movable-type printing in the 11th century, centuries before Gutenberg (this library's Johannes Gutenberg: The Machine That Copied Minds compares the two).

Government by examination

The Song made the examinations the main road into government. Candidates sitting the prefectural exams rose from around 30,000 a year in the early 11th century to some 400,000 by the late 13th, and the dynasty awarded about 38,500 jinshi degrees, nearly six times the Tang's total. For centuries afterwards, the ideal Chinese man was the scholar-official: a landowner's son who spent his youth memorising the classics, passed the exams, and governed a county far from home.

The system was meritocratic in principle and narrower in practice, since only families who could afford years of study could compete. But it created something unusual in the pre-modern world: an elite whose prestige came from learning rather than birth or war.

The intellectual life of the age produced Neo-Confucianism, the synthesis of philosophers like Zhu Xi, who reworked Confucian ethics with a metaphysics partly borrowed from Buddhism. His synthesis shaped the intellectual foundations of later imperial China, including what examination candidates had to learn.

Politics was argumentative. The chancellor Wang Anshi pushed his "New Policies" (state loans to farmers, tax reform, local militias, changes to the exams) against fierce conservative opposition. The fight between activist reformers and cautious traditionalists over how much the state should do in the economy is a recurring theme of Chinese history.

The fall

The Song's wealth could not buy security. The Mongols, having destroyed the Jin in the north, took the Southern Song capital Hangzhou in 1276. At the naval battle of Yamen, on 19 March 1279, the last Song resistance was destroyed.

The Song is the strongest argument against the idea that pre-modern China was static. For three centuries it was the most commercial, urban and inventive society on the planet.


Part 4 — The Mongols and the Ming (1271–1644)

The Yuan

Kublai Khan, grandson of Genghis Khan, proclaimed the dynasty of the "Great Yuan" in 1271, building his main capital, Dadu, on the site of modern Beijing. For the first time all of China was ruled by conquerors from the steppe.

The Yuan divided its subjects into a hierarchy of four classes: Mongols at the top, then western and central Asian peoples, then northern Chinese, and at the bottom southern Chinese, the most numerous and most recently conquered. The examinations were suspended for decades. Foreigners served in high posts, the most famous European visitor being the Venetian Marco Polo, whose account shaped European fantasies about Cathay. Kublai's fleets tried to invade Japan twice, in 1274 and 1281, and failed, the second time in a typhoon the Japanese remembered as the kamikaze, the "divine wind".

Mongol rule was cosmopolitan and connected China to a Eurasia-wide trading world, but it was also resented, and in the 14th century disasters and rebellion weakened it. The Red Turban rebellion, from 1351, pulled it apart. Dadu fell on 14 September 1368.

Zhu Yuanzhang, the beggar emperor

The man who founded the next dynasty, the Ming, was Zhu Yuanzhang: a penniless peasant who had been a Buddhist monk, joined the Red Turbans in 1352 and rose to command them. He took Nanjing in 1356 and proclaimed the Ming ("Brilliant") in 1368, reigning as the Hongwu Emperor until 1398.

His son, the Yongle Emperor, seized the throne in 1402 from his nephew after a civil war, moved the capital to Beijing in 1420, and built the palace complex now called the Forbidden City. Most of the brick and stone Great Wall that tourists walk on is Ming work from the late 15th and 16th centuries.

Zheng He's fleets

Yongle also sponsored the most famous voyages in Chinese history. Between 1405 and 1433 the Muslim court eunuch Zheng He, born in Yunnan in 1371, commanded seven expeditions across the Indian Ocean. The first fleet had 317 ships and almost 28,000 men. They visited Southeast Asia, India, the Persian Gulf, Arabia and the Swahili coast of East Africa. From Malindi, in modern Kenya, a giraffe came back to Beijing, where courtiers presented it as a qilin, an auspicious beast confirming the emperor's virtue.

Zheng He's voyages What we know What's disputed
Purpose Display Ming power, enrol rulers in the tribute system, control trade; possibly hunt the deposed emperor How much was trade versus prestige
Ship size Very large wooden ships A 1597 novel claims about 127 metres; most scholars now estimate the largest at around 60–75 metres
Why they stopped Halted in 1424, a final voyage under the next emperor, then ended Court politics (scholar-officials versus eunuchs), cost, and the Mongol threat on land

The voyages ended because the court decided that the northern frontier, not the ocean, was where the dynasty's survival lay. A disastrous defeat by the Mongols in 1449, in which an emperor was captured, seemed to prove the point. Popular claims that Zheng He's ships reached the Americas have no support among historians.

Silver, sea bans and a crowded country

The Ming tried, for long periods, to ban private maritime trade (haijin) to suppress piracy; the effect was to turn coastal traders into smugglers and pirates. Yet the Ming economy became deeply tied to the world. Portuguese traders arrived from 1516 and settled Macau in 1557; Spanish galleons brought silver from the mines of the Americas through Manila. That silver flowed into China to pay for silk and porcelain, and the Ming came to collect taxes in silver. (This library's The Columbian Exchange tells how American crops such as maize and sweet potatoes also arrived and fed a growing population.)

Ming population (estimates)
c. 1393 65 million
c. 1500 125 million
c. 1600 160–200 million

How people lived

For the great majority, Ming China was a world of villages: rice in the south, wheat and millet in the north, taxes increasingly paid in silver, and a population that roughly doubled or tripled over the dynasty. The examinations remained the dream of every ambitious family. Across the whole dynasty the Ming awarded only about 24,500 jinshi degrees, so the odds were tiny, but a single success could lift a lineage for generations, so families invested heavily in educating a promising son.

The late Ming was a world of booming commercial towns, printing, popular novels, refined gardens and connoisseurship, and also of fiscal crisis, factional infighting and, in the 17th century, a run of cold years and famines. Peasant rebels led by Li Zicheng entered Beijing on 25 April 1644. The last Ming emperor hanged himself in the palace garden. A Ming general holding the Great Wall at Shanhai Pass, Wu Sangui, opened the gate to the Manchu armies from the northeast, perhaps to fight the rebels. The Manchus came in and did not leave.


Part 5 — The Qing: from high empire to the "century of humiliation" (1644–1911)

The Manchu conquest

The Manchus were a Jurchen people from beyond the northeastern frontier. Their leader Nurhaci proclaimed a "Later Jin" dynasty in 1616; his son renamed it the Great Qing in 1636. After taking Beijing in 1644, the Qing completed the conquest of China proper by 1683.

They ruled as a minority over a vast Han majority, and made submission visible: in 1645 every Han man was ordered to shave his forehead and wear the Manchu queue (braid), on pain of death. Resistance to the order cost tens of thousands of lives. Yet the Qing also governed through Chinese institutions, the exams and the Confucian classics, and patronised Chinese culture lavishly.

The High Qing

Three long reigns, those of the Kangxi (1661–1722), Yongzheng and Qianlong (1735–1796) emperors, are remembered as an era of peace, prosperity and expansion. The Qing pushed the empire's frontiers deep into Inner Asia, and by 1790 ruled about 14.7 million square kilometres, the largest extent of any Chinese dynasty and the basis of most of the PRC's borders today. The population climbed, by the 19th century, past 400 million.

On the economist Angus Maddison's long-run estimates, China produced about a third of the world's output in 1820, more than any other economy. That was a product of its enormous population rather than high incomes per person: by then average incomes had fallen behind those of northwestern Europe, and historians still argue over when and why the "Great Divergence" opened up.

China's share of world GDP (Maddison estimates)
1600 about 29%
1700 about 22%
1820 about 33%
1870 about 17%
1913 about 9%
1950 under 5%

In 1793 a British embassy under Lord Macartney reached the Qianlong Emperor at his summer retreat at Chengde, seeking expanded trade and a permanent embassy. After a famous dispute over whether Macartney would kowtow, the mission got nothing. The emperor's edict to George III declared that "Our Celestial Empire possesses all things in prolific abundance and lacks no product within its borders." It is often quoted as proof of Chinese arrogance; historians now also read it as a confident statement of a system that had worked for centuries.

The Opium Wars

The British problem was a trade deficit: Britons bought tea, silk and porcelain, but China wanted little that Britain made, so silver flowed east. The British East India Company's answer was opium grown in India. Imports rose from about 4,000 chests a year in the early 1800s to some 20,000 by 1831, and kept rising. Addiction spread; silver flowed out.

In 1839 the emperor sent an incorruptible official, Lin Zexu, to Canton to stop the trade. He forced foreign merchants to surrender more than 20,000 chests and destroyed the opium publicly at Humen from 3 June 1839. He also wrote to Queen Victoria asking how Britain could sell a poison it banned at home; she never received the letter. Britain went to war.

The unequal treaties, in brief
Treaty of Nanking, 29 August 1842 Ended the First Opium War: Hong Kong Island ceded to Britain; five ports opened; an indemnity; British subjects exempt from Chinese courts (extraterritoriality)
Second Opium War, 1856–1860 Britain and France; the Old Summer Palace outside Beijing looted and burned; more ports and rights conceded
Treaty of Shimonoseki, 1895 After defeat by Japan: Taiwan ceded, Korea lost as a tributary, 200 million taels
Boxer Protocol, 7 September 1901 After the Boxer Rising: 450 million taels over 39 years, more than a year's state revenue; foreign troops in Beijing

The Taiping

The worst catastrophe of 19th-century China was not foreign. Hong Xiuquan, a Hakka from Guangdong who had repeatedly failed the civil-service exams, read Christian missionary tracts, had visions, and came to believe he was the younger brother of Jesus, sent to destroy the Manchu "demons". His Taiping Heavenly Kingdom rose in 1850, took Nanjing in March 1853 and made it the "Heavenly Capital". It banned opium, foot-binding and private property in principle, and was fanatically violent in practice.

The war lasted until 1864. It was won for the Qing not by the dynasty's own armies but by regional forces raised by Confucian gentry, above all Zeng Guofan's Xiang Army, helped by a Western-officered force. The death toll is uncertain. The most widely cited estimates are 20 to 30 million; some scholars argue for far more. Either way it was among the deadliest wars in human history, fought at the same time as the American Civil War and killing dozens of times as many people.

The "century of humiliation"

From the Opium Wars to 1949, the PRC teaches, China suffered a "century of humiliation" (bainian guochi): foreign invasion, unequal treaties, lost territory, and a weak and divided state. The framing emerged after China's defeat by Japan in 1895 and was popularised by both Nationalists and Communists in the 1920s. Under Xi Jinping it is central to official history and to the promise of "national rejuvenation"; a 2023 Patriotic Education Law made the period a core theme for schools and museums.

The framing rests on real events. China was invaded repeatedly, compelled by force to legalise a drug trade, carved into foreign concessions, and made to pay indemnities that crippled its finances. Critics and historians add complications: the narrative can be selective, emphasising foreign blame over the Qing's own failures and over disasters like the Taiping that were largely domestic; most peasants, the historian Jane Elliott argues, never experienced the period as humiliation by foreigners; and the story can be used to deflect criticism of the present. Both things can be true: the grievance is historical, and its use is political.

Reform too late

The Qing did try to change. A "self-strengthening" movement in the later 19th century built arsenals and shipyards; after the humiliating defeat by Japan, and the anti-foreign Boxer Rising of 1899–1901 that ended with foreign armies in Beijing, the court of the Empress Dowager Cixi (1835–1908) attempted sweeping late reforms. On 2 September 1905 it abolished the examination system after roughly thirteen centuries. It promised a constitution. It was too late. The new armies it created became the instrument of its fall.


Part 6 — Republic, warlords and war (1911–1949)

1911

On 10 October 1911 soldiers of a modernised army unit mutinied in Wuchang, on the Yangtze. Province after province declared independence from the Qing. On 1 January 1912 revolutionaries in Nanjing proclaimed the Republic of China, with Sun Yat-sen, a doctor and long-exiled revolutionary, as provisional president. On 12 February 1912 the six-year-old Xuantong Emperor, Puyi, abdicated. Two thousand years of imperial rule ended almost without a fight.

Sun's programme, the "Three Principles of the People" (nationalism, democracy and the people's livelihood), is revered on both sides of the Taiwan Strait today. But he lacked an army. Power passed to the strongest general, Yuan Shikai, who became president in March 1912, sidelined parliament, proclaimed himself emperor in December 1915, was forced to abandon the attempt within months, and died in June 1916.

Warlords, May Fourth and two parties

After Yuan, China fragmented among regional militarists, the "warlords". Yet the 1910s and 1920s were also a period of intense intellectual ferment. On 4 May 1919 students in Beijing protested the Versailles peace settlement, which handed Germany's former rights in Shandong to Japan. The May Fourth Movement became shorthand for a whole generation's revolt against Confucian tradition, in favour of "Mr. Science and Mr. Democracy".

Two parties emerged from it. The Nationalist Party (Kuomintang, KMT), reorganised by Sun with Soviet help. And the Chinese Communist Party, founded at a congress in Shanghai in July 1921; among its founders were the May Fourth intellectuals Chen Duxiu and Li Dazhao, and among the delegates was a young Mao Zedong.

The two parties cooperated in a "United Front" to defeat the warlords. In 1926 the Nationalist army, led after Sun's death by Chiang Kai-shek, launched the Northern Expedition. Halfway through, on 12 April 1927, Chiang turned on his allies in Shanghai and massacred Communists and labour activists; the party lost most of its members. The Nationalists then ruled much of China from Nanjing.

The Long March

The Communists retreated to rural bases, especially the "Jiangxi Soviet". Under Nationalist encirclement, about 86,000 troops broke out in October 1934 and began the Long March, a fighting retreat through the southwest and north. At a conference in Zunyi in January 1935, Mao emerged as the dominant leader. About 7,000 to 8,000 of the original marchers reached the northern province of Shaanxi in October 1935 and made their base at Yan'an.

The official account speaks of 25,000 li, about 12,500 kilometres. Two British researchers who retraced the route in 2003 estimated about 6,000 kilometres; a Beijing newspaper replied that the main army covered over 9,000. The distance matters less than what the March became: the founding epic of the party, its proof of endurance and its claim to Heaven's favour.

The war with Japan

Japan had seized Manchuria after staging an incident at Mukden on 18 September 1931, and set up a puppet state under the last emperor, Puyi. Chiang's priority remained crushing the Communists, until December 1936, when two of his own generals kidnapped him at Xi'an and forced him into a second United Front against Japan.

Full-scale war began after a clash at the Marco Polo Bridge near Beijing on 7 July 1937. Shanghai fell after months of fighting; then the capital, Nanjing, where Japanese troops carried out the massacre described in this series' history of Japan. The Nationalist government retreated to Chongqing in the far west. The war lasted until Japan's surrender on 2 September 1945.

Chinese losses in the war with Japan, 1937–45 Estimate Who
Nationalist military dead about 1.32 million killed Nationalist government figures
Civilian deaths more than 12 million Historian Rana Mitter
Total deaths 14–22 million Mitter; Clodfelter
Total casualties (dead and wounded) 35 million Official PRC figure

Who did most of the fighting is itself politically contested. For decades the PRC told the war as a Communist-led resistance; historians, including some in China, now emphasise that the Nationalist armies bore most of the major battles and the heaviest losses, while the Communists expanded their guerrilla bases and party membership behind Japanese lines.

Civil war and 1949

After Japan's defeat the uneasy truce collapsed; full-scale civil war resumed in June 1946. The Nationalists had more men and American aid, but were exhausted by eight years of war, discredited by inflation and corruption, and outmanoeuvred by Communist armies that recruited peasants by redistributing land. On 1 October 1949, from the gate of Tiananmen in Beijing, Mao Zedong proclaimed the People's Republic of China. In December the Nationalist government moved to Taipei, on the island of Taiwan, which it governs to this day as the Republic of China.

The Communist Party's founding claim to legitimacy is simple and powerful: it ended a century of division and foreign domination. Even many Chinese who reject its later record accept that claim.


Part 7 — Mao's China (1949–1976)

Building the new state

The first years of the People's Republic brought real achievements: inflation tamed, opium suppressed, the country unified, a marriage law of May 1950 that broke radically with patriarchal custom, mass campaigns against disease and illiteracy. They also brought terror.

Land reform, carried out village by village through "speak bitterness" meetings where peasants denounced landlords, transferred land to poor farmers and destroyed the old rural elite, often by killing them. A parallel Campaign to Suppress Counter-revolutionaries targeted former Nationalists, bandits and religious sects. Estimates of the combined deaths range widely: the historian Benedict Stavis estimated 400,000 to 800,000; the Cambridge History of China gives 1 to 2 million executed in land reform; Maurice Meisner about 2 million for 1950–52; some estimates are higher. An official 1954 report counted 712,000 counter-revolutionaries executed.

In 1950 China entered the Korean War, fighting the United States to a stalemate by 1953 at great cost. In 1956–57 Mao invited criticism in the "Hundred Flowers" campaign; when it came, the Anti-Rightist Campaign that followed persecuted at least 550,000 people, mostly intellectuals.

The Great Leap Forward and the famine

In 1958 Mao launched the Great Leap Forward, meant to catch up with the industrial nations within years through mass mobilisation. Peasants were organised into huge people's communes; private plots were abolished; tens of millions were diverted into building dams and smelting iron in "backyard furnaces". Local officials, competing to report miracles, inflated harvest figures. The state took grain based on those false numbers, and kept exporting it.

In July 1959, at a party conference at Lushan, Defence Minister Peng Dehuai sent Mao a private letter criticising inflated reports and the backyard furnaces. Mao denounced him; Peng was purged, and a campaign against "right deviation" penalised more than three million party members. After Lushan, almost no one dared tell the truth. The famine deepened.

What followed was the deadliest famine in human history. Nobody knows exactly how many died, and the Chinese government has never published a full official figure. Scholars have estimated it in two main ways: from population statistics (comparing expected and actual deaths) and from local archives.

Excess deaths in the famine, c. 1959–61 Estimate Basis
Sun Jingxian (2011); Yang Songlin (2013) 3.5–4 million Revisionist demographic readings arguing the data are distorted by migration and registration; rejected by most specialists
Chinese Academy of Sciences report (1989) at least 15 million Official research body
Ansley Coale (1984) 27 million Demographic reconstruction
Basil Ashton et al. (1984); Judith Banister (1987) about 30 million Census-based demography
Cao Shuji (2005) 32.5 million Records from about 1,050 localities
Yang Jisheng, Tombstone (2008/2012) 36 million A Xinhua journalist's archival research
Frank Dikötter, Mao's Great Famine (2010) at least 45 million Party archives

Most scholars place the toll somewhere between about 15 and 45 million, with many converging around 30 million. World Bank data show what that meant: China's population actually fell between 1960 and 1961, and life expectancy at birth fell to about 33 years in 1960.

The party's own judgement came in its 1981 resolution on party history, which blamed the famine chiefly on the mistakes of the Great Leap and the campaign against "right deviation", alongside natural disasters and the split with the Soviet Union. Liu Shaoqi, then head of state, had already told a party meeting in 1962 that the disaster was 30 percent nature and 70 percent human error. Inside China, the term long used was the "Three Years of Natural Disasters", later the "Three Years of Difficulty".

In the famine, the problem was not that China had no food. It was that the people who knew the truth could not say it, and the people who could have acted would not hear it.

The Cultural Revolution

By the mid-1960s pragmatic leaders such as Liu Shaoqi and Deng Xiaoping had quietly undone some of the Leap's policies, letting farmers keep private plots. (Deng defended this in 1962 with an old Sichuan proverb he had learned from a fellow general: "Yellow cat or black cat, as long as it catches mice, it is a good cat." The yellow later became white.) Mao saw his revolution being betrayed.

On 16 May 1966 he launched the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution. He called on students to attack "capitalist roaders" inside the party; in August he posted his own "Bombard the Headquarters" poster, aimed at Liu Shaoqi. Millions of teenage Red Guards attacked teachers, officials, intellectuals and anyone from a "bad" class background, destroyed temples and antiques, and then fought each other in armed factional wars. Liu Shaoqi was expelled from the party and died in detention in 1969, denied medical care. Deng Xiaoping was purged and sent to work in a tractor factory; his son was crippled after a fall from a building while being persecuted. From late 1968, more than ten million urban young people were "sent down to the countryside" to learn from the peasants, among them a teenage Xi Jinping.

Deaths in the Cultural Revolution Estimate Who
Unnatural deaths 1.73 million CCP History Research Center (1996), from internal investigations of 1978 and 1984
Deaths, 1966–71 1.1–1.6 million Sociologist Andrew Walder (2014), from county annals; probably an undercount
Deaths about 2 million Ding Shu
Including labour-camp deaths about 7.7 million R. J. Rummel (1991)

The same 1996 party source counted 125 million people implicated in investigations. Mao's designated successor, Lin Biao, died in a plane crash on 13 September 1971 while apparently fleeing after an alleged plot against Mao. The 1981 party resolution called the Cultural Revolution "responsible for the most severe setback and the heaviest losses suffered by the party, the state and the people since the founding of the People's Republic".

The other side of the ledger

Mao's admirers in China, and the party's official verdict (its 1981 resolution says his "merits are primary and his errors secondary", a judgement popularly summed up as "seventy percent right, thirty percent wrong"), point to real changes: life expectancy rose from very low levels; literacy spread; women entered paid work; rural "barefoot doctors" brought basic care to villages; China tested its first atomic bomb in 1964, took China's UN seat in 1971 and received a US president in 1972. The artemisinin anti-malaria drug, discovered by Tu Youyou's team in a secret military project of those years, has saved millions of lives (see Tu Youyou: A 1,600-Year-Old Recipe and a Nobel Prize).

Critics reply that much of that progress happened despite Mao's campaigns, and that the man who caused the famine and the Cultural Revolution killed more of his own people than almost any ruler in history. That argument has not ended; in China it cannot be fully held in public.

Mao died in September 1976. Within a month his widow Jiang Qing and three associates, the "Gang of Four", were arrested.


Part 8 — Reform, Tiananmen and the great boom (1976–2012)

Deng's turn

Mao's chosen successor, Hua Guofeng, was outmanoeuvred by Deng Xiaoping, rehabilitated for the second time. At the Third Plenum of the party's Central Committee in December 1978, the party shifted its central task from class struggle to economic development. "Reform and opening up" had begun.

It started in the fields. Farmers, beginning in some of the poorest villages, quietly divided collective land among households and promised to deliver a quota to the state in return for keeping the rest. The "household responsibility system" spread across the country; harvests jumped. Rural "township and village enterprises" sprang up. On the coast, special economic zones such as Shenzhen, Zhuhai and Xiamen invited foreign investors with low taxes and cheap labour. Shenzhen, across the border from Hong Kong, became one of the world's great manufacturing cities.

The reforms were not a plan unfolding. They were experiments, many started locally, defended by Deng and his allies Hu Yaobang and Zhao Ziyang against conservative opposition, and expanded when they worked.

Tiananmen, 1989

Economic change brought inflation, corruption and demands for political change too. When Hu Yaobang, a liberal-minded former party chief, died on 15 April 1989, students gathered in Tiananmen Square to mourn him. Mourning turned into a movement: calls for press freedom, dialogue and an end to official corruption. Students began a hunger strike; workers joined them; protests spread to some 400 cities. On 17 May about a million people filled the square. Martial law was declared on 20 May. On 30 May art students raised a ten-metre "Goddess of Democracy" facing Mao's portrait.

On the night of 3–4 June the army moved into central Beijing with live fire. Most of the killing happened not in the square itself but along Chang'an Avenue, the main road leading to it, especially around Muxidi in the west. On 5 June an unknown man stood in front of a column of tanks; the photograph is censored in China. Zhao Ziyang, the party chief who had sided with the protesters against martial law, was removed and never held office again; he died in 2005.

How many died is still unknown, because the government has never released a full accounting.

The death toll of 4 June 1989 Figure Source and date
Official "Nearly 300", including soldiers; 23 students State Council spokesman Yuan Mu, 6 June 1989
Official 241, including soldiers Chinese government report, June 1989
Named and documented victims 202 Tiananmen Mothers, a group of victims' relatives
Estimate Up to 1,000 Amnesty International
Diplomatic cable At least 10,000 civilians, later revised to 2,700–3,400 British ambassador Sir Alan Donald, June 1989, citing a Chinese source; declassified decades later
Rumoured 2,600 Attributed to the Chinese Red Cross, which denied giving it

The government's position is that it suppressed "political turmoil" and that the decision brought decades of stability and growth. In 2019 China's then defence minister, Wei Fenghe, called the events "a turmoil" that the government had been right to stop. Critics, survivors and most historians outside China call it a massacre of unarmed civilians.

The bargain of the post-1989 era, as it is often described, was this: the party would deliver prosperity and order, and the people would stay out of politics.

The Southern Tour and the boom

After Tiananmen, conservatives tried to slow reform. In early 1992 Deng, retired and aged 87, toured the southern zones and insisted that development was "of overriding importance". Growth resumed at speed. State-owned enterprises were restructured, and tens of millions of state workers were laid off in the late 1990s. In 2001 China joined the World Trade Organization, and became the workshop of the world.

The scale is hard to grasp. The economy grew about 9.5 percent a year on average from 1978 to 2013. World Bank data show GDP per person rising from about $157 in 1978 to $969 in 2000 and $4,629 in 2010. In 2010 China passed Japan to become the world's second-largest economy.

China's transformation 1978 2000 2025
Population 956 million 1.26 billion 1.41 billion
GDP per person (current US$) $157 $969 $13,862
Share living in cities 18% 36% 66%
Life expectancy at birth 63 72 78 (2024)

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (updated October 2026).

Hundreds of millions out of poverty

The most important number of the era is this one. A joint report by the World Bank and two Chinese government bodies, Four Decades of Poverty Reduction in China (released 31 March 2022), found that close to 800 million people had escaped extreme poverty (then defined as living on under $1.90 a day) over the previous four decades, close to three-quarters of the entire reduction in extreme poverty worldwide over that time. On the World Bank's current line of $3 a day, 97 percent of Chinese people were poor in 1981; by 2019, by its measure, essentially none were.

No poverty reduction on that scale has happened anywhere else. The party credits its leadership and planning. Economists emphasise that the gains came mainly from letting markets, private firms, trade and migrants do what Mao's system had forbidden, a point the party also partly accepts in calling it "socialism with Chinese characteristics". Both agree it was the largest improvement in material living standards in human history.

How people lived: migrants and the hukou

The engine of the boom was migration. Under the household registration (hukou) system, inherited from the 1950s, Chinese people were registered as rural or urban, with access to schools, healthcare and pensions tied to the registration. Hundreds of millions of rural people moved to the cities and factories anyway, often without urban hukou, living in dormitories and sending money home to children left with grandparents. In autumn 2026 China's statistics bureau still counted 192.7 million rural migrant workers.

The one-child policy, formally imposed in September 1980, shaped family life for a generation. It was enforced through fines, pressure and, especially in 1983–84, forced sterilisations and abortions. The sex ratio at birth rose to about 117 boys for every 100 girls, as some families aborted or abandoned daughters. The party credits the policy with preventing 400 million births; many demographers argue fertility was already falling and would have fallen anyway as China grew richer. The policy was replaced by a two-child limit on 1 January 2016, a three-child limit in May 2021, and no limit from July 2021.

Hong Kong returns

On 1 July 1997, after 156 years of British rule, Hong Kong returned to Chinese sovereignty under the 1984 Sino-British Joint Declaration, which promised it "one country, two systems", with its own laws, courts and freedoms, for fifty years. Macau followed in 1999.


Part 9 — Xi Jinping's China (2012–2026)

The man

Xi Jinping was born in Beijing on 15 June 1953, the son of a revolutionary veteran, Xi Zhongxun, who was purged in the early 1960s. As a teenager in the Cultural Revolution Xi was sent to Liangjiahe, a village in Shaanxi, where he spent about seven years. He joined the party, rose through provincial posts, and became general secretary on 15 November 2012 and state president on 14 March 2013.

He has concentrated power more than any leader since Mao. A sweeping anti-corruption campaign has disciplined officials at every level, including top generals and Politburo members; supporters see a necessary purge of a party rotting from within, critics a tool for removing rivals. In March 2018 the National People's Congress removed the two-term limit on the presidency, and in 2022–23 Xi began a third term. His ideas, "Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era", are written into the party and state constitutions.

The programme

  • The "Chinese Dream" of national rejuvenation: restoring China's place in the world, with the century of humiliation as its backdrop.
  • The Belt and Road Initiative, announced in Kazakhstan on 7 September 2013: Chinese-financed infrastructure in more than 150 countries. Critics allege "debt-trap diplomacy"; many researchers dispute that claim, while agreeing that some projects have created serious debt problems.
  • Party control everywhere: in private firms, universities, the internet and civil society.
  • Technology and industry: electric vehicles, batteries, solar panels and AI, sectors in which Chinese firms now lead the world.
  • Zero-COVID: China suppressed the virus with lockdowns for nearly three years, then abandoned the policy abruptly at the end of 2022 after rare nationwide protests.

How people live now

The everyday texture of Chinese life has changed beyond recognition within one lifetime. Two people in three now live in cities, against fewer than one in five in 1978. A child born in China today can expect to live to about 78, roughly as long as an American child. The family has shrunk: a generation of only children is now caring for ageing parents, often from a city far away, and women now have, on average, about one child each, roughly half the number needed to keep a population stable. In 2025 there were more than 11 deaths for every 8 births.

The great story of Chinese history used to be the struggle to feed a vast, growing population. The new story is how a rich-ish, ageing and shrinking one will be cared for.

China in autumn 2026

China, autumn 2026 Figure Source (date)
Population, end of 2025 1,404.89 million, down 3.39 million in a year; the fourth straight annual fall National Bureau of Statistics (Jan 2026)
Births in 2025 7.92 million, against 11.31 million deaths NBS (Jan 2026)
Fertility rate about 1.0 child per woman (2024) World Bank (Oct 2026)
Aged 65+ about 15% of the population (2025) World Bank (Oct 2026)
GDP about US$19.5 trillion (2025) World Bank (Oct 2026)
GDP growth 5.0% in 2025; 4.6% in the first three quarters of 2026 NBS (Jan, Oct 2026)
Real-estate investment down 20.6% year on year, Jan–Sept 2026 NBS (19 Oct 2026)
Consumer prices +0.9%, Jan–Sept 2026 NBS (19 Oct 2026)

The economic picture is double-edged. China dominates world manufacturing and leads in electric cars, batteries and solar power; its growth, near 5 percent, is fast for an economy its size. But the property sector, once the main store of household wealth, has been contracting for five years; prices barely rise; local governments are deeply indebted; youth unemployment has been high; and the population is shrinking and ageing faster than almost any large country's in history. The party's answer is "new quality productive forces": high technology and self-reliance. Its critics, foreign and Chinese, argue the country needs more household consumption and a less controlling state.

Politics is entering a new cycle. In January 2026 the defence ministry announced that Zhang Youxia, the most senior general on the Central Military Commission, and the chief of the joint staff, Liu Zhenli, were under investigation for "serious violations of discipline". The party's Fifth Plenum, held on 26–29 October 2026, adopted a resolution on "full and rigorous Party self-governance", confirmed the expulsion of 33 senior figures including Zhang, Liu and the former Xinjiang party chief Ma Xingrui, declared the 15th Five-Year Plan "off to a good start", and set the 21st Party Congress for the second half of 2027. That congress will show whether Xi, then 74, begins a fourth term.

The 2026 facts in this part come from China's National Bureau of Statistics, Xinhua (29 October 2026), the World Bank (October 2026), France 24 and NPC Observer, dated as given. China's story is moving fast; check the latest before quoting any of it.


Part 10 — The contested edges: Xinjiang, Tibet, Hong Kong and Taiwan (1950–2026)

Four places test the party's central claim, that it has made China whole again. Beijing describes each as an internal matter of sovereignty, security and development. Many of the people who live there, and many governments and rights bodies abroad, describe something else. What follows gives the findings of outside bodies, Beijing's answers, and the dates of each.

Xinjiang

Xinjiang, the vast northwestern region, is home to the Uyghurs and other mainly Muslim Turkic peoples. After deadly attacks attributed to Uyghur militants, Beijing launched a "Strike Hard Campaign against Violent Terrorism" in May 2014. From 2017, under party secretary Chen Quanguo, authorities built a network of facilities into which large numbers of Uyghurs and other Muslims were sent without trial, alongside dense surveillance.

What outside bodies found:

  • On 31 August 2022, the UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) published its assessment. It concluded that "serious human rights violations" had been committed, found allegations of patterns of torture or ill-treatment "credible", and said the arbitrary detention of Uyghurs and others "may constitute international crimes, in particular crimes against humanity". It did not use the word genocide.
  • The researcher Adrian Zenz estimated in 2020 that up to 1.8 million people may have been detained at some point. The United States government and several Western parliaments have described the policies as genocide; others, including the UN office, have not used that term.

What Beijing says: the facilities were voluntary "vocational education and training centres" for de-radicalisation, established in accordance with law, which brought an end to terrorist attacks; all "trainees" had "graduated" by 2019; accusations of forced labour and genocide are lies spread by the United States and its allies to contain China; and Xinjiang has enjoyed rapid economic growth. China's formal response to the OHCHR report called its conclusions groundless.

Tibet

The People's Liberation Army entered eastern Tibet in October 1950; in 1951 Tibetan representatives signed a "Seventeen Point Agreement" in Beijing recognising Chinese sovereignty, which the Tibetan government in exile says was signed under duress. After an uprising in March 1959, the 14th Dalai Lama fled to India, where an exile administration remains. The Tibet Autonomous Region was set up in 1965. During the Cultural Revolution most of Tibet's monasteries were destroyed. Since 2009, around 160 Tibetans have set themselves on fire in protest (as of 2022).

Beijing's account is that it "peacefully liberated" Tibet from a feudal theocracy in which most people were serfs, and has since brought roads, schools, hospitals and rising incomes. Tibetan exiles and rights groups describe restrictions on religion, mass boarding schools that separate children from their language and families, and the resettlement of herders. Both sides now look ahead to the Dalai Lama's succession: Beijing insists the next Dalai Lama must be approved by the central government; the exile leadership says, as its former head Lobsang Sangay put it on 22 October 2026, that "the one selected by his office and by our monks will be the real one".

In March 2026 the National People's Congress passed a Law on Promoting Ethnic Unity and Progress, in force from 1 July 2026, which promotes standard Chinese in public life and a shared "Chinese nation" identity and claims jurisdiction over people abroad who undermine ethnic unity. Beijing presents it as protecting national cohesion; critics, including the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Volker Türk, warned it "could restrict freedom of religion and culture".

Hong Kong

In 2019, a bill allowing extraditions to the mainland triggered months of protests, at times involving millions of people and, as they went on, violent clashes. Beijing's answer was a National Security Law imposed on 30 June 2020, criminalising secession, subversion, terrorism and "collusion with foreign forces". Opposition politicians were jailed or went into exile, and pro-democracy newspapers closed. On 9 February 2026 the media owner Jimmy Lai was sentenced to 20 years in prison for collusion and sedition. Beijing called the sentence "reasonable, legitimate and legal"; Human Rights Watch called it "effectively a death sentence" for the 78-year-old. Beijing's case is that the law restored order after 2019, protecting "one country"; critics argue it ended "two systems" decades early.

Taiwan

Taiwan's Republic of China government, which ruled under martial law for decades, became a democracy in the late 1980s and 1990s. Its people's sense of who they are has shifted. In the long-running survey by National Chengchi University's Election Study Center, those calling themselves "Taiwanese" rose from 17.6 percent in 1992 to 63.1 percent in June 2026; "both Taiwanese and Chinese" fell from 46.4 to 30.7 percent; and "Chinese" from 25.5 to 2.5 percent.

The positions, stated in their own terms
Beijing Taiwan has been part of China since ancient times; the 1949 split was an unfinished civil war; reunification, peacefully if possible, is a core interest; force is not ruled out (the 2005 Anti-Secession Law provides for military means if peaceful reunification becomes impossible)
Taiwan's governing DPP (President Lai Ching-te, since May 2024) The Republic of China (Taiwan) and the PRC are not subordinate to each other; Taiwan's future can be decided only by its 23 million people
Taiwan's opposition KMT Supports the "1992 Consensus" that there is one China (with each side interpreting what that means) and favours dialogue with Beijing; its chair Cheng Li-wun met Xi in April 2026
The United States Recognises the PRC as China's government since 1979, "acknowledges" Beijing's position without endorsing it, opposes unilateral change to the status quo, and sells Taiwan weapons under the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act

Pressure has grown. Large Chinese military exercises around the island have been held every year since 2022. From 29 December 2025 the "Justice Mission 2025" drills rehearsed a blockade of Taiwan's main ports, eleven days after Washington announced $11.1 billion in arms sales. During a state visit to Beijing on 13–15 May 2026, Xi warned President Trump that mistakes on Taiwan could lead to "conflict"; Trump afterwards said he was "not looking to have somebody go independent". Taiwan's government said it was a sovereign nation.


Part 11 — How to understand China today

Key dates

Year Event
c. 20,000 years ago Pottery at Xianrendong, among the oldest anywhere
c. 7000–5000 BCE Millet and rice farming villages
c. 1600–1046 BCE Shang dynasty; oracle bones from c. 1250 BCE
c. 1046 BCE Zhou conquest; the Mandate of Heaven
c. 551–479 BCE Confucius
221 BCE Qin unifies China; the First Emperor
202 BCE–220 CE Han dynasty
605–609 Sui exams begin; Grand Canal completed
618–907 Tang dynasty
960–1279 Song dynasty; paper money, printing, gunpowder
1271–1368 Mongol Yuan dynasty
1368–1644 Ming dynasty
1405–1433 Zheng He's voyages
1644–1912 Qing dynasty
1839–1842 First Opium War
1850–1864 Taiping war
1905 Examination system abolished
1911–1912 Revolution; Republic of China; the last emperor abdicates
4 May 1919 May Fourth Movement
1921 Chinese Communist Party founded
1934–1935 Long March
1937–1945 War with Japan
1 October 1949 People's Republic of China proclaimed
1958–1962 Great Leap Forward and famine
1966–1976 Cultural Revolution
December 1978 Reform and opening up begins
4 June 1989 Tiananmen crackdown
1 July 1997 Hong Kong returns to China
2001 China joins the WTO
2010 China becomes the world's second-largest economy
2012–13 Xi Jinping takes power
2020 Hong Kong National Security Law
31 August 2022 OHCHR report on Xinjiang
2022 China's population begins to fall
October 2026 Fifth Plenum; 21st Congress set for 2027

Who's who

Person Lived Why they matter
Wu Ding r. c. 1250–1190 BCE Shang king whose divinations are the earliest Chinese writing
Duke of Zhou 11th c. BCE Regent associated with the Mandate of Heaven
Confucius c. 551–479 BCE Teacher whose ethics shaped East Asia
Qin Shi Huang 259–210 BCE First Emperor; unified and standardised China
Emperor Wu of Han r. 141–87 BCE Made Confucianism state orthodoxy; expanded the empire
Wu Zetian r. 690–705 The only woman to rule as emperor in her own name
Zhu Xi 1130–1200 Neo-Confucian philosopher; his commentaries became the exam syllabus
Kublai Khan r. 1260–1294 Founded the Yuan dynasty
Zheng He 1371–c. 1433 Admiral of the Ming treasure fleets
Qianlong Emperor r. 1735–1796 Ruled the Qing at its height
Lin Zexu 1785–1850 Destroyed the opium at Humen
Hong Xiuquan 1814–1864 Leader of the Taiping
Empress Dowager Cixi 1835–1908 Dominated the late Qing court
Sun Yat-sen 1866–1925 Father of the Republic, revered in both Beijing and Taipei
Chiang Kai-shek 1887–1975 Nationalist leader; ruled Taiwan after 1949
Mao Zedong 1893–1976 Founder of the PRC; Great Leap, Cultural Revolution
Zhou Enlai 1898–1976 Mao's long-serving premier and diplomat
Deng Xiaoping 1904–1997 Architect of reform; ordered the 1989 crackdown
Xi Jinping b. 1953 Party leader since 2012

Five ideas that unlock the country

1. Unity is the supreme political value. From the Warring States to the warlord era, Chinese history teaches that division brings chaos and suffering. That is why Beijing treats Taiwan, Tibet, Xinjiang and Hong Kong as questions of national survival rather than of self-determination, and why many Chinese people who criticise their government still share that view. Those on the other side (Taiwanese voters, Tibetan exiles, Uyghur activists, Hong Kong democrats) argue that unity imposed without consent is not unity.

2. Legitimacy is earned by results. The Mandate of Heaven made performance the test of a ruler. The modern party grounds its claim in delivering order, prosperity and national strength rather than in elections. When growth slows, as it is now, that bargain is under strain; the party has increasingly added nationalism and the memory of humiliation to performance as sources of support.

3. The past is political. The party treats history as part of its legitimacy, so its official accounts of the famine, the Cultural Revolution and 1989 are guarded. Many Chinese historians, journalists and families have nonetheless documented that past, sometimes at personal risk. To understand China, read both the official account and theirs.

4. The state and the market are partners, not opposites. Imperial salt monopolies, Song paper money, Ming silver taxes and today's state banks lending to private electric-car makers all show a tradition in which the state sets the direction and merchants operate within it. Whether that makes China's model uniquely effective or uniquely fragile is the central argument among economists (see Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened and the rest of this library's Political Economy series).

5. Demography is destiny, again. For two thousand years China's power rested on its numbers. Now its population is falling, its fertility rate is among the lowest in the world, and it will grow old before most of its people grow rich by Western standards. How a shrinking, ageing China behaves may be the most important question about it for the rest of this century.

China's leaders speak of a "great rejuvenation". The word assumes a return to something. The history above suggests the real question is which China they mean: the cosmopolitan Tang, the commercial Song, the vast Qing, or something that has never existed before.


The takeaway

China is a civilisation with three thousand years of written continuity and a century and a half of extreme rupture. It invented the examination-based bureaucracy, paper money and printing; was for long periods the world's richest and largest economy; and was then defeated, divided and invaded. The Communist Party unified it in 1949 and then presided over the deadliest famine in history and a decade of political terror, before a market reform that lifted close to 800 million people out of extreme poverty. Today it is a superpower with a shrinking population, ruled by a party that bases its legitimacy on results and on the memory of humiliation, and whose accounts of Xinjiang, Tibet, Hong Kong, Taiwan and 1989 are fiercely contested by its critics.

Try this: pick one object in your home that was made in China, and one idea you hold that came from China (tea, a Confucian proverb, a Daoist "go with the flow", even paper). Place each in this history: which dynasty or decade made it possible, and who did the work? Then read one short account of the same event from each side, say, Beijing's white paper on Xinjiang and the OHCHR assessment, and notice what each leaves out.


Sources & Further Reading

Sources
- World Bank, World Development Indicators (updated 8 October 2026): population, GDP, GDP per person, life expectancy, fertility, urbanisation, poverty at $3.00 a day.
- World Bank and Development Research Center of the State Council, Four Decades of Poverty Reduction in China (31 March 2022), and the World Bank press release of 1 April 2022.
- National Bureau of Statistics of China, statistical releases of 19 January 2026 (2025 population and GDP) and 19 October 2026 (first three quarters of 2026).
- UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, OHCHR Assessment of Human Rights Concerns in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (31 August 2022), as reported by UN News, 31 August 2022, including China's response.
- Xinhua, communiqué of the Fifth Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee (29 October 2026); NPC Observer on the Law on Promoting Ethnic Unity and Progress (2026); France 24 reporting on Taiwan drills (29 December 2025), the Trump–Xi summit (15 May 2026), the Jimmy Lai sentence (9 February 2026) and Lobsang Sangay (22 October 2026).
- National Chengchi University Election Study Center, Taiwanese/Chinese identity trend, 1992–June 2026.
- Famine estimates: Yang Jisheng, Tombstone; Frank Dikötter, Mao's Great Famine; Cao Shuji (2005); Ansley Coale (1984); Ashton et al. (1984); Judith Banister (1987). Cultural Revolution: Andrew Walder, China Under Mao (2015) and the CCP History Research Center (1996). Land reform: Stavis (1978), The Cambridge History of China, Meisner (1999).
- Long-run economy: Angus Maddison's historical statistics; Broadberry, Guan and Li on Chinese GDP per head, 980–1850.
- Dynastic history (dates, censuses, Zheng He, Taiping, the Opium Wars, Tiananmen) cross-checked against the scholarly works cited in the relevant encyclopaedia articles; Britannica could not be reached for this piece. Each claim is logged with its source.

Go deeper
- 📘 The Search for Modern China — Jonathan Spence (the classic narrative from the late Ming to the reform era; elegant and balanced)
- 📘 China: A History — John Keay (a readable single-volume history from the beginnings to the present)
- 📘 Tombstone: The Great Chinese Famine, 1958–1962 — Yang Jisheng (a Chinese journalist's devastating archival account; banned in mainland China)
- 📘 Forgotten Ally: China's World War II — Rana Mitter (how the war with Japan made modern China, and why both Beijing and Taipei remember it as they do)
- 📘 Age of Ambition — Evan Osnos (the human experience of the reform era, told through individual lives)
- 🌐 Asia for Educators, Columbia University (free primary sources and timelines on Chinese history, from oracle bones to the PRC)
- 🌐 Related pieces in this library: China: A Condensed History of Dynasties, Revolution, and Return; A Brief History of Japan (this series); The Silk Roads; Laozi: The Way of the Dao and the Art of Wu Wei; Communism: The Idea, the States, and What Happened